Will Trump Leave China after May 18?
open
Total volume
$859
$4,083 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$22,301
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-20
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-14 08:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $274 | $274 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $128 | $128 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $1 | $455 | $454 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $238 | $238 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $169 | $169 |
| unranked | 23 | $1 | $449 | $448 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 05-14 08:44 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +74 | $74 | $74 | 2 | 05-14 02:55 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +65 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-13 00:56 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 02:55 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 18:37 |
| Utter-Sprag 0xfdc9…3e64 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:55 |
| Hurtful-Cellar 0x5e1a…514b | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:56 |
| Silver-Excursion 0x9eee…b1b0 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:56 |
| Disguised-Cauliflower 0xcfc3…d5fa | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:56 |
| Digital-Perception 0x0407…ba94 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:56 |
| Overlooked-Warning 0xacf9…efd9 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:56 |
| Stylish-Territory 0xf283…02d8 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:56 |
| Monstrous-Playground 0xecdf…f695 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:56 |
| Cuddly-Company 0x8f0f…bfb3 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:56 |
| Motionless-Human 0xae07…8f82 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:55 |
| Blond-Whelp 0x526c…bf49 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:55 |
| Utilized-Tax 0xd035…d9ce | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:55 |
| Crafty-Pigpen 0xf288…ec47 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:55 |
| Yummy-Lyocell 0x847a…23df | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:55 |
| Outlying-Strand 0x1b47…d9b3 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:56 |
| Alert-Affect 0xae74…1209 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 04:55 |
| Trained-Reform 0x7617…72f0 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-14 04:55 |
| Accurate-Shallot 0x3708…5ab6 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-14 04:55 |
| Aggressive-Allergist 0x7e89…8946 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 03:56 |
| Meaty-North 0xd642…0710 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 03:44 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 21:54 |
| Upset-Sophomore 0x79bf…bcdf | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 22:07 |
| Weak-Sanctity 0x21d5…9925 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-11 23:03 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 23:05 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 23:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 08:44:12 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x0e94f3… |
| 05-14 08:44:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xb61c3f… |
| 05-14 04:56:28 | Outlying-Strand 0x1b47…d9b3 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x7a1bbb… |
| 05-14 04:56:26 | Stylish-Territory 0xf283…02d8 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xd949cf… |
| 05-14 04:56:19 | Digital-Perception 0x0407…ba94 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x4b3add… |
| 05-14 04:56:18 | Overlooked-Warning 0xacf9…efd9 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x42a510… |
| 05-14 04:56:14 | Cuddly-Company 0x8f0f…bfb3 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xc26884… |
| 05-14 04:56:11 | Hurtful-Cellar 0x5e1a…514b | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xca5408… |
| 05-14 04:56:07 | Silver-Excursion 0x9eee…b1b0 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x0fc023… |
| 05-14 04:56:04 | Monstrous-Playground 0xecdf…f695 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x886ece… |
| 05-14 04:56:02 | Disguised-Cauliflower 0xcfc3…d5fa | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xef3ac5… |
| 05-14 04:55:57 | Motionless-Human 0xae07…8f82 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xf35b37… |
| 05-14 04:55:55 | Utilized-Tax 0xd035…d9ce | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x82efd4… |
| 05-14 04:55:51 | Trained-Reform 0x7617…72f0 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xb23a64… |
| 05-14 04:55:48 | Accurate-Shallot 0x3708…5ab6 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x06d1a5… |
| 05-14 04:55:44 | Yummy-Lyocell 0x847a…23df | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x4773ae… |
| 05-14 04:55:41 | Crafty-Pigpen 0xf288…ec47 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xba1abb… |
| 05-14 04:55:37 | Alert-Affect 0xae74…1209 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x91c653… |
| 05-14 04:55:36 | Blond-Whelp 0x526c…bf49 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xa48709… |
| 05-14 04:55:32 | Utter-Sprag 0xfdc9…3e64 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x0fe1ed… |
| 05-14 03:56:21 | Aggressive-Allergist 0x7e89…8946 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x88d1be… |
| 05-14 03:44:55 | Meaty-North 0xd642…0710 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x42c3b4… |
| 05-14 02:55:47 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xaf9093… |
| 05-14 02:55:47 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x4faea7… |
| 05-13 22:32:42 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4f25fb… |
| 05-13 18:37:51 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xe2f2ec… |
| 05-13 16:42:40 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xcf1853… |
| 05-13 00:56:40 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 65 | 100¢ | $65 | 0x828919… |
| 05-11 23:42:13 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xea0658… |
| 05-11 23:41:10 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x7ce40a… |
| 05-11 23:38:52 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe3f5e5… |
| 05-11 23:05:58 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9c092d… |
| 05-11 23:03:40 | Weak-Sanctity 0x21d5…9925 | No | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xc2dccf… |
| 05-11 23:01:29 | Weak-Sanctity 0x21d5…9925 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9115c0… |
| 05-11 22:07:14 | Upset-Sophomore 0x79bf…bcdf | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x2dd0bd… |
| 05-11 21:54:17 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x53737f… |