Outlying-Strand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

292

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$6.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-31 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$9

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 31?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-31 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-30 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-29 17:35
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 29?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-29 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-28 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-27 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 26?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-26 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 24?	1	$28	29	+29	No	+$0	10-24 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 22?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-22 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-20 04:43
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 19?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-19 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-18 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 17?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-17 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-16 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 15?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-15 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-14 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-13 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-12 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-11 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 8?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-08 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 7?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-07 12:39
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 6?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-06 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-04 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-03 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-02 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-01 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 30?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	09-30 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	09-29 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 28?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	09-28 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 27?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	09-27 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 09:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6534f6…
10-30 09:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf1c488…
10-29 17:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3c802f…
10-29 08:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x75cae5…
10-28 05:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7426fa…
10-27 08:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x21d1fb…
10-26 07:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x23694e…
10-24 08:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 24?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xa897a7…
10-22 10:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 22?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x25e28b…
10-20 04:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc40340…
10-19 07:59:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 19?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x972e9c…
10-18 07:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x93589f…
10-17 08:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5a1df9…
10-16 08:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xea2d00…
10-15 08:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcbb4ee…
10-14 08:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x757ec0…
10-13 08:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x482300…
10-12 07:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa0a858…
10-11 07:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x747a6f…
10-08 07:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1d09f3…
10-07 12:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 7?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc4ff31…
10-06 07:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xded2d1…
10-04 10:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcda459…
10-03 04:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9b50f4…
10-02 07:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x757972…
10-01 07:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2ac136…
09-30 10:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa55ac8…
09-29 09:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x934f4a…
09-28 09:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x935d4b…
09-27 08:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xed6b01…
09-25 08:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb1864a…
09-24 06:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa72d32…
09-23 05:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3f534f…
09-22 07:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x71c38c…
09-21 08:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x816621…
09-20 05:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc20a75…
09-19 07:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb44215…
09-18 01:15:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x17dd47…
09-17 03:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x038f9d…
09-16 04:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on September 16?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3ff7bb…
09-15 07:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7b90c1…
09-14 06:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 14?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfe99bf…
09-12 09:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2c79dd…
09-11 07:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x396afd…
09-10 02:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9361c9…
09-09 01:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8a352f…
09-08 01:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x85bf18…
09-07 03:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 7?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7bbc54…
09-06 15:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2a28b4…
09-06 08:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x871d78…
09-05 09:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd9fc8d…
09-04 08:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc85b9c…
09-03 07:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x99f11a…
09-01 01:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x14063a…
08-30 07:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdea3e5…
08-29 06:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x936675…
08-28 02:05:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9ca9b1…
08-27 01:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xeba6bf…
08-26 08:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 26?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4d21d4…
08-25 06:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x019326…
08-24 09:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x33165e…
08-23 07:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 23?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x85449d…
08-22 06:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8f1442…
08-21 02:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 20?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc1ccdc…
08-20 08:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd73543…
08-19 08:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0d7cc1…
08-18 03:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x38eb7c…
08-17 06:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x336d20…
08-16 10:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x975dcd…
08-15 08:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x810f3f…
08-14 06:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc96ab8…
08-13 07:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x343d6b…
08-12 07:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb90e5b…
08-11 00:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xaa5c08…
08-10 00:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbd1d5d…
08-09 01:09:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7a99bf…
08-08 07:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xa9f3a6…
08-07 00:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x29a304…
08-06 00:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd62f84…
08-05 07:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbcc630…
08-04 06:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 4?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcf8ac1…
08-03 01:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xfdb93d…
08-02 01:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x890f97…
08-01 00:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x13b0ed…
07-31 07:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x68d15b…
07-30 00:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x90b7b9…
07-29 05:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 29?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc73467…
07-28 05:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcf95dd…
07-27 07:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa32443…
07-26 06:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6da86f…
07-25 00:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf142fc…
07-24 06:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 24?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5b3991…
07-23 09:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5c0248…
07-23 02:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa375db…
07-22 01:38:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc78684…
07-20 23:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbbf8e7…
07-20 02:12:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe59390…
07-18 22:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 18?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x452221…
07-17 23:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8f3156…
07-17 05:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x35a477…