Meaty-North — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

250

lifetime

Volume

$41.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-18 10:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% — —

Other

43% 100% +$11

Crypto

2% 100% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	11	$7.1K	3,554	3,554	+0	open	—	03-15 02:04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	42	$4.9K	2,629	2,574	+55	Yes	+$11	04-22 12:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$3.5K	1,762	1,762	+0	open	—	03-13 03:12
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$3.5K	1,740	1,739	+1	open	—	03-11 03:15
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	25	$2.0K	2,330	2,141	+189	open	—	03-15 02:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-24 14:29
house passes massie khanna war powers resolution by march 13 231	1	$1.8K	1,774	0	+1,774	open	—	03-14 03:50
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	1	$1.7K	1,753	0	+1,753	open	—	03-11 04:45
will iran strike israel on march 6	1	$1.1K	1,086	0	+1,086	open	—	03-11 08:16
will trump say job 25 times during womens history month event	1	$954	955	0	+955	open	—	03-13 05:59
will trump say six seven during kentucky visit	1	$926	927	0	+927	open	—	03-12 02:12
will trump say biden during womens history month event	1	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	03-13 05:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$723	372	372	+0	open	—	05-11 04:53
will khamenei tweet again on march 11 2026 348	1	$668	669	0	+669	open	—	03-11 07:56
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$503	274	259	+16	open	—	03-26 12:20
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	1	$391	391	0	+391	open	—	02-23 13:55
trump out as president by march 31	2	$386	200	200	+0	open	—	03-02 15:35
will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt7	2	$383	194	190	+4	open	—	03-04 15:30
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	3	$383	193	193	+0	open	—	03-01 04:31
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$368	187	187	+0	open	—	03-07 14:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$351	179	179	+0	open	—	05-06 13:13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$338	173	173	+0	open	—	04-19 11:43
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$317	160	160	+0	open	—	06-27 05:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	2	$295	150	150	+0	open	—	05-16 00:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$295	300	300	+0	open	—	03-01 02:36
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	2	$286	144	144	+0	open	—	03-20 15:28
will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	4	$279	140	140	+0	open	—	06-21 00:13
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	2	$277	140	140	+0	open	—	07-06 09:42
will trump visit china by march 31	4	$273	138	138	+0	open	—	03-25 07:37
will trump say football during ohio visit	1	$265	266	0	+266	open	—	03-12 02:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 10:07:24	will kylian mbappe score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232329169	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb555e9…
07-18 10:06:40	will lionel messi score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232556159	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0a3b6f…
07-18 10:06:09	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xae6995…
07-10 12:10:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xa4bffe…
07-06 09:42:26	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	140	99¢	$139	0xe77597…
06-30 00:26:11	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	140	98¢	$138	0xb32cf3…
06-27 05:26:58	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe90922…
06-27 05:26:23	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$159	0xc89717…
06-23 12:40:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0x98315a…
06-21 03:26:56	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x478079…
06-21 00:13:58	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x5a0d84…
06-18 16:28:32	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9c1429…
06-18 13:50:19	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x79b8f7…
06-11 17:34:54	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x1b8142…
06-11 15:03:49	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xd35983…
06-10 12:19:12	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x71c80d…
06-08 03:06:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	153	2¢	$3	0x3a5ecf…
06-03 06:46:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	153	97¢	$149	0x99f5aa…
06-03 05:10:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	153	1¢	$2	0x5225dc…
06-01 13:22:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x1622fe…
05-24 14:29:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$988	0x8d94b9…
05-22 16:22:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x76fceb…
05-22 14:49:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6cdb2e…
05-22 14:16:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x443c00…
05-22 08:29:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$970	0xf8ecc8…
05-22 03:46:40	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xc0a671…
05-22 01:34:46	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5ed8a0…
05-21 12:30:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xeba9f5…
05-16 00:51:06	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0xf4cd9e…
05-14 06:46:47	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x371808…
05-14 06:39:34	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3be357…
05-14 04:11:51	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xd4fd19…
05-14 03:47:15	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd80649…
05-14 03:46:07	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8bc888…
05-14 03:45:37	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4393a5…
05-14 03:44:06	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x292cee…
05-14 03:43:28	Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xadbbdb…
05-11 04:53:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	185	98¢	$181	0xf972b2…
05-10 05:54:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	185	97¢	$180	0xb089bf…
05-08 15:47:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	187	97¢	$181	0x27cd9b…
05-08 14:44:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	187	96¢	$180	0x82668d…
05-06 13:13:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	179	99¢	$177	0x3282c6…
05-04 21:18:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	179	97¢	$174	0xe77da5…
05-04 11:46:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x20a61f…
05-02 07:03:28	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x6608a0…
05-02 06:47:48	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xae1cbb…
05-02 06:35:12	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb16844…
05-02 06:19:04	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x2583ac…
05-02 06:07:52	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x479f91…
05-02 05:37:14	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb5debf…
05-02 05:36:26	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf238f7…
05-02 04:42:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x959050…
05-02 04:10:48	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd008f9…
05-02 04:09:20	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x9a3f2f…
04-30 04:49:02	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	130	98¢	$128	0x64267c…
04-30 03:25:02	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24ba46…
04-30 03:23:08	Will Trump say "Mars" 2+ times during astronaut greeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc8005…
04-30 03:22:32	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc35056…
04-30 03:21:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79d498…
04-30 03:21:30	Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x370f7d…
04-22 12:00:10	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	179	95¢	$170	0xbf59ce…
04-19 13:13:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	179	94¢	$169	0x9fc397…
04-19 11:43:18	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	173	98¢	$169	0x59f919…
04-19 03:25:44	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	173	97¢	$169	0xcb2aaf…
04-17 18:54:50	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x61bdc5…
04-17 11:55:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	180	94¢	$170	0x36b11b…
04-15 15:31:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	180	94¢	$170	0x8a36b4…
04-14 13:06:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	180	95¢	$171	0x5c7d85…
04-13 06:13:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	58	94¢	$54	0xaf3884…
04-13 05:46:39	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x0f7af8…
04-13 05:42:09	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf61e76…
04-13 05:39:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	22	94¢	$20	0x7b7a9a…
04-13 03:29:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x83a954…
04-13 03:29:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x1fc8d0…
04-12 14:41:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x02bac2…
04-11 08:11:05	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0xd87c0d…
04-11 04:50:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x488bea…
04-11 03:40:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x2ab7c5…
04-10 17:05:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0xb73b9a…
04-09 21:51:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0xed9f75…
04-09 17:15:05	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	110	97¢	$106	0xff2ced…
04-08 14:05:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x1edefb…
04-07 21:14:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0x6d8260…
04-06 21:07:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x7ebfdd…
04-05 04:23:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	48	96¢	$47	0x6dc47c…
04-05 04:19:47	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x7130cb…
04-05 04:15:53	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0xb34535…
04-05 03:14:13	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xff2971…
03-29 05:35:24	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x15e7d7…
03-28 14:14:37	Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x657a5c…
03-26 12:24:57	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x25916d…
03-26 12:20:47	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xce9390…
03-26 12:20:13	highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 10c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xcc1215…
03-26 12:19:17	will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x678085…
03-26 12:18:39	will trump talk to yoon suk yeol in march 483	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5edb62…
03-26 12:17:51	will gas hit low 3pt00 by march 31	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x0664f7…
03-25 07:37:45	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x349d64…
03-25 07:37:25	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x910689…
03-25 06:54:33	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0xab8924…
03-25 06:51:29	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x11181c…