Aggressive-Allergist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$497

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

200

Trades

555

lifetime

Volume

$52.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-13 02:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

48% 80% -$73

Politics

34% 79% -$411

Crypto

16% 83% -$4

Sports

2% 29% -$11

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	15	$4.2K	1,960	2,345	-385	No	-$6	01-22 14:46
trump out as president by march 31	52	$3.0K	1,751	1,371	+380	No	+$13	03-25 02:03
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	15	$2.2K	1,111	1,111	+0	No	+$1	01-10 03:46
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$2.1K	1,063	1,063	+0	No	+$1	01-19 02:49
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	18	$1.8K	1,233	932	+301	Yes	+$37	06-27 12:31
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	4	$1.5K	1,770	430	+1,340	No	+$9	06-01 02:29
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$1.5K	745	743	+2	No	+$0	02-13 03:06
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	5	$1.5K	740	740	+0	No	+$0	01-09 01:55
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	10	$1.4K	761	761	+0	Yes	+$0	01-12 12:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	6	$1.2K	591	591	+0	No	+$4	05-22 08:48
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	5	$1.2K	589	564	+25	No	+$1	01-03 06:53
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	3	$1.1K	738	369	+369	Yes	+$0	02-09 14:37
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	3	$1.1K	1,887	113	+1,774	No	-$16	06-17 14:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	13	$869	440	440	+0	No	+$1	04-23 04:09
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	6	$862	439	439	+0	No	+$0	03-19 14:20
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	10	$830	1,094	200	+894	No	-$4	06-17 14:13
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	3	$737	370	370	+0	No	+$0	01-10 01:46
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$736	369	369	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 14:31
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$735	371	371	+0	No	-$1	01-12 03:33
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	4	$735	368	368	+0	Yes	+$0	02-13 16:35
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	6	$732	369	369	+0	No	+$0	02-08 13:17
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	4	$730	368	368	+0	No	+$1	02-06 18:06
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	6	$729	396	396	+0	Yes	+$3	06-19 06:52
will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	2	$719	380	380	+0	No	-$12	02-06 09:29
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$678	340	340	-0	Yes	+$0	01-02 04:58
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	4	$658	205	459	-254	No	$0	03-02 16:57
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?	4	$650	643	357	+286	Yes	$0	06-17 09:44
Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	5	$649	1,208	0	+1,208	No	-$370	06-06 08:40
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	6	$526	275	251	+24	Yes	+$0	01-04 03:41
will todd lombardo advance from the ca 37 primary election	7	$517	1,182	656	+526	No	-$113	06-09 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 02:27:22	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x64e683…
07-23 14:07:54	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3f48a8…
07-18 03:54:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4be382…
07-08 13:16:07	will wti dip to 40 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd9ac19…
07-07 20:45:11	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0x1339fb…
07-07 20:43:44	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x291910…
07-07 20:21:32	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0x1b568f…
07-06 01:38:40	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	72	96¢	$69	0x6aa6c0…
07-05 13:08:11	will wti dip to 35 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4a7f94…
07-02 08:33:23	Will Mike Collins win the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election by 10–15%?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xaf6fea…
06-27 12:33:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xaba37d…
06-27 12:32:07	Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	111	7¢	$8	0x315bbf…
06-27 12:31:38	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	No	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x1e85a6…
06-25 15:53:10	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	SELL	294	5¢	$14	0x34d495…
06-25 10:35:11	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	72	94¢	$68	0x2999a0…
06-22 11:03:32	will xauusd dip to 3850 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	140	4¢	$6	0x5b8641…
06-22 10:58:52	will xauusd dip to 3850 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0x521ec8…
06-22 05:00:05	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0x8e2525…
06-22 01:49:14	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	58	23¢	$13	0x6a7ef6…
06-22 01:49:02	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	58	23¢	$13	0xcd9e70…
06-21 02:05:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x8a5a20…
06-19 19:03:23	Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	No	SELL	150	92¢	$139	0x4f5fda…
06-19 11:15:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xb4f309…
06-19 11:14:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xa42d04…
06-19 08:10:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	52¢	$39	0x732b88…
06-19 08:10:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$155	0x76dbc0…
06-19 06:52:37	Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	Yes	SELL	146	93¢	$135	0x4613ab…
06-19 06:33:04	Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x6618e4…
06-19 01:23:22	will wti reach 95 by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x6cd7cc…
06-18 23:01:49	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	39	27¢	$11	0x58a411…
06-18 20:14:10	Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xaadcd6…
06-18 20:05:32	will wti reach 95 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xc44d09…
06-18 19:06:13	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x3878ac…
06-18 17:01:29	Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1e9afa…
06-18 16:13:52	Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	144	83¢	$120	0x30c12e…
06-18 16:06:49	Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x13f25a…
06-18 15:12:05	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x7fbe20…
06-18 14:57:38	Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0xc17df1…
06-18 11:41:58	Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xff4256…
06-18 10:11:38	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$15	0xd0af22…
06-18 10:00:49	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x87621a…
06-18 09:06:16	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751352	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x3e2ef2…
06-18 08:49:10	Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	68	24¢	$16	0xe926f0…
06-18 08:47:43	Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$151	0x75e144…
06-18 08:38:41	Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x4b2c9a…
06-18 08:38:25	Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	193	21¢	$40	0x197e27…
06-18 08:38:04	Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	55	19¢	$10	0x9ddda4…
06-18 06:14:44	Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$1	0x812d27…
06-18 05:51:38	Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x09ec71…
06-18 05:51:10	Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xb86bd4…
06-18 05:30:55	Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x5b156f…
06-18 05:27:32	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x0ae129…
06-18 05:26:43	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	37	91¢	$34	0x2015e9…
06-18 05:26:01	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0x0a38fc…
06-18 05:25:26	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x60e54d…
06-18 05:25:25	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	81	91¢	$74	0xdabc9b…
06-18 05:25:07	Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	127	7¢	$9	0x287d31…
06-18 05:21:38	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	26	91¢	$23	0x5c9256…
06-18 05:20:50	Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	300	7¢	$21	0x75fe44…
06-18 05:20:32	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	301	93¢	$280	0x70baa5…
06-18 05:06:11	Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xeb9be2…
06-18 05:06:11	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x502d66…
06-18 04:45:40	Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	Yes	BUY	196	93¢	$181	0x8af122…
06-18 04:44:37	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x78170a…
06-18 03:53:07	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x45c443…
06-18 03:51:10	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751352	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x0a3f00…
06-18 03:45:02	Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x30bd4e…
06-18 03:43:44	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x14ab6d…
06-18 03:40:19	Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$38	0xb38515…
06-18 03:39:23	Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xeac236…
06-18 03:37:14	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0x84f873…
06-18 03:28:29	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	500	86¢	$430	0xfacd3c…
06-18 03:24:52	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0xf6062e…
06-18 03:24:37	Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4267f0…
06-18 03:08:47	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xd8a584…
06-18 02:41:05	Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	150	80¢	$119	0xb2edf6…
06-18 02:27:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 18?	No	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x8c7c59…
06-18 02:25:04	Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?	No	SELL	250	3¢	$8	0x5c9b67…
06-18 02:12:44	Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x5ea188…
06-18 02:12:38	Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x79e210…
06-18 02:12:37	Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xfbe219…
06-18 02:12:35	Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	No	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x75bd68…
06-18 02:09:05	Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?	No	BUY	250	6¢	$16	0x56f012…
06-18 02:08:53	Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?	No	SELL	150	93¢	$140	0x30fa27…
06-18 01:34:41	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 18?	No	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x58150b…
06-18 01:28:14	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 18?	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x45e53b…
06-17 20:13:28	Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	Yes	SELL	130	92¢	$120	0x601b95…
06-17 15:18:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0x7df7a7…
06-17 14:47:14	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0xaa077b…
06-17 14:32:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	230	18¢	$41	0x3f00f8…
06-17 14:28:32	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	36	27¢	$10	0x7f3f43…
06-17 14:26:01	Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0xa6b0be…
06-17 14:23:41	Will Mike Collins win the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election by 10–15%?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xe188d2…
06-17 14:17:22	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	113	85¢	$96	0x3fa104…
06-17 14:13:31	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	8¢	$18	0xef1bda…
06-17 14:10:41	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	8¢	$18	0x99ae26…
06-17 13:57:17	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	99	93¢	$92	0xeaf8a4…
06-17 13:57:17	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0xd9b866…
06-17 13:57:17	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	94¢	$140	0xc22bce…
06-17 13:39:16	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xf275fb…