Aggressive-Allergist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

408

lifetime

Volume

$44.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

$64

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-27 12:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$1

Politics

30% — —

Crypto

19% 100% +$0

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+72	$68	89¢	$64	$-4	06-25 10:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	15	$4.2K	1,960	2,345	-385	open	—	01-22 14:46
trump out as president by march 31	52	$3.0K	1,751	1,371	+380	open	—	03-25 02:03
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	15	$2.2K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	01-10 03:46
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$2.1K	1,063	1,063	+0	open	—	01-19 02:49
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	4	$1.5K	1,770	430	+1,340	open	—	06-01 02:29
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$1.5K	745	743	+2	open	—	02-13 03:06
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	5	$1.5K	740	740	+0	open	—	01-09 01:55
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	10	$1.4K	761	761	+0	open	—	01-12 12:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	6	$1.2K	591	591	+0	open	—	05-22 08:48
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	5	$1.2K	589	564	+25	open	—	01-03 06:53
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	3	$1.1K	738	369	+369	open	—	02-09 14:37
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	3	$1.1K	1,887	113	+1,774	open	—	06-17 14:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	13	$869	440	440	+0	open	—	04-23 04:09
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	6	$862	439	439	+0	open	—	03-19 14:20
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	3	$737	370	370	+0	open	—	01-10 01:46
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$736	369	369	+0	open	—	02-09 14:31
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$735	371	371	+0	open	—	01-12 03:33
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	4	$735	368	368	+0	open	—	02-13 16:35
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	6	$732	369	369	+0	open	—	02-08 13:17
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	4	$730	368	368	+0	open	—	02-06 18:06
will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	2	$719	380	380	+0	open	—	02-06 09:29
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$678	340	340	-0	open	—	01-02 04:58
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	4	$658	205	459	-254	open	—	03-02 16:57
Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	5	$649	1,208	0	+1,208	open	—	06-06 08:40
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	6	$526	275	251	+24	open	—	01-04 03:41
will todd lombardo advance from the ca 37 primary election	7	$517	1,182	656	+526	open	—	06-09 17:06
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	1	$379	380	0	+380	open	—	02-03 13:38
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1	$378	379	0	+379	open	—	01-25 22:18
winter games 2026 athlete to be stripped of medal	1	$373	375	0	+375	open	—	02-23 11:43
will the dhs shutdown last 7 days or more	1	$372	373	0	+373	open	—	02-19 12:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 12:33:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xaba37d…
06-25 15:53:10	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	SELL	294	5¢	$14	0x34d495…
06-25 10:35:11	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	72	94¢	$68	0x2999a0…
06-22 11:03:32	will xauusd dip to 3850 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	140	4¢	$6	0x5b8641…
06-22 10:58:52	will xauusd dip to 3850 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0x521ec8…
06-22 05:00:05	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0x8e2525…
06-21 02:05:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x8a5a20…
06-19 11:15:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xb4f309…
06-19 11:14:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xa42d04…
06-19 08:10:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	52¢	$39	0x732b88…
06-19 08:10:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$155	0x76dbc0…
06-19 01:23:22	will wti reach 95 by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x6cd7cc…
06-18 20:05:32	will wti reach 95 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xc44d09…
06-18 09:06:16	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751352	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x3e2ef2…
06-18 03:51:10	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751352	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x0a3f00…
06-17 15:18:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0x7df7a7…
06-17 14:32:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	230	18¢	$41	0x3f00f8…
06-17 14:17:22	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	113	85¢	$96	0x3fa104…
06-17 11:37:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	70	18¢	$13	0xbc5f9a…
06-17 02:03:12	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	BUY	294	5¢	$16	0xd39060…
06-12 08:43:25	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbae8a9…
06-09 17:06:36	will todd lombardo advance from the ca 37 primary election	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x87ab70…
06-06 08:40:27	will baltazar fedalizo advance from the ca 37 primary election	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x6307bf…
06-06 02:24:51	will trump say landslide during wisconsin events 20260602174202020	Yes	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0xe425b7…
06-06 02:04:58	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	887	4¢	$37	0x2767e2…
06-05 14:42:13	will apple announce a foldable iphone during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0x9ab51b…
06-05 14:13:01	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$962	0x295a22…
06-05 13:32:25	will eugene weems advance from the ca 33 primary election	No	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x711f82…
06-05 13:31:09	will apple announce a foldable iphone during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x613440…
06-05 12:13:43	will apple announce a foldable iphone during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x6d3301…
06-05 11:54:04	will apple announce a foldable iphone during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x56d612…
06-05 08:51:31	will apple announce a foldable iphone during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0xa22000…
06-05 08:32:25	will apple announce a foldable iphone during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x3d17fc…
06-05 04:02:36	will thunder downunder qualify to stage 2 at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf4d84b…
06-05 03:59:19	will gamerlegion qualify to stage 2 at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x4c2cec…
06-04 05:04:10	will todd lombardo advance from the ca 37 primary election	Yes	SELL	297	0¢	$1	0xa1ed7d…
06-04 03:18:09	will larry thompson advance from the ca 32 primary election	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xdc92a0…
06-04 03:14:58	will sam gallucci advance from the ca 26 primary election	Yes	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0xd23e5c…
06-03 04:10:33	Will Jotham Stein advance from the CA-16 primary election?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x467688…
06-03 04:09:15	will eugene weems advance from the ca 33 primary election	No	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0xa7a49d…
06-03 04:07:52	Will Larry Thompson advance from the CA-32 primary election?	Yes	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x40e8ea…
06-03 04:00:19	Will Tom Herman advance from the CA-33 primary election?	No	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xc65b6a…
06-03 03:50:28	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	Yes	SELL	263	28¢	$74	0x3085e2…
06-02 15:20:26	Will Elizabeth Fenner advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xab8076…
06-01 13:40:00	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	Yes	SELL	88	39¢	$34	0xfcae8e…
06-01 13:39:44	Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	BUY	88	47¢	$41	0x9fa188…
06-01 13:01:28	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	Yes	BUY	566	31¢	$173	0xbd95f9…
06-01 12:57:44	Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	Yes	BUY	500	56¢	$280	0x02977e…
06-01 09:04:21	Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	BUY	185	45¢	$83	0x55a054…
06-01 09:04:09	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	BUY	185	65¢	$120	0x6a9835…
06-01 08:53:58	Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	Yes	BUY	430	56¢	$243	0x4227a2…
06-01 08:53:39	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	Yes	BUY	430	27¢	$114	0xdbdd39…
06-01 08:48:41	Will Chris Espinosa advance from the CA-26 primary election?	Yes	BUY	127	10¢	$13	0x1aee2b…
06-01 08:48:01	Will Sam Gallucci advance from the CA-26 primary election?	No	SELL	127	34¢	$43	0x2476d2…
06-01 02:29:17	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	Yes	BUY	670	2¢	$15	0x8b0f63…
05-31 15:44:35	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	No	SELL	275	98¢	$270	0x445d5f…
05-31 13:20:27	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	No	SELL	155	98¢	$151	0x78c82f…
05-31 12:51:18	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	No	BUY	1,100	97¢	$1,067	0x4d0f1f…
05-30 20:08:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	207	1¢	$2	0x10dd8b…
05-30 04:57:11	Will Elizabeth Fenner advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x971832…
05-25 17:12:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0x3782e4…
05-22 08:48:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0x884dfa…
05-21 05:25:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x3e7334…
05-21 02:24:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	215	99¢	$213	0x0fef69…
05-18 13:22:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	215	98¢	$212	0x8c6bad…
05-16 15:43:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	868	1¢	$10	0xd1ed30…
05-16 14:31:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xfcacb7…
05-16 13:05:59	Will Trump say "Elon" or "Jensen" or "Tim" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x1bcf3e…
05-16 12:21:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x790564…
05-16 12:14:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x1783e5…
05-16 12:12:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	251	1¢	$3	0xa2c664…
05-16 08:51:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	654	1¢	$7	0x40cd4e…
05-16 08:38:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6b492e…
05-16 08:34:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0xf6527a…
05-16 05:09:13	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe1a5da…
05-15 02:31:25	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbc244…
05-15 02:31:04	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe8a622…
05-14 03:56:02	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xee0607…
05-14 03:55:34	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf5ce9a…
05-08 14:40:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	166	97¢	$161	0x2fd97c…
05-08 14:33:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	166	96¢	$160	0x11d720…
05-05 03:48:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	178	98¢	$174	0xeffcaa…
05-04 21:18:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	178	98¢	$174	0xe77da5…
04-30 02:26:32	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in April?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x92c192…
04-30 02:26:08	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x2b9a62…
04-30 02:24:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf5a94b…
04-30 02:23:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd8c99c…
04-27 12:15:44	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$172	0xa81a3a…
04-25 15:49:16	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	BUY	173	98¢	$169	0x9464c0…
04-23 04:09:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x0074e8…
04-21 09:22:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x3dc4a3…
04-20 19:32:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$138	0x26a4b0…
04-19 13:27:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	139	99¢	$138	0x00f573…
04-19 10:21:52	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	140	98¢	$136	0xa12a20…
04-19 03:38:50	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	140	96¢	$135	0x59fe84…
04-17 05:46:54	will mark rutte say trump during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xd92fd7…
04-17 05:46:42	will mark rutte say europe during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6308bf…
04-17 05:46:28	will mark rutte say trump during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x610971…
04-14 04:02:07	will trump say friend or ally 7 times during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf17772…
04-14 04:01:13	will trump say friend or ally 7 times during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0x8b011f…