Upset-Sophomore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

196

lifetime

Volume

$21.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$111

Open exposure

$66

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-08 22:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% 100% +$66

Other

45% — —

Sports

9% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No		+102	$68	64¢	$66	$-2	06-06 19:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	41	$7.5K	6,583	5,509	+1,075	open	—	05-11 11:40
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	35	$6.3K	4,164	4,391	-226	open	—	05-31 23:44
will khvicha kvaratskhelia score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$1.8K	0	1,846	-1,846	open	—	06-08 22:30
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	11	$1.4K	3,290	3,290	+0	open	—	05-16 21:45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?	35	$1.1K	2,355	1	+2,354	open	—	04-24 23:15
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	5	$971	522	522	+0	open	—	06-01 09:11
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	10	$462	10,420	400	+10,020	open	—	05-28 22:16
Will Trump say "ISIS" in May?	1	$323	334	0	+334	Yes	+$11	05-05 13:10
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	7	$251	334	0	+334	open	—	05-29 21:41
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	2	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	05-29 22:35
Will Trump say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" this week?	2	$182	210	0	+210	Yes	+$28	05-05 12:49
Will Trump say "Terminate the Filibuster" in May?	1	$175	186	0	+186	Yes	+$11	05-05 13:12
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	7	$112	300	500	-200	open	—	05-15 00:20
Will Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)	1	$110	256	0	+256	open	—	04-26 19:31
Will Trump say "Pope" in May?	2	$108	119	0	+119	open	—	05-05 13:13
Will Donald Trump dance on May 19, 2026?	4	$100	107	0	+107	open	—	05-20 03:45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by May 31, 2026?	1	$100	115	0	+115	Yes	+$15	05-05 19:15
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	3	$78	150	0	+150	open	—	05-22 05:11
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	3	$68	102	0	+102	open	—	06-06 19:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$67	349	349	+0	open	—	06-01 11:36
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	2	$65	86	0	+86	open	—	05-29 05:22
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	7	$63	314	314	+0	open	—	05-15 00:19
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	4	$28	555	0	+555	open	—	06-01 20:56
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	1	$26	500	0	+500	open	—	05-22 04:23
Drake Iceman sculpture Date Revealed by April 24?	1	$19	564	0	+564	open	—	04-22 14:31
Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	3	$18	550	560	-10	open	—	06-02 23:11
Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	05-15 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 22:30:19	will khvicha kvaratskhelia score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	1,846	100¢	$1,844	0x67a6b3…
06-06 19:04:27	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	BUY	54	67¢	$37	0xe45440…
06-06 19:04:13	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	BUY	43	66¢	$28	0xa2e455…
06-06 19:03:55	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x260a1d…
06-02 23:11:22	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	No	SELL	560	1¢	$5	0x6d8f08…
06-02 23:06:16	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x0507ee…
06-01 20:56:46	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	Yes	BUY	433	5¢	$22	0xced936…
06-01 20:09:09	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x65b766…
06-01 14:30:29	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x0441c1…
06-01 11:36:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	349	12¢	$41	0x9ac687…
06-01 09:11:35	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	522	96¢	$500	0xe57a57…
06-01 08:28:20	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x67aafb…
05-31 23:44:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,871	86¢	$2,457	0x252cff…
05-31 23:40:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	90¢	$540	0xd97b59…
05-31 23:33:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	91¢	$228	0x898800…
05-31 23:32:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	215	92¢	$198	0x5b86fa…
05-31 23:29:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0x7e457b…
05-31 23:28:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x8b0eef…
05-31 23:28:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x3f052f…
05-31 23:27:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x1a61c8…
05-31 23:26:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	91¢	$362	0x188863…
05-31 21:41:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	68¢	$340	0xd74f39…
05-31 21:38:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	745	67¢	$503	0xe69b31…
05-31 21:30:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	766	68¢	$518	0xcafc34…
05-31 20:55:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	553	49¢	$272	0x3f1721…
05-31 20:52:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc2793a…
05-31 20:52:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	53¢	$84	0xeeb809…
05-31 20:49:45	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0xcc623d…
05-31 18:31:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	389	69¢	$267	0xa097d6…
05-31 18:27:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x2857f3…
05-31 18:26:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x00b76c…
05-31 18:26:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	55¢	$49	0x3bed9b…
05-31 17:40:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x6c3cc8…
05-31 17:40:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x9f23b2…
05-31 17:40:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	59¢	$14	0xb301c5…
05-31 17:32:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xd02419…
05-31 17:32:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x90b3ad…
05-31 17:28:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbfeb6a…
05-31 17:22:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0x80022e…
05-31 16:03:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	56¢	$48	0x20e0e1…
05-31 14:42:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xf34bc7…
05-31 14:37:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	51¢	$76	0x9c6108…
05-31 13:40:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x62a2b9…
05-31 13:09:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x414e29…
05-31 13:09:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x904202…
05-31 13:09:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	8¢	$15	0xaae3e0…
05-30 23:59:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	31¢	$18	0xa87d96…
05-30 23:58:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	25¢	$47	0xfa896c…
05-29 22:36:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	32¢	$18	0x087171…
05-29 22:35:57	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$99	0x2ef42d…
05-29 21:41:14	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	166	75¢	$124	0x2ec45c…
05-29 20:41:07	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	75¢	$26	0xdcec3d…
05-29 20:18:24	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	No	BUY	490	2¢	$10	0xeb41f8…
05-29 19:37:08	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0x41ef32…
05-29 18:19:24	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb7cc89…
05-29 17:36:31	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xdd67a9…
05-29 15:21:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd638a3…
05-29 14:58:54	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	76	75¢	$57	0xe6b188…
05-29 05:22:40	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x932924…
05-29 05:22:29	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xbaca49…
05-29 01:18:44	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x4ac2c0…
05-29 01:04:37	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	64	91¢	$58	0x68d1f4…
05-29 01:02:16	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xeb1ccc…
05-29 01:02:07	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	136	91¢	$123	0xc10c81…
05-29 00:54:46	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x66f955…
05-28 22:16:22	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x7b9ec8…
05-28 22:15:52	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x5b74de…
05-28 22:13:34	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	779	0¢	$2	0xd13e43…
05-28 22:13:28	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc5636f…
05-28 22:13:25	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$8	0x2200e3…
05-28 22:13:13	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	1,239	0¢	$4	0xfa6fbd…
05-28 11:30:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0x892747…
05-27 23:03:55	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x0be6fd…
05-22 05:11:44	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	50	51¢	$25	0x556ba9…
05-22 05:11:27	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	81	53¢	$43	0x6593b2…
05-22 04:38:56	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x788218…
05-22 04:23:05	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$26	0xe10a80…
05-20 03:45:57	Will Donald Trump dance on May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xa8cb12…
05-20 03:45:50	Will Donald Trump dance on May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb36f42…
05-20 03:45:42	Will Donald Trump dance on May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x07313c…
05-20 03:45:33	Will Donald Trump dance on May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	90¢	$27	0xc2c5f5…
05-16 21:45:21	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	SELL	719	100¢	$718	0x84e9b6…
05-15 20:47:16	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc43dc7…
05-15 20:47:10	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	BUY	153	15¢	$23	0x3ef609…
05-15 20:35:18	Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x0a9a7b…
05-15 00:20:08	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	267	18¢	$49	0xe29a6a…
05-15 00:19:38	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	291	16¢	$46	0x1b34b8…
05-15 00:16:29	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x1f6cf2…
05-15 00:16:19	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x785740…
05-15 00:16:13	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	22¢	$11	0xe81a72…
05-15 00:16:08	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	103	22¢	$23	0xcf2611…
05-15 00:16:08	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	22¢	$8	0x50bbaa…
05-15 00:15:56	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0xbd69c7…
05-14 13:25:43	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	4¢	$11	0xc94b9a…
05-14 13:20:05	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x3b551c…
05-14 13:20:00	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	4¢	$2	0x634b51…
05-14 13:17:58	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	85	4¢	$3	0xd326f3…
05-14 13:17:02	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	65	4¢	$2	0x7a32b5…
05-14 13:14:38	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x9014f8…
05-13 01:12:59	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x681862…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	20	$4.61K	552	06-02 18:35
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	19	$2.62K	195	06-02 23:11
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	17	$8.11K	1,004	06-09 23:18
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	17	$3.70K	1,123	06-09 22:12
Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824	14	$29.6K	179	06-07 19:31
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	14	$1.95K	377	06-10 03:41
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	13	$917.3K	1,166	06-10 01:55
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	13	$30.9K	772	06-09 23:15