Alert-Affect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

283

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$6.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 17:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$8

Politics

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	11-02 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-31 17:23
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 30?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-30 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-29 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-28 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-27 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-26 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-24 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 22?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-22 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-20 04:51
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-19 08:39
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-18 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17?	1	$28	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-17 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-16 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-15 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-14 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-13 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-12 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-11 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 8?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-08 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-07 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 6?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-06 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-04 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-03 05:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-02 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 1?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-01 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	09-30 12:03
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 29?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	09-29 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	09-28 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 27?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	09-27 08:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 13:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x07de4f…
10-31 17:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4cf89d…
10-30 09:56:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 30?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xace8c3…
10-29 08:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcfbbb7…
10-28 07:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x24cf4e…
10-27 08:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc6f3fa…
10-26 09:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xaabde0…
10-24 10:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x1f9a7d…
10-22 10:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcb5725…
10-20 04:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc651bd…
10-19 08:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xdbeb39…
10-18 08:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0c3e35…
10-17 09:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x51bc16…
10-16 08:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x37142d…
10-15 09:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb6c7ea…
10-14 09:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4314cd…
10-13 08:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd4384f…
10-12 08:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xac3b8d…
10-11 08:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x54f412…
10-08 08:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 8?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3e89df…
10-07 13:18:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x871d45…
10-06 07:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x73f955…
10-04 10:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xee0cfa…
10-03 05:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x502bc1…
10-02 07:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb3dcd5…
10-01 08:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd09b24…
09-30 12:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xab6577…
09-29 09:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 29?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xaf355a…
09-28 09:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcae4fc…
09-27 08:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8e7a12…
09-25 08:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb030ea…
09-24 08:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x94ceee…
09-23 06:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x11bf6e…
09-22 07:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3c9c19…
09-21 08:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe2d2c9…
09-20 05:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x38383c…
09-19 07:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x792389…
09-18 01:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb01e24…
09-17 03:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdd97d7…
09-16 07:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x53039e…
09-15 08:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf9ef50…
09-14 08:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5f58cc…
09-12 10:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3b817a…
09-11 07:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcdca00…
09-10 02:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xba031e…
09-09 09:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x4b01e5…
09-09 01:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3fc15c…
09-08 02:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc96181…
09-07 08:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9d1723…
09-06 17:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7828f5…
09-06 09:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdecb29…
09-05 09:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdde59f…
09-04 09:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdc6df0…
09-03 09:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3768bb…
09-02 06:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x23f82a…
08-30 08:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4a14d5…
08-29 07:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x45ae15…
08-28 07:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x103032…
08-27 07:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8a02d5…
08-26 08:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x615ba4…
08-25 08:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd434a3…
08-24 09:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6f0a39…
08-23 14:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xebbb5c…
08-22 07:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd7f183…
08-21 06:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 21?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb82af1…
08-20 08:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 20?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3bf530…
08-19 08:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x500dcb…
08-18 06:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa58c60…
08-17 07:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe84906…
08-16 11:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x68703b…
08-15 09:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x506c07…
08-14 06:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xebfb48…
08-13 07:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe8473e…
08-12 07:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x079784…
08-11 03:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0d0535…
08-10 00:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xf12395…
08-09 01:14:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x3931ff…
08-08 07:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x656384…
08-07 00:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x897677…
08-06 00:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcb1499…
08-05 07:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3a5196…
08-04 07:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x17a928…
08-03 01:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x57364e…
08-02 01:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x88af3f…
08-01 06:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 1?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7b751a…
07-31 07:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x53392f…
07-30 06:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4240e3…
07-29 06:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xed7345…
07-28 06:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x12450c…
07-27 07:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd24e36…
07-26 06:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd52eb2…
07-25 01:04:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2bf781…
07-24 09:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc5bdae…
07-23 02:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe61cf8…
07-22 01:43:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x48aec0…
07-20 23:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x70f0b0…
07-20 02:17:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6fcb04…
07-18 22:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x82538a…
07-18 00:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8f2aeb…
07-17 06:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x83661e…