Realized P&L
+$6.43K
Unrealized P&L
-$103
Hit rate
81.7%
Resolved
340
Trades
1,499
lifetime
Volume
$166.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$111
Open exposure
$2.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 11-04 23:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
77% 48% +$6,206
Sports
11% 59% +$384
Crypto
5% 71% -$31
Politics
5% 94% -$27
Tech
1% 60% -$106
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +430 $346 90¢ $385 +$38 08-05 08:35
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +330 $317 94¢ $309 -$8 08-18 18:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +220 $109 57¢ $125 +$16 10-07 10:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November? No +120 $110 94¢ $112 +$2 11-02 06:27
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +130 $107 82¢ $106 -$1 09-10 14:33
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +106 $99 97¢ $103 +$4 10-23 00:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +220 $94 43¢ $95 +$1 11-01 08:13
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +90 $83 97¢ $87 +$4 09-17 01:49
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $74 91¢ $82 +$8 09-18 21:10
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +80 $74 99¢ $79 +$5 09-01 18:57
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +80 $73 98¢ $79 +$6 08-19 15:01
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +130 $29 59¢ $77 +$48 08-03 14:11
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +80 $71 96¢ $77 +$6 09-01 16:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +190 $124 32¢ $62 -$62 10-01 10:13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +140 $108 40¢ $57 -$51 10-01 10:12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +60 $53 92¢ $55 +$2 10-25 23:13
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +80 $42 66¢ $53 +$11 10-17 04:34
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +60 $55 88¢ $53 -$2 08-05 22:58
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +60 $54 82¢ $49 -$5 08-05 12:37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +80 $21 61¢ $49 +$28 08-14 14:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +430 $79 11¢ $45 -$34 08-08 18:40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +210 $38 14¢ $30 -$9 08-06 00:04
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +80 $36 34¢ $27 -$9 08-06 07:35
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +130 $42 18¢ $24 -$18 09-29 07:00
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +330 $25 6¢ $21 -$4 10-25 23:12
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +60 $5 18¢ $11 +$5 08-04 19:05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +210 $17 5¢ $10 -$6 08-05 23:05
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? Yes +62 $43 16¢ $10 -$33 10-06 09:10
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? Yes +60 $52 16¢ $10 -$42 10-06 08:58
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +90 $12 9¢ $8 -$3 10-01 17:30