Querulous-Futon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.14K

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

1,798

Trades

9,092

lifetime

Volume

$1.55M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$171

Open exposure

$194

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-28 04:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

58% 87% -$32,858

Crypto

21% 88% -$6,985

Politics

11% 61% +$7,808

Sports

10% 93% -$16,620

Tech

1% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 642 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	-5,890	-$1,435	3¢	$-194	+$1,241	05-18 02:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+0	$63	72¢	$0	-$63	09-17 12:53
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	+0	$35	4¢	$0	-$35	05-23 04:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$39.1K	21,365	21,365	+0	open	—	10-09 02:47
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	72	$35.5K	23,521	23,521	+0	Yes	+$1,435	05-01 21:18
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	5	$31.8K	16,659	16,659	+0	Yes	+$1,059	06-20 18:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$20.9K	11,726	11,726	+0	Yes	+$803	09-16 18:07
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	41	$20.7K	21,709	9,135	+12,574	Buccaneers	-$2,477	10-09 03:18
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?	3	$19.9K	19,937	0	+19,937	No	+$21	09-30 21:07
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	2	$19.4K	22,419	22,419	+0	Yes	-$11,133	06-20 21:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	16	$15.8K	12,982	2,937	+10,045	Yes	+$7	09-30 12:39
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7?	68	$13.5K	6,989	6,989	+0	No	+$496	08-07 13:32
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	27	$13.0K	6,756	6,756	+0	Yes	+$507	05-02 06:56
Eagles vs. Jaguars	16	$12.7K	12,610	610	+12,000	Jaguars	-$11,948	10-11 17:10
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	15	$12.0K	6,330	6,330	+0	open	—	09-17 12:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$11.8K	10,920	10,920	+0	Yes	+$6,542	04-07 22:37
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10?	1	$10.8K	10,842	0	+10,842	No	+$44	10-10 15:25
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	26	$10.6K	5,747	5,747	+0	No	+$128	05-05 23:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$10.0K	5,048	5,048	+0	No	+$0	09-16 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?	3	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$10	10-01 07:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	6	$9.7K	9,723	0	+9,723	Yes	+$30	10-09 20:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	19	$9.7K	12,669	12,669	+0	open	—	05-12 11:57
Clippers vs. Raptors	8	$9.7K	9,694	0	+9,694	Raptors	+$14	10-11 01:12
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	11	$9.4K	9,583	0	+9,583	Yes	+$190	10-04 22:34
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies	2	$8.7K	8,721	0	+8,721	Tampa Bay Rays	+$9	09-27 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	14	$8.6K	4,309	4,309	-0	Yes	+$29	09-28 22:26
Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	7	$8.4K	8,483	869	+7,614	No	+$107	10-09 07:52
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	12	$7.9K	7,858	9,102	-1,244	No	+$30	10-09 06:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?	259	$7.6K	9,838	7,802	+2,036	Yes	-$4,939	08-07 17:56
Will Ilham Tohti win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	5	$7.4K	7,416	1,039	+6,377	No	+$63	10-09 07:27
Wake Forest vs. NC State	6	$7.2K	7,233	0	+7,233	Wake Forest	+$11	10-10 19:05
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	29	$6.9K	6,837	10,248	-3,411	No	+$64	10-09 07:19
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	2	$6.6K	10,495	10,495	+0	No	-$3,673	06-20 04:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:14:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x8e17e7…
10-28 04:13:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x176172…
10-28 04:13:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	800	96¢	$767	0xb84a78…
10-28 04:13:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,918	0xe9a250…
10-28 04:13:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,226	96¢	$1,175	0x9edef6…
10-28 04:10:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x5ba21f…
10-28 04:08:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0d643e…
10-26 22:50:51	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	310	0¢	$0	0xe40b82…
10-26 22:14:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x11ba60…
10-26 21:31:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x5d4751…
10-26 20:38:15	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x01838e…
10-26 20:38:09	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x75dc3b…
10-26 20:38:06	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc78e89…
10-26 20:38:00	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x1582b3…
10-26 20:37:56	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb92512…
10-26 20:03:35	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdbcb38…
10-26 20:03:29	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0xd8cdb5…
10-26 20:03:23	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	104	98¢	$101	0x38ebe4…
10-26 20:02:53	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0445c6…
10-26 20:02:39	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x1475c9…
10-26 19:50:50	Will Lionel Messi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,024	99¢	$1,019	0x55ff01…
10-26 19:40:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	300	20¢	$60	0xa7ff1b…
10-26 19:39:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	317	75¢	$239	0x91dfa0…
10-26 00:04:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x41d118…
10-26 00:04:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0xe1c974…
10-25 23:38:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x5d0097…
10-25 23:38:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0xe8fdcd…
10-25 23:38:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	94¢	$941	0x666822…
10-22 08:32:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x257860…
10-22 08:32:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	157	99¢	$155	0x4d5fea…
10-19 04:30:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x13c25c…
10-19 04:29:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x826049…
10-19 04:29:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x89bacb…
10-19 02:47:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	305	98¢	$301	0x52b6f6…
10-15 12:57:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xda17e8…
10-13 08:56:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdde3c3…
10-11 17:10:57	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,960	0x40e6cf…
10-11 17:10:37	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	1,960	98¢	$1,921	0xd48edc…
10-11 17:10:37	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	321	98¢	$315	0xa7fccf…
10-11 17:10:36	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xf02c16…
10-11 17:10:36	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	302	98¢	$296	0xcd7827…
10-11 17:10:36	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x9fb51e…
10-11 17:10:36	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	302	98¢	$295	0x834296…
10-11 17:10:34	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	375	98¢	$368	0xe66160…
10-11 17:10:34	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x9c5635…
10-11 17:10:34	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x876bd9…
10-11 17:10:34	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x5347d0…
10-11 17:10:34	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	910	98¢	$892	0x28a08d…
10-11 17:10:33	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x99d627…
10-11 17:10:33	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,950	0x0ba395…
10-11 17:03:49	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	SELL	610	59¢	$362	0xb19810…
10-11 16:59:04	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0xc9d26b…
10-11 02:11:03	Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche	Maple Leafs	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x633a7f…
10-11 01:51:35	Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche	Maple Leafs	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x362504…
10-11 01:51:23	Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche	Maple Leafs	BUY	568	100¢	$567	0x975160…
10-11 01:50:29	Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche	Maple Leafs	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xab81e6…
10-11 01:47:54	Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche	Maple Leafs	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x450176…
10-11 01:47:18	Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche	Maple Leafs	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8dd3a7…
10-11 01:46:44	Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche	Maple Leafs	BUY	153	100¢	$152	0xd74147…
10-11 01:46:41	Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x49ca3e…
10-11 01:46:15	Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche	Maple Leafs	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x93bdf5…
10-11 01:46:14	Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche	Maple Leafs	BUY	1,629	100¢	$1,627	0xea359c…
10-11 01:34:06	Exact Score: Charlotte FC 0 - 2 FC Dallas?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26ea75…
10-11 01:19:15	Spread: Oregon State (-16.5)	Oregon State	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd74334…
10-11 01:19:05	Spread: Oregon State (-17.5)	Oregon State	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x6d366b…
10-11 01:18:56	Spread: Oregon State (-17.5)	Oregon State	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xa20239…
10-11 01:18:30	Spread: Oregon State (-17.5)	Oregon State	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x4357b5…
10-11 01:18:26	Spread: Oregon State (-16.5)	Oregon State	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6d76bb…
10-11 01:18:20	Spread: Oregon State (-15.5)	Oregon State	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x0ecf69…
10-11 01:17:57	Spread: Oregon State (-13.5)	Oregon State	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7b2206…
10-11 01:17:53	Spread: Oregon State (-13.5)	Oregon State	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x8676b7…
10-11 01:17:48	Spread: Oregon State (-13.5)	Oregon State	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x562180…
10-11 01:17:39	Spread: Oregon State (-13.5)	Oregon State	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x1c8391…
10-11 01:17:32	Spread: Oregon State (-13.5)	Oregon State	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xb48daf…
10-11 01:16:57	Spread: Oregon State (-10.5)	Oregon State	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xc9db62…
10-11 01:16:35	Spread: Oregon State (-3.5)	Oregon State	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xdec12c…
10-11 01:12:26	Clippers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	1,845	100¢	$1,843	0x855f5b…
10-11 01:12:05	Clippers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	4,995	100¢	$4,990	0x216bdb…
10-11 01:12:03	Clippers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6df321…
10-11 01:10:53	Clippers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe45762…
10-11 01:10:02	Clippers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	2,596	100¢	$2,590	0x0dccb9…
10-11 01:09:29	Clippers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xdc46a8…
10-11 01:09:24	Clippers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9cdc4a…
10-11 01:09:18	Clippers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x051c41…
10-10 22:35:00	Oilers vs. Sharks	Oilers	BUY	3,510	100¢	$3,506	0x048112…
10-10 22:34:09	Oilers vs. Sharks	Oilers	BUY	774	100¢	$773	0x6da1dc…
10-10 22:28:37	Oilers vs. Sharks	Oilers	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x648f8e…
10-10 22:19:21	Oilers vs. Sharks	Oilers	BUY	85	96¢	$82	0xf8fe4f…
10-10 22:11:03	Oilers vs. Sharks	Oilers	BUY	714	99¢	$706	0x7ffa07…
10-10 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	3,168	99¢	$3,136	0x62d8f5…
10-10 20:55:55	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	1,000	97¢	$970	0xf8aa81…
10-10 20:54:31	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0xa36ef1…
10-10 20:52:42	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x24100d…
10-10 20:52:12	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	404	100¢	$402	0xa74202…
10-10 20:50:57	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x66df8e…
10-10 20:49:57	Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf72217…
10-10 20:45:48	Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x229606…
10-10 20:36:12	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	2,530	100¢	$2,527	0xebefc2…
10-10 20:36:12	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa0cfa4…
10-10 20:32:07	South Carolina vs. Florida	South Carolina	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xa02e51…