Realized P&L (7d)
-$48
Unrealized P&L
-$397
Hit rate
31.8%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
13
16 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.41K
$1.74K lifetime
Avg / trade
$108
Open exposure
$1.82K
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-12 12:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
82% 40% $-48
Politics
18%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,065 $-539 78¢ $-825 $-286 05-08 08:15
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes -1,894 $-304 17¢ $-319 $-15 05-09 22:50
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes -332 $-179 66¢ $-219 $-39 05-06 10:04
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting? Yes +208 $155 78¢ $163 +$8 05-11 23:09
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting? Yes +130 $110 92¢ $120 +$10 05-08 21:45
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? Yes +288 $84 22¢ $62 $-22 05-11 09:40
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting? No +323 $71 18¢ $60 $-11 05-06 09:36
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting? Yes +235 $72 18¢ $43 $-29 05-06 10:51
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting? No +100 $20 $8 $-12 05-07 09:48