Gray-Sitar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.9%

Resolved

Trades

414

lifetime

Volume

$4.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 07-18 20:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

70% 0% $-0

Other

19% 40% +$2

Crypto

7% 0% $-2

Sports

2% 0% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	119	$2.5K	3,545	2,994	+552	open	—	04-03 00:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	13	$110	82	82	-0	open	—	04-07 14:35
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$62	248	175	+73	open	—	04-04 23:06
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	6	$61	119	58	+61	open	—	04-07 10:12
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	10	$61	81	41	+40	open	—	04-07 10:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	5	$52	68	65	+3	open	—	04-20 16:59
X Money released by April 30, 2026?	4	$46	43	43	+0	open	—	04-20 16:59
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	5	$42	55	55	+0	Yes	$-6	04-21 11:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$40	24	24	+0	open	—	04-07 19:51
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	2	$40	37	37	+0	Yes	$-0	04-26 14:35
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	6	$39	41	41	+0	open	—	04-07 06:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$38	42	41	+1	open	—	04-07 19:03
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	7	$37	29	29	+0	open	—	04-07 06:55
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	5	$32	25	25	+0	open	—	05-15 16:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	2	$32	23	22	+1	open	—	04-21 22:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$28	33	33	+0	open	—	04-06 22:47
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$26	31	29	+2	open	—	05-04 23:17
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	2	$25	39	39	+0	open	—	04-06 23:05
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	04-07 19:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$25	18	17	+0	open	—	04-07 19:03
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	7	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	04-07 19:02
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	4	$25	20	19	+1	open	—	05-02 01:36
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	04-06 23:19
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$24	37	37	+0	open	—	04-06 23:03
Iran leadership change by May 31?	3	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	04-07 06:07
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	04-06 16:10
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	2	$24	36	36	+0	open	—	04-06 17:57
ECB rate hike in 2026?	1	$23	0	23	-23	open	—	06-11 11:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$23	31	31	+0	open	—	04-06 16:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	3	$23	24	41	-17	open	—	06-13 22:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 20:54:39	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0xa97948…
07-18 12:02:18	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x204c49…
07-17 12:23:25	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xe025c3…
07-17 05:34:36	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x814216…
06-22 02:09:52	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0xbb603b…
06-21 23:04:43	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x806f1d…
06-20 13:28:08	bitcoin up or down on june 20 2026	Down	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0xe648b6…
06-19 23:18:55	bitcoin up or down on june 20 2026	Down	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xaabb6d…
06-19 17:10:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	17	44¢	$7	0x4eca0e…
06-19 09:43:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0xe5bc6e…
06-18 20:07:55	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0xfe3b66…
06-18 16:50:11	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0x379709…
06-17 16:58:59	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xa7c074…
06-17 03:38:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x75ec74…
06-17 03:27:21	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xdbb77b…
06-17 03:27:21	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xb8807d…
06-17 03:27:21	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xb6ef9c…
06-17 03:27:21	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x7e0013…
06-17 03:27:21	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x6a7c75…
06-16 23:48:50	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1957fe…
06-16 14:50:02	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xd796af…
06-16 14:14:10	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x7babcf…
06-16 13:10:45	bitcoin above 66k on june 16 2026	No	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xe30a63…
06-16 13:10:45	bitcoin above 66k on june 16 2026	No	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0xbbf4ba…
06-16 11:14:42	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7435b5…
06-16 06:24:01	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xa650cf…
06-15 20:34:03	bitcoin above 66k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xc23891…
06-15 19:21:00	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x6cba5a…
06-13 22:39:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0xf1e5c4…
06-13 11:22:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0x1f8825…
06-13 07:05:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x03627c…
06-11 11:48:04	Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x0f0d5f…
06-11 11:39:42	will trump speak to luiz incio lula da silva in june	No	SELL	13	19¢	$3	0x656643…
06-11 11:39:39	ECB rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xceff91…
06-11 11:39:37	Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x59af56…
06-10 20:30:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x064ccf…
06-10 12:45:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xfbdf76…
06-10 07:57:43	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x76d349…
06-10 07:30:25	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x37bcc0…
06-09 15:37:24	Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xf130f7…
06-09 15:37:13	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x98277a…
06-09 15:37:12	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xf0738d…
06-09 15:37:10	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x70df63…
06-09 15:37:06	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x650d3f…
06-09 15:36:58	will stripes valuation hit high 180b by june 30	No	SELL	4	70¢	$2	0xc6dae4…
06-09 15:36:57	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0xcf2fab…
06-09 14:41:51	will trump speak to luiz incio lula da silva in june	No	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xca0d6b…
06-02 16:19:23	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x316117…
06-02 08:57:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x5da8c3…
06-02 05:55:57	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x2f28e3…
06-02 04:18:27	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xcffcae…
06-01 17:55:00	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xb8716a…
06-01 16:07:12	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x0cd1eb…
06-01 12:32:31	Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x7583ee…
06-01 07:56:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x362668…
06-01 02:33:54	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6f92b3…
06-01 02:31:35	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x62c61e…
05-31 18:04:09	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x34a578…
05-31 16:30:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xaca6b7…
05-28 12:06:22	Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x6c60e2…
05-21 16:13:40	Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0x55e684…
05-19 08:30:28	Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x6cab78…
05-19 07:20:45	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	No	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0x61af08…
05-19 05:16:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	17	33¢	$6	0xa54f39…
05-19 03:16:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0xc27cac…
05-19 01:30:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x8ac29e…
05-19 01:30:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x1a7f81…
05-19 01:14:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x9bfbb5…
05-19 01:14:02	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	No	BUY	15	51¢	$7	0xa9d139…
05-18 17:16:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	18	53¢	$10	0x275d22…
05-18 16:59:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x21c57a…
05-17 19:54:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x439e60…
05-17 03:15:54	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x01bef8…
05-16 21:02:25	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xd154e5…
05-16 18:59:30	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xd8829f…
05-16 18:59:30	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x45d617…
05-16 18:49:30	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x61ec8e…
05-16 18:24:37	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xb49c77…
05-16 15:58:30	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xf23b59…
05-16 11:30:41	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x05957f…
05-16 07:50:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x69e097…
05-16 04:05:33	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x53c7b7…
05-15 16:22:03	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xf5a15c…
05-15 16:22:01	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xbc4e40…
05-15 16:21:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x83e4aa…
05-15 16:21:51	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x6587a6…
05-15 03:22:31	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xadb3bc…
05-15 03:22:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xeb9879…
05-15 00:58:59	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x3c1ac9…
05-14 23:30:10	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x76e091…
05-14 17:35:21	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbceb60…
05-14 13:00:22	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xbb8e8e…
05-14 08:53:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xeb198a…
05-14 08:51:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x05cf54…
05-13 15:21:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x0da8d3…
05-13 13:00:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x745d3a…
05-13 11:00:08	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xd9b114…
05-13 01:00:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0x41f234…
05-13 01:00:17	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf71f02…
05-12 07:26:49	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xc9f919…