Realized P&L
-$470
Unrealized P&L
-$515
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
9,770
lifetime
Volume
$3.46M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$354
Open exposure
$65.4K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 12:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
65% 50% $-757
Other
34% 100% +$287
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 284 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +39,492 $32,680 82¢ $32.6K $-99 07-01 08:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +15,800 $13,542 86¢ $13.7K +$124 07-01 07:14
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +7,687 $7,790 100¢ $7.7K $-110 07-01 08:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +7,390 $7,048 100¢ $7.4K +$315 07-01 08:11
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -1,080 $-1,041 100¢ $-1075 $-34 06-08 11:20
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +700 $696 100¢ $698 +$2 06-24 18:45
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,300 $706 54¢ $696 $-10 07-01 14:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1,500 $308 32¢ $-472 $-780 06-28 12:48
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? No +365 $335 100¢ $364 +$29 06-22 06:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -289 $-281 100¢ $-288 $-7 06-25 16:24
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -419 $-270 53¢ $-222 +$48 06-13 14:31
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +129 $120 95¢ $122 +$2 06-23 21:19
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No -84 $-90 96¢ $-81 +$9 06-15 20:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +10,407 $52 $36 $-16 06-30 19:53
New pandemic in 2026? No -16 $-14 92¢ $-14 $-1 06-17 07:08
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +0 $-12 69¢ $0 +$12 06-20 16:33