Realized P&L
-$470
Unrealized P&L
-$11.6K
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
9,900
lifetime
Volume
$3.53M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$357
Open exposure
$27.4K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 06:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
65% 50% $-757
Other
35% 100% +$287
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +33,394 $29,056 54¢ $17.9K $-11,191 07-21 10:22
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +11,577 $7,178 60¢ $6.9K $-289 07-22 06:36
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1,116 $-1,363 92¢ $-1021 +$342 07-02 13:32
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +1,800 $1,106 48¢ $873 $-233 07-15 12:57
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +756 $326 52¢ $389 +$63 07-09 11:45
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -419 $-270 63¢ $-264 +$6 06-13 14:31
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No -84 $-90 99¢ $-83 +$7 06-15 20:48
New pandemic in 2026? No -16 $-14 94¢ $-15 $-1 06-17 07:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1,500 $308 $-14 $-322 06-28 12:48
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +0 $-12 82¢ $0 +$12 06-20 16:33