Wilted-Bump 0xe472ce…ace7eb
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$49.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$20.8K
Hit rate
70.9%
Resolved
523
Trades
13,407
lifetime
Volume
$5.29M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$394
Open exposure
$132.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 11:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 145 days
Categories
Politics
51% 79% -$19,600
Other
47% 80% -$31,551
Tech
1% 73% +$477
Sports
1% 78% +$1,217
Crypto
0% 86% +$122
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +59,045 $50,073 94¢ $55.5K +$5,430 10-27 09:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +22,751 $21,113 92¢ $20.8K -$296 10-19 15:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +21,700 $19,256 86¢ $18.6K -$702 10-15 18:11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +12,750 $11,760 78¢ $9.9K -$1,815 10-16 22:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +8,600 $8,044 94¢ $8.1K +$83 10-14 20:04
New pandemic in 2026? No +2,884 $2,694 96¢ $2.8K +$88 10-08 19:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +2,400 $2,226 100¢ $2.4K +$162 10-14 01:01
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +3,000 $2,715 76¢ $2.3K -$420 09-29 18:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +1,965 $1,902 100¢ $2.0K +$55 10-17 11:37
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +2,176 $1,819 88¢ $1.9K +$85 10-27 11:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1,300 -$1,592 98¢ $-1275 +$317 07-02 13:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,144 37¢ $1.1K -$1,045 10-21 13:24
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +744 $677 91¢ $677 $0 10-15 19:58
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +700 $637 95¢ $667 +$30 10-22 22:05
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 -$49 94¢ $561 +$610 10-26 20:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +9,100 $882 6¢ $500 -$382 10-26 17:18
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +500 $490 99¢ $497 +$6 10-07 18:46
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +487 $469 100¢ $485 +$15 10-18 10:51
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +416 $402 99¢ $410 +$8 10-20 02:27
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +400 $104 92¢ $366 +$262 10-26 17:06
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +400 $356 86¢ $344 -$12 10-07 18:04
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +320 $233 96¢ $306 +$72 10-02 23:16
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +298 $286 98¢ $292 +$6 10-18 15:11
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +300 $276 92¢ $278 +$1 10-25 22:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -1,413 $23,120 12¢ $-163 -$23,282 09-04 06:20
Trump out as President before 2027? No -166 -$141 96¢ $-159 -$18 04-30 05:34
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +160 $149 96¢ $153 +$4 10-14 06:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +116 $66 60¢ $70 +$4 10-25 23:23
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +47 $45 98¢ $46 +$1 10-20 01:23
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +200 $66 4¢ $9 -$57 08-05 08:25