Realized P&L
-$470
Unrealized P&L
+$4.10K
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
8,798
lifetime
Volume
$2.99M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$340
Open exposure
$32.1K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 02:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
68% 50% $-757
Other
31% 100% +$287
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 374 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +13,079 $7,378 68¢ $8.8K +$1,451 06-09 21:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10,313 $7,600 76¢ $7.9K +$290 06-09 21:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +4,137 $3,879 97¢ $4.0K +$140 06-09 21:09
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +4,000 $2,640 66¢ $2.7K +$20 06-05 03:54
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -2,044 $-1,851 76¢ $-1553 +$298 06-07 14:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -3,712 $-2,824 38¢ $-1429 +$1,395 06-09 16:52
ECB rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,149 $1,137 99¢ $1.1K +$3 06-10 02:48
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -1,080 $-1,041 95¢ $-1024 +$17 06-08 11:20
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +700 $585 92¢ $640 +$56 06-05 07:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +600 $564 94¢ $561 $-3 06-03 14:47
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -558 $-575 98¢ $-549 +$26 06-05 07:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -589 $-579 88¢ $-520 +$59 06-08 04:14
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +500 $475 96¢ $478 +$3 06-01 13:59
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -290 $-525 80¢ $-230 +$295 06-09 20:19
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +200 $195 99¢ $198 +$3 06-02 23:04
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +200 $178 96¢ $193 +$14 06-01 10:38
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +100 $62 66¢ $66 +$4 06-03 22:33
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? No +54 $46 96¢ $52 +$6 06-06 08:04
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +28 $26 91¢ $26 $-0 06-03 07:35
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes -523 $-45 $-19 +$27 05-31 16:51
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +23 $13 60¢ $14 +$0 06-05 15:30