Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,803

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 08-11 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$0

Politics

33% 75% +$1

Sports

10% 0% $-1

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	110	$196	116	115	+1	open	—	03-07 17:15
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	76	$93	76	64	+12	open	—	03-04 17:09
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	72	$63	97	75	+22	open	—	07-07 19:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	22	$52	28	28	+0	open	—	04-13 18:11
netanyahu out by march 31 854	58	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	03-17 09:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	50	$45	24	24	-0	open	—	06-28 21:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	27	$37	27	27	-0	open	—	03-01 15:56
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	32	$36	22	17	+5	open	—	07-10 22:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	29	$32	17	18	-1	open	—	07-07 19:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	30	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	03-30 18:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	22	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	05-17 23:31
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	17	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	02-19 18:42
ucl bru1 atm1 2026 02 18 atm1	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	02-18 20:11
will germany strike iran by march 31	8	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-06 06:52
atp ambrogi olivier 2026 02 16	21	$21	48	0	+48	open	—	02-17 16:13
nhl chi nsh 2026 02 26	3	$21	18	15	+3	open	—	02-27 01:35
nhl lak nyr 2026 03 16	5	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-17 00:10
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	13	$18	10	9	+2	open	—	02-21 05:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	16	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	07-06 13:36
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	10	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	03-16 08:35
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	14	$18	10	8	+2	open	—	02-19 19:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	14	$18	12	12	-0	open	—	08-04 00:25
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	15	$18	13	7	+5	open	—	02-25 03:18
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	21	$17	10	9	+1	open	—	03-15 01:41
us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	12	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	07-15 13:40
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 cel	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	03-06 20:12
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	22	$15	198	62	+135	open	—	03-30 07:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	11	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	07-03 23:31
wta sebov cross 2026 02 18	14	$14	27	0	+27	open	—	02-18 17:15
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	11	$14	9	8	+0	open	—	02-27 12:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 14:40:58	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x076b7d…
08-11 11:14:03	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x3b664a…
08-11 11:14:01	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$0	0xd2bec5…
08-11 09:22:28	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xe4fda7…
08-11 03:31:13	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x53dedc…
08-10 21:42:09	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x300dc4…
08-10 14:29:39	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x83fca3…
08-10 06:06:36	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b0481…
08-09 10:21:04	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x9a760a…
08-08 03:05:36	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x30a8fd…
08-07 15:57:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x9f1d61…
08-07 15:51:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x30d8dc…
08-07 15:03:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x83fd54…
08-07 15:02:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xfb355e…
08-07 12:28:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x6717c6…
08-06 17:31:08	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcf209e…
08-06 16:54:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x0fc6b5…
08-06 16:19:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x93394e…
08-05 15:34:38	Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xef82c0…
08-05 05:01:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa515c0…
08-04 02:56:59	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb972ea…
08-04 02:32:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x99af04…
08-04 00:25:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x88bab6…
08-03 12:04:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x512d65…
08-03 03:08:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaabe82…
08-02 16:37:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2e91c2…
08-02 14:23:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x6fce21…
08-02 06:27:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c7254…
08-02 06:25:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x61bfb5…
08-02 06:20:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7077f1…
08-02 04:50:36	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0566c4…
08-02 04:33:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x534677…
08-02 03:39:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa701cc…
08-02 03:03:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x5a4272…
08-02 02:40:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x9fce5d…
08-02 02:39:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x6331c5…
08-02 02:29:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xacc660…
08-02 02:27:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfa24a4…
08-02 02:23:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xeb09d7…
08-02 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x07f788…
08-02 02:22:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xa6a74b…
08-02 02:21:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x6d7367…
08-02 02:18:42	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x408e6c…
08-02 02:18:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x079ddc…
08-02 02:16:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xa7e758…
08-02 02:16:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x0b4fa7…
08-02 02:13:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x52a269…
08-02 02:11:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xb063c6…
08-02 02:05:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x01fe55…
08-02 00:05:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xd995d8…
08-01 23:52:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfa8e42…
08-01 23:27:27	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x9564a9…
08-01 21:30:06	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x5a44f5…
08-01 21:30:05	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xe22d81…
08-01 20:29:36	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf20bf5…
08-01 20:29:18	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xce69f3…
08-01 17:22:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x80a58d…
08-01 17:10:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6c068f…
08-01 17:06:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xec8d2b…
08-01 03:35:36	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x79c567…
08-01 03:34:36	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xb40765…
08-01 03:32:00	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xc1f1b2…
08-01 03:31:02	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xa6efcb…
08-01 03:28:53	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x496cd3…
08-01 03:25:30	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xf3b775…
08-01 03:23:35	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x555950…
08-01 03:19:30	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xd616c7…
08-01 03:18:29	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xfab05c…
08-01 03:17:38	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x307820…
08-01 01:33:09	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd22424…
08-01 00:06:26	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x36644f…
07-31 22:57:03	Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xc7ff75…
07-31 21:10:59	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0x33ffb3…
07-31 21:09:23	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5e4003…
07-31 21:09:20	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xef6663…
07-31 20:52:35	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x616b09…
07-31 20:52:06	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0xc4dfe9…
07-31 20:52:06	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0xa9a58b…
07-31 15:33:44	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x60b509…
07-31 15:21:42	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfb1cf6…
07-31 14:25:24	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0599de…
07-31 00:52:59	Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd6c2be…
07-30 22:55:00	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xa5a5a6…
07-30 22:43:26	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xba5404…
07-30 22:39:06	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x10d20c…
07-30 22:25:42	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8a9707…
07-30 12:45:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x7eb536…
07-30 02:49:54	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xed89dd…
07-30 02:46:18	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4c8a83…
07-30 02:46:09	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0bcabb…
07-30 01:46:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xe65084…
07-30 01:44:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd6b264…
07-30 01:42:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x564cc0…
07-30 01:35:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa46baa…
07-30 01:34:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd48474…
07-30 01:22:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9d98f4…
07-28 17:54:22	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x52212c…
07-28 02:00:12	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc3e5a9…
07-28 00:13:48	Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd1d641…
07-23 17:00:01	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb040f6…