(anonymous) 0x2a5b53…7ab78b Create alert
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$48
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
53.9%
Resolved
373
Trades
2,576
lifetime
Volume
$2.67K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$32
28 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 11-06 21:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Other
56% 65% -$2
Politics
30% 70% +$9
Sports
7% 52% -$39
Crypto
3% 69% -$10
Tech
3% 56% $0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +4 $4 98¢ $4 +$0 05-15 07:39
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -4 -$2 93¢ $-4 -$1 05-13 05:23
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 11-06 17:35
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-31 20:07
US recession by end of 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-31 17:52
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $0 10-31 18:14
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $0 11-06 14:59
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-12 10:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1 $1 76¢ $1 $0 11-06 13:30
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 11-05 22:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 11-06 20:41
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 10-31 03:47
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-31 02:43
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 11-06 18:37
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 10-31 02:43
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 10-15 18:29
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 10-31 15:14
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $0 11-04 19:04
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +1 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 07-05 03:46
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 11-06 20:26
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +0 $0 76¢ $0 +$0 10-02 16:21
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +0 $0 24¢ $0 +$0 11-05 15:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +0 $0 68¢ $0 $0 11-04 09:25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 11-03 11:01
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 05-07 20:52
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +0 $0 76¢ $0 +$0 09-23 19:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-26 12:18
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 08-02 18:52