Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

Trades

754

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 06-17 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$0

Politics

45% 80% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	30	$81	44	44	+0	open	—	03-18 12:56
Iran leadership change by March 13?	16	$60	34	34	+0	open	—	03-12 13:29
fact check maduro capture staged	33	$60	31	30	+1	open	—	03-15 07:15
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	6	$54	30	25	+5	open	—	03-24 07:56
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	40	$48	40	40	+0	open	—	03-08 22:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	23	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	04-27 11:17
netanyahu out by march 31 854	34	$34	18	17	+1	open	—	03-24 00:03
will jordan strike iran by march 31	4	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-01 06:02
will iran strike israel on march 6	15	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	03-11 00:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	14	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	06-17 21:41
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-07 15:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	18	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-17 23:31
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	14	$19	14	5	+9	open	—	03-11 00:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	2	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	03-09 11:05
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	18	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	03-09 15:22
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	1	$16	0	16	-16	open	—	06-17 21:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	14	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	04-10 12:39
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	12	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-13 14:53
Netanyahu out by April 30?	10	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-21 09:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$11	2	9	-7	open	—	06-17 21:37
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	8	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-10 18:20
will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	12	$10	8	2	+6	open	—	03-07 19:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	18	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-23 05:37
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	7	$9	7	4	+3	open	—	03-23 13:23
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	15	$9	7	4	+4	open	—	03-24 19:25
will uk strike iran by march 31	6	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-24 14:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	3	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-23 23:30
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	4	$7	1	7	-5	open	—	06-02 09:38
will qatar strike iran by march 31	4	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-19 02:35
Will Donald Trump visit Delaware in 2026?	10	$7	6	1	+5	open	—	03-07 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 21:54:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x79f493…
06-17 21:53:58	SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x72dc49…
06-17 21:53:32	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x7433dc…
06-17 21:53:17	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x8d2165…
06-17 21:52:20	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x9b6db6…
06-17 21:52:02	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x0d13e5…
06-17 21:51:59	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb10d15…
06-17 21:51:37	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd1e9e…
06-17 21:51:14	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xb196e3…
06-17 21:50:58	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0x2f10f5…
06-17 21:50:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xa70f27…
06-17 21:49:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0x5d1917…
06-17 21:49:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x85f5bd…
06-17 21:48:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x5fbac7…
06-17 21:48:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfc117f…
06-17 21:47:58	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x5a4c45…
06-17 21:45:23	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x2b1d13…
06-17 21:44:26	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x558014…
06-17 21:41:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf8a829…
06-17 21:40:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6ca17f…
06-17 21:39:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xf995af…
06-17 21:39:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xf7d77d…
06-17 21:38:34	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$16	0x1381b9…
06-17 21:37:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa2e731…
06-17 21:37:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2ca7b9…
06-17 21:37:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd2fcb8…
06-17 21:32:31	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x633092…
06-17 21:22:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x19107d…
06-17 15:23:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc8b716…
06-16 10:44:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x576b55…
06-16 10:40:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xad9ae9…
06-16 07:17:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9a7913…
06-16 06:37:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x52e9bc…
06-16 06:35:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x20b7a1…
06-15 21:11:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x681de4…
06-15 21:08:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb2d37b…
06-15 20:58:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1f309e…
06-13 23:13:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x35e55d…
06-13 17:59:15	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x2bded4…
06-13 17:17:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xc776bc…
06-13 15:57:42	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xb0eb65…
06-13 15:18:40	Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd44749…
06-13 14:50:54	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x409a6e…
06-13 10:08:30	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x2c9f6f…
06-13 09:59:57	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xae701b…
06-12 05:58:00	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xfde423…
06-11 17:41:51	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x49ef60…
06-11 13:18:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x726d35…
06-08 11:40:28	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8eea93…
06-08 10:13:12	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xe6ccb2…
06-08 08:41:12	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x96fcad…
06-08 08:18:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x05a620…
06-08 06:43:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xbbc7d5…
06-08 05:37:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xaa3689…
06-08 05:36:42	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xbaacd6…
06-08 05:33:04	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x03773a…
06-08 05:22:15	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x47263a…
06-08 05:12:24	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xedaff7…
06-08 04:00:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xe718fb…
06-06 04:38:33	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbdcc71…
06-06 04:34:43	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xde6627…
06-05 21:06:21	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x013dc5…
06-05 19:30:25	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xd74612…
06-05 19:30:18	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x1c7c2f…
06-04 00:59:07	Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x026302…
06-04 00:58:58	Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x75d11b…
06-04 00:58:55	Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x42e89e…
06-04 00:52:48	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x64a7e2…
06-04 00:50:33	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2a5ac1…
06-02 09:38:12	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xa9f06c…
06-02 09:03:12	ECB rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x349888…
06-02 07:12:25	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa7d2e1…
06-01 22:41:34	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x48de23…
06-01 21:49:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x4f6318…
06-01 21:49:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x953a77…
06-01 21:49:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xd5f307…
06-01 21:44:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x342b75…
06-01 21:24:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x11fa86…
06-01 17:46:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xda0f1e…
06-01 16:02:04	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xeef255…
06-01 15:59:55	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe43ca4…
06-01 15:31:51	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbcb71f…
06-01 14:07:18	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0xd2e2a4…
06-01 13:47:58	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xeb7f6f…
06-01 12:25:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd2c9d3…
06-01 12:16:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x59b9e0…
06-01 12:03:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc79a6f…
06-01 12:00:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3e98b4…
06-01 11:59:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4554cd…
06-01 11:59:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x876293…
06-01 11:14:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1ff8fb…
06-01 11:12:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x21fcf6…
06-01 10:51:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x34825e…
06-01 10:41:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x51e957…
06-01 10:38:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x41b7e9…
06-01 10:19:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6a94b0…
06-01 10:04:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb8a6d0…
06-01 10:02:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6f6171…
06-01 09:21:37	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x845415…
06-01 07:28:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb3b9ac…