Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
94
lifetime
Volume
$194
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$11
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 07-15 13:25
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
64%
Other
36%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes +13 $4 40¢ $5 +$1 06-22 21:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $2 $2 $-0 06-22 22:04
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -2 $-1 80¢ $-1 $-0 07-08 20:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 07-08 20:27
Revolut IPO before 2027? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 07-08 20:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 36¢ $1 $-0 06-03 19:28