Illiterate-Holder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.54K

Unrealized P&L

+$669

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

545

lifetime

Volume

$133.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$245

Open exposure

$35.5K

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 10-26 13:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

100% 91% +$4,540

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+18,257	$18,123	99¢	$18.2K	+$34	10-17 15:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+9,930	$7,634	75¢	$7.4K	-$186	10-22 14:40
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+5,663	$5,432	98¢	$5.5K	+$106	10-26 13:28
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+2,187	$625	68¢	$1.5K	+$867	10-27 08:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+1,200	$1,192	100¢	$1.2K	+$4	10-14 13:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+1,000	$995	100¢	$999	+$4	10-01 22:03
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+690	$327	97¢	$669	+$343	09-15 07:04
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+668	$513	1¢	$10	-$503	10-15 06:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	13	$21.6K	26,113	26,113	+0	open	—	10-14 12:54
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	17	$18.1K	18,257	0	+18,257	open	—	10-17 15:40
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	52	$15.6K	15,720	0	+15,720	No	+$155	09-16 18:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$7.7K	7,844	0	+7,844	No	+$118	06-20 11:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	36	$7.6K	9,932	2	+9,930	open	—	10-22 14:40
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	47	$7.3K	8,578	0	+8,578	Yes	+$1,287	09-04 21:27
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	22	$6.5K	6,562	0	+6,562	No	+$76	06-09 12:45
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	66	$5.9K	6,159	0	+6,159	Yes	+$243	07-10 06:30
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	53	$5.4K	5,663	0	+5,663	open	—	10-26 13:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$5.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$210	09-16 14:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$4.8K	4,796	0	+4,796	No	+$42	09-16 16:14
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	34	$3.8K	5,604	61	+5,543	Yes	+$1,817	09-04 03:20
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	14	$3.7K	3,855	30	+3,825	Yes	+$80	06-12 05:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	24	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	Yes	+$40	06-17 17:58
ECB rate hike in 2026?	5	$2.7K	2,826	0	+2,826	Yes	+$130	06-10 09:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	21	$2.5K	1,258	1,258	+0	No	+$15	07-01 12:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$70	07-30 10:39
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	18	$1.4K	2,255	0	+2,255	open	—	09-17 11:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	10-14 13:13
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	6	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	Yes	+$16	06-12 03:03
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	23	$1.0K	2,485	298	+2,187	open	—	10-27 08:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$995	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-01 22:03
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$50	06-18 16:58
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	14	$895	1,036	0	+1,036	Yes	+$140	06-08 15:00
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	9	$675	1,400	732	+668	open	—	10-15 06:41
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	11	$600	754	0	+754	open	—	10-22 10:58
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$356	180	180	+0	No	+$3	06-20 15:27
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	6	$327	690	0	+690	open	—	09-15 07:04
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$324	163	163	+0	No	+$1	06-20 15:26
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	9	$186	1,960	0	+1,960	open	—	08-20 10:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:01:14	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	98	70¢	$68	0xfffe79…
10-26 13:28:56	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	152	97¢	$147	0x5144bf…
10-26 11:48:35	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	751	97¢	$727	0x9f78ff…
10-26 10:20:44	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0xebe6b6…
10-26 07:39:44	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	97	97¢	$94	0xb15643…
10-26 07:20:15	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x03f0b7…
10-26 07:20:09	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x575bd7…
10-26 04:44:29	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x13f1d9…
10-26 04:44:09	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xa36321…
10-26 04:40:21	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x8d6b28…
10-25 23:53:36	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x67da63…
10-25 23:07:21	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0x1305c9…
10-25 23:07:06	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	340	97¢	$329	0x7d01af…
10-25 23:06:33	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	346	97¢	$335	0xe7eada…
10-25 19:26:11	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	97¢	$138	0x664f40…
10-25 19:26:11	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x103f06…
10-24 20:32:26	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	286	96¢	$275	0xd7a9fd…
10-24 20:32:26	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x46faa6…
10-24 20:30:41	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	96¢	$87	0x4d3e6a…
10-24 20:30:27	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xd002d4…
10-24 20:30:18	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0xc0bcaf…
10-24 20:30:14	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xe3380f…
10-22 22:21:41	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x65c58c…
10-22 22:21:39	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x49e07c…
10-22 22:21:39	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x1e148c…
10-22 22:21:36	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xe83e28…
10-22 22:21:36	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc4f885…
10-22 22:21:36	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x012e45…
10-22 22:21:35	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x741e3f…
10-22 22:21:33	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x884624…
10-22 22:21:33	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x4564be…
10-22 22:21:33	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x396792…
10-22 22:21:32	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5acf0c…
10-22 22:11:21	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x53cce6…
10-22 22:11:02	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0d4dbf…
10-22 22:11:00	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc24924…
10-22 19:17:56	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x559585…
10-22 19:17:50	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x3c8b5a…
10-22 19:15:56	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x42ccac…
10-22 19:15:56	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x1e4eea…
10-22 19:15:14	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc1ef64…
10-22 19:15:14	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x223135…
10-22 19:15:14	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x1bd7dd…
10-22 19:13:54	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x91fe13…
10-22 19:13:54	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x64260b…
10-22 19:13:54	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0021d6…
10-22 19:11:45	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x3d0a68…
10-22 17:12:53	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x4222ce…
10-22 17:12:53	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0aba59…
10-22 14:40:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x47e6b1…
10-22 10:58:48	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xa31ca6…
10-22 10:54:09	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	94	79¢	$74	0xc6e02a…
10-22 10:54:06	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	79¢	$83	0x1c6637…
10-22 10:52:11	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	80¢	$84	0x99ce39…
10-22 10:52:11	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x6f5b75…
10-22 10:52:11	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	129	80¢	$103	0x69759d…
10-22 10:52:11	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5e369d…
10-22 10:52:11	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	116	80¢	$92	0x4dacd8…
10-22 10:52:11	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x3fde05…
10-22 10:52:11	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x394a8e…
10-22 10:51:56	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$8	0xdf263b…
10-22 08:31:26	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$54	0x82ce07…
10-22 08:30:57	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	214	98¢	$209	0xf1d697…
10-21 12:05:38	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x071faa…
10-21 12:05:06	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0x0fb47c…
10-21 10:11:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	225	77¢	$173	0x32849e…
10-21 09:00:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0xb8d838…
10-21 08:28:06	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x4cfafa…
10-21 08:17:50	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xc5f7cd…
10-21 08:17:50	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x1ef7d9…
10-21 07:52:47	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xdbb23a…
10-21 07:09:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xf79464…
10-21 07:09:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0xe96484…
10-21 07:09:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x553930…
10-21 07:09:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	77¢	$32	0x449a5b…
10-21 07:09:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x211da0…
10-21 05:48:21	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xaa9215…
10-21 05:48:21	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	93	41¢	$38	0x9e9cfb…
10-21 04:13:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xffe20e…
10-21 03:28:08	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xa762bf…
10-21 02:45:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x201bf5…
10-21 02:45:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0xff22c5…
10-21 02:45:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0xf16077…
10-21 02:45:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xea1d65…
10-21 02:45:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	792	77¢	$610	0xc5d987…
10-21 02:45:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	450	77¢	$346	0xa736d9…
10-21 02:45:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0x89711e…
10-21 02:45:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	101	77¢	$78	0x7d0b48…
10-21 02:45:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	330	77¢	$254	0x67e8e9…
10-21 02:45:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	438	77¢	$337	0x54c01d…
10-21 02:44:59	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x75c2a4…
10-21 02:43:57	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xbc413e…
10-21 02:43:57	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x06a72d…
10-21 02:41:27	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x163ff2…
10-21 01:55:08	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,597	29¢	$457	0x91319d…
10-21 01:49:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x143452…
10-21 01:12:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xc63131…
10-21 01:12:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	101	77¢	$77	0xace749…
10-20 23:59:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	438	77¢	$337	0x617436…
10-20 23:59:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	172	77¢	$132	0x5e58a5…