Illiterate-Holder — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$4.75K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.07K

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

393

607 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$105.1K

$144.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$237

Open exposure

$11.4K

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 10-31 22:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

100% 87% +$5,724

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+10,930	$8,394	70¢	$7.7K	-$688	10-28 12:49
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+2,187	$625	92¢	$2.0K	+$1,397	10-27 08:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+1,000	$975	98¢	$984	+$8	10-29 01:41
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+690	$327	98¢	$677	+$350	09-15 07:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	13	$21.6K	26,113	26,113	+0	No	+$1,939	10-14 12:54
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	73	$21.0K	18,257	2,901	+15,356	No	+$120	10-27 22:14
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	52	$15.6K	15,720	0	+15,720	No	+$155	09-16 18:14
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	54	$11.1K	5,663	5,663	+0	Yes	+$225	10-29 01:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	37	$8.4K	10,932	2	+10,930	open	—	10-28 12:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$7.7K	7,844	0	+7,844	No	+$118	06-20 11:40
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	47	$7.3K	8,578	0	+8,578	Yes	+$1,287	09-04 21:27
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	22	$6.5K	6,562	0	+6,562	No	+$76	06-09 12:45
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	66	$5.9K	6,159	0	+6,159	Yes	+$243	07-10 06:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$5.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$210	09-16 14:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$4.8K	4,796	0	+4,796	No	+$42	09-16 16:14
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	34	$3.8K	5,604	61	+5,543	Yes	+$1,817	09-04 03:20
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	14	$3.7K	3,855	30	+3,825	Yes	+$80	06-12 05:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	24	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	Yes	+$40	06-17 17:58
ECB rate hike in 2026?	5	$2.7K	2,826	0	+2,826	Yes	+$130	06-10 09:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	21	$2.5K	1,258	1,258	+0	No	+$15	07-01 12:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$70	07-30 10:39
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	19	$1.4K	2,260	0	+2,260	open	—	10-31 22:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$8	10-14 13:13
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	6	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	Yes	+$16	06-12 03:03
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	23	$1.0K	2,485	298	+2,187	open	—	10-27 08:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$995	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$5	10-01 22:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$975	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-29 01:41
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$50	06-18 16:58
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	14	$895	1,036	0	+1,036	Yes	+$140	06-08 15:00
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	9	$675	1,400	732	+668	No	-$513	10-15 06:41
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	11	$600	754	0	+754	No	-$600	10-22 10:58
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$356	180	180	+0	No	+$3	06-20 15:27
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	6	$327	690	0	+690	open	—	09-15 07:04
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$324	163	163	+0	No	+$1	06-20 15:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 22:51:40	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc0ea1b…
10-29 17:56:34	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	5¢	$6	0xdcc51a…
10-29 17:33:56	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	5¢	$9	0x6c3ac4…
10-29 01:41:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$975	0xc5071c…
10-29 01:21:31	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,663	100¢	$5,657	0x6600b7…
10-28 12:49:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0x3e1b29…
10-27 22:14:51	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe710e1…
10-27 22:14:32	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8ddb17…
10-27 22:01:03	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x127895…
10-27 19:42:27	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x79134c…
10-27 19:02:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa522fb…
10-27 18:32:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x998634…
10-27 18:11:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x42b9df…
10-27 18:11:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$30	0x284ed1…
10-27 16:44:53	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2034e7…
10-27 16:41:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x6a512c…
10-27 15:23:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x82b933…
10-27 15:18:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8cf426…
10-27 15:14:35	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x78e91c…
10-27 15:11:05	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x087947…
10-27 15:06:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc3b7fb…
10-27 15:04:57	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x2a90f2…
10-27 15:03:54	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeea8db…
10-27 15:01:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x424fa1…
10-27 14:58:26	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfb79fb…
10-27 14:54:02	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7bf57b…
10-27 14:49:51	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaa964a…
10-27 14:46:18	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x32eb97…
10-27 14:42:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x593896…
10-27 14:39:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x989c50…
10-27 14:35:30	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9d11d8…
10-27 14:31:45	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa33853…
10-27 14:27:35	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa0cdaa…
10-27 14:24:51	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2c014f…
10-27 14:21:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x289fa6…
10-27 14:18:32	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7a049b…
10-27 14:14:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x30a7f7…
10-27 14:12:50	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1c2e1a…
10-27 14:10:18	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x48a733…
10-27 14:07:29	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x72aaba…
10-27 14:04:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb43892…
10-27 14:00:35	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x14380b…
10-27 13:57:32	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xae1434…
10-27 13:53:51	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x945a50…
10-27 13:49:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x38a74e…
10-27 13:46:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x71c8a0…
10-27 13:46:17	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xaf30e8…
10-27 13:42:00	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x72ab9d…
10-27 13:38:47	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf3b52b…
10-27 12:59:45	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x16d419…
10-27 12:46:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x6bb9ea…
10-27 11:37:44	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x3d2343…
10-27 11:37:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$243	0x0099fd…
10-27 11:37:32	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$228	0x712332…
10-27 11:37:26	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$251	0x83f8f8…
10-27 11:37:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	217	100¢	$216	0xa5871c…
10-27 11:37:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	270	100¢	$268	0xd2181f…
10-27 11:37:08	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$190	0x235d5b…
10-27 11:37:02	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	309	99¢	$307	0x172262…
10-27 11:36:56	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xd5b1b0…
10-27 11:36:50	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	397	100¢	$395	0xc2cf0a…
10-27 11:36:44	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$103	0x7b7038…
10-27 08:01:14	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	98	70¢	$68	0xfffe79…
10-26 13:28:56	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	152	97¢	$147	0x5144bf…
10-26 11:48:35	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	751	97¢	$727	0x9f78ff…
10-26 10:20:44	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0xebe6b6…
10-26 07:39:44	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	97	97¢	$94	0xb15643…
10-26 07:20:15	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x03f0b7…
10-26 07:20:09	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x575bd7…
10-26 04:44:29	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x13f1d9…
10-26 04:44:09	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xa36321…
10-26 04:40:21	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x8d6b28…
10-25 23:53:36	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x67da63…
10-25 23:07:21	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0x1305c9…
10-25 23:07:06	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	340	97¢	$329	0x7d01af…
10-25 23:06:33	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	346	97¢	$335	0xe7eada…
10-25 19:26:11	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	97¢	$138	0x664f40…
10-25 19:26:11	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x103f06…
10-24 20:32:26	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	286	96¢	$275	0xd7a9fd…
10-24 20:32:26	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x46faa6…
10-24 20:30:41	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	96¢	$87	0x4d3e6a…
10-24 20:30:27	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xd002d4…
10-24 20:30:18	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0xc0bcaf…
10-24 20:30:14	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xe3380f…
10-22 22:21:41	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x65c58c…
10-22 22:21:39	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x49e07c…
10-22 22:21:39	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x1e148c…
10-22 22:21:36	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xe83e28…
10-22 22:21:36	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc4f885…
10-22 22:21:36	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x012e45…
10-22 22:21:35	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x741e3f…
10-22 22:21:33	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x884624…
10-22 22:21:33	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x4564be…
10-22 22:21:33	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x396792…
10-22 22:21:32	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5acf0c…
10-22 22:11:21	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x53cce6…
10-22 22:11:02	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0d4dbf…
10-22 22:11:00	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc24924…
10-22 19:17:56	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x559585…
10-22 19:17:50	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x3c8b5a…