Illiterate-Holder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.51K

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

664

lifetime

Volume

$148.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$223

Open exposure

$10.1K

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 11-06 14:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

100% 88% +$8,506

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+10,930	$8,394	76¢	$8.4K	-$32	10-28 12:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+1,000	$975	99¢	$994	+$19	10-29 01:41
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+407	$402	99¢	$404	+$2	11-06 14:51
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?	No	+340	$336	100¢	$340	+$4	11-05 14:40
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+10	$9	82¢	$8	-$1	11-05 08:42
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+5	$1	26¢	$1	+$1	11-04 13:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	13	$21.6K	26,113	26,113	+0	No	+$1,939	10-14 12:54
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	73	$21.0K	18,257	2,901	+15,356	No	+$120	10-27 22:14
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	52	$15.6K	15,720	0	+15,720	No	+$155	09-16 18:14
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	54	$11.1K	5,663	5,663	+0	Yes	+$225	10-29 01:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	37	$8.4K	10,932	2	+10,930	open	—	10-28 12:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$7.7K	7,844	0	+7,844	No	+$118	06-20 11:40
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	47	$7.3K	8,578	0	+8,578	Yes	+$1,287	09-04 21:27
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	22	$6.5K	6,562	0	+6,562	No	+$76	06-09 12:45
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	66	$5.9K	6,159	0	+6,159	Yes	+$243	07-10 06:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$5.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$210	09-16 14:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$4.8K	4,796	0	+4,796	No	+$42	09-16 16:14
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	25	$3.9K	4,786	0	+4,786	Yes	+$865	11-05 13:47
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	34	$3.8K	5,604	61	+5,543	Yes	+$1,817	09-04 03:20
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	14	$3.7K	3,855	30	+3,825	Yes	+$80	06-12 05:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	24	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	Yes	+$40	06-17 17:58
ECB rate hike in 2026?	5	$2.7K	2,826	0	+2,826	Yes	+$130	06-10 09:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	21	$2.5K	1,258	1,258	+0	No	+$15	07-01 12:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$70	07-30 10:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$8	10-14 13:13
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	6	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	Yes	+$16	06-12 03:03
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	23	$1.0K	2,485	298	+2,187	Yes	+$1,562	10-27 08:01
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	13	$1.0K	690	690	+0	Yes	+$354	11-04 08:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$995	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$5	10-01 22:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$975	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-29 01:41
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$50	06-18 16:58
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	14	$895	1,036	0	+1,036	Yes	+$140	06-08 15:00
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	9	$675	1,400	732	+668	No	-$513	10-15 06:41
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	11	$600	754	0	+754	No	-$600	10-22 10:58
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	38	$402	407	0	+407	open	—	11-06 14:51
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$356	180	180	+0	No	+$3	06-20 15:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 14:51:09	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e2916…
11-06 14:51:09	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20af16…
11-06 14:51:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeba7a0…
11-06 14:51:01	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb4803…
11-06 14:51:01	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x40c141…
11-06 14:50:58	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x278f73…
11-06 14:50:55	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf0bbe5…
11-06 14:50:55	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x48f251…
11-06 14:50:49	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x22263f…
11-06 14:50:46	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x88806d…
11-06 14:50:46	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b8565…
11-06 14:50:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc2aebe…
11-06 14:50:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x966662…
11-06 14:50:37	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb83135…
11-06 14:50:37	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x30ca95…
11-06 14:50:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x046dd4…
11-06 14:50:30	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x79c862…
11-06 14:50:30	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x369770…
11-06 14:50:25	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb9b7b…
11-06 14:50:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x48fa5f…
11-06 14:50:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x150dd4…
11-06 14:50:19	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf476bc…
11-06 14:50:16	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb4725c…
11-06 14:50:16	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x487863…
11-06 14:50:09	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87ebd4…
11-06 14:50:09	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x335820…
11-06 14:50:06	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x788334…
11-06 14:50:03	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeece7b…
11-06 14:50:03	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8330da…
11-06 14:50:01	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc2fb47…
11-06 14:49:58	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a01fc…
11-06 14:49:57	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x40f218…
11-06 14:49:57	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x39f58a…
11-06 14:49:52	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfb562e…
11-06 14:49:52	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc675d5…
11-06 14:49:48	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x63c361…
11-05 15:48:25	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6b70cd…
11-05 15:47:43	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x42b513…
11-05 14:40:13	Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	340	99¢	$336	0xf73869…
11-05 13:47:55	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,740	100¢	$1,736	0x6af67a…
11-05 08:42:49	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x9ed5e0…
11-04 13:54:15	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe2cf7f…
11-04 08:45:04	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	543	99¢	$535	0x3cab2f…
11-04 08:44:22	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5331e7…
11-04 08:29:48	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xb6d51d…
11-04 05:29:49	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x03d517…
11-04 00:45:36	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe5407c…
11-03 16:35:42	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x2fc1da…
11-03 01:03:10	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x7ae20c…
11-02 21:38:49	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	98¢	$145	0x2337f4…
11-02 21:37:55	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	98¢	$163	0x1aecf6…
11-02 21:36:46	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	98¢	$163	0xe592da…
11-02 21:34:07	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	98¢	$108	0x2fb928…
11-02 21:30:54	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	98¢	$193	0xc2a099…
10-31 22:51:40	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc0ea1b…
10-29 17:56:34	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	5¢	$6	0xdcc51a…
10-29 17:33:56	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	5¢	$9	0x6c3ac4…
10-29 01:41:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$975	0xc5071c…
10-29 01:21:31	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,663	100¢	$5,657	0x6600b7…
10-28 12:49:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0x3e1b29…
10-27 22:14:51	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe710e1…
10-27 22:14:32	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8ddb17…
10-27 22:01:03	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x127895…
10-27 19:42:27	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x79134c…
10-27 19:02:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa522fb…
10-27 18:32:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x998634…
10-27 18:11:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x42b9df…
10-27 18:11:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$30	0x284ed1…
10-27 16:44:53	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2034e7…
10-27 16:41:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x6a512c…
10-27 15:23:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x82b933…
10-27 15:18:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8cf426…
10-27 15:14:35	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x78e91c…
10-27 15:11:05	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x087947…
10-27 15:06:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc3b7fb…
10-27 15:04:57	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x2a90f2…
10-27 15:03:54	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeea8db…
10-27 15:01:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x424fa1…
10-27 14:58:26	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfb79fb…
10-27 14:54:02	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7bf57b…
10-27 14:49:51	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaa964a…
10-27 14:46:18	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x32eb97…
10-27 14:42:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x593896…
10-27 14:39:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x989c50…
10-27 14:35:30	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9d11d8…
10-27 14:31:45	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa33853…
10-27 14:27:35	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa0cdaa…
10-27 14:24:51	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2c014f…
10-27 14:21:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x289fa6…
10-27 14:18:32	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7a049b…
10-27 14:14:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x30a7f7…
10-27 14:12:50	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1c2e1a…
10-27 14:10:18	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x48a733…
10-27 14:07:29	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x72aaba…
10-27 14:04:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb43892…
10-27 14:00:35	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x14380b…
10-27 13:57:32	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xae1434…
10-27 13:53:51	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x945a50…
10-27 13:49:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x38a74e…
10-27 13:46:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x71c8a0…