Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$158
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
962
lifetime
Volume
$12.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$847
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-02 17:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
63%
Other
31%
Crypto
4%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +602 $472 99¢ $598 +$125 06-30 17:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +215 $174 100¢ $214 +$40 06-12 05:21
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +10 $8 86¢ $8 +$1 06-02 17:48
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +30 $7 22¢ $7 +$0 07-02 13:05
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-01 14:37
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 05-30 18:13
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 $-0 05-31 12:22
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +38 $13 $3 $-10 06-28 13:54
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +16 $4 15¢ $2 $-1 06-27 23:43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-01 21:08
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +3 $-2 $0 +$2 06-28 21:03