Arid-Escalator 0x6f71b8…21b80e
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.44K
Unrealized P&L
+$184
Hit rate
95.0%
Resolved
1,435
Trades
3,733
lifetime
Volume
$294.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$2.10K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 23:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Sports
50% 96% -$471
Other
46% 89% +$1,339
Politics
3% 76% +$374
Crypto
1% 93% +$187
Tech
0% 100% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +750 $515 93¢ $698 +$182 10-26 23:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +500 $310 66¢ $328 +$18 10-24 06:59
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +250 $188 84¢ $209 +$21 10-22 13:13
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $151 84¢ $167 +$16 10-24 06:23
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +250 $201 66¢ $165 -$36 10-26 16:00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $122 94¢ $140 +$18 10-26 17:46
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +102 $91 67¢ $69 -$22 09-29 06:20
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +100 $69 68¢ $68 $0 10-23 23:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +100 $78 64¢ $64 -$14 09-09 22:18
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +50 $38 92¢ $46 +$8 10-22 13:45
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +50 $39 87¢ $44 +$5 10-25 16:13
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +100 $58 39¢ $39 -$20 09-04 06:41
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $34 68¢ $34 $0 10-24 00:33
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +100 $17 14¢ $14 -$3 10-15 19:09
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $12 18¢ $9 -$2 10-11 23:38
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -100 -$21 8¢ $-8 +$14 05-10 21:39