Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614b5…d8d217 Create alert
bot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
75.6%
Resolved (7d)
40
Trades (7d)
127
3,579 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$219
$14.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$255
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 11-06 01:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
68% 64% +$79
Politics
23% 70% -$38
Tech
8% 50% -$36
Pop-Culture
0% 60% -$7
Crypto
0% 0% $0
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 10-29 13:55
US recession by end of 2026? No +20 $19 96¢ $20 +$1 11-05 03:17
Trump out as President before 2027? No +20 $20 97¢ $19 $0 11-05 18:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +17 $15 97¢ $16 +$1 10-16 12:37
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +16 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 11-02 02:50
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +11 $11 98¢ $11 +$0 10-31 16:24
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $11 97¢ $11 +$0 11-04 06:35
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 11-05 11:08
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 11-05 17:21
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 11-04 03:50
New pandemic in 2026? No +9 $10 98¢ $9 -$1 11-04 10:31
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +9 $9 98¢ $9 +$0 11-04 22:32
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? No +8 $8 97¢ $8 $0 11-05 09:58
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +8 $8 97¢ $8 +$0 10-20 19:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +8 $7 99¢ $7 $0 11-06 01:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +8 $7 99¢ $7 $0 11-06 01:05
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +10 $8 66¢ $7 -$1 10-19 09:26
Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31? No +6 $6 97¢ $6 $0 11-05 21:26
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +6 $8 96¢ $6 -$2 11-05 09:28
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 11-05 17:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 11-05 17:16
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-17 22:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +15 $3 32¢ $5 +$1 11-05 14:47
Tusk out by December 31? No +5 $4 94¢ $4 $0 11-04 10:04
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 $0 10-15 01:11
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +4 $4 97¢ $4 $0 11-05 20:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $0 11-05 15:20
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 $0 10-07 00:31
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? No +4 $4 86¢ $4 $0 11-05 17:36
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 11-04 17:57