Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614b5…d8d217 Create alert
bot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$12
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved (90d)
166
Trades (90d)
1,754
3,733 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$4.23K
$14.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$325
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 11-13 16:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
68% 64% +$79
Politics
23% 70% -$38
Tech
9% 50% -$36
Pop-Culture
0% 60% -$7
Crypto
0% 0% $0
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +35 $33 95¢ $33 +$1 11-10 13:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +22 $21 97¢ $21 +$0 11-13 07:10
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 97¢ $20 +$0 11-08 02:40
Trump out as President before 2027? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 $0 11-05 18:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +17 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 10-16 12:37
US recession by end of 2026? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 11-12 04:31
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +16 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 11-02 02:50
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +15 $13 97¢ $15 +$2 11-13 15:47
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 11-12 16:36
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +11 $11 99¢ $11 +$0 10-31 16:24
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +11 $11 98¢ $11 $0 11-12 07:25
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $11 97¢ $11 +$0 11-04 06:35
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 11-08 07:37
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 11-09 20:23
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 11-05 17:21
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +9 $8 98¢ $9 +$1 11-09 17:32
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +8 $7 98¢ $8 +$0 11-13 16:45
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 98¢ $8 +$0 11-09 18:47
New pandemic in 2026? No +7 $8 98¢ $7 -$1 11-12 18:57
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 11-13 06:54
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $5 98¢ $7 +$2 11-13 15:38
Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 92¢ $6 $0 11-12 15:54
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +6 $8 96¢ $6 -$2 11-05 09:28
Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 11-10 16:56
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 11-13 08:41
Tusk out by December 31? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-06 13:22
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-12 09:44
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 11-10 22:48
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-17 22:57
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 11-13 06:19