Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
20.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
216
lifetime
Volume
$232
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$20
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 06-12 16:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
66% 33% $-3
Other
26%
Crypto
7%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +54 $9 16¢ $9 $-0 06-12 13:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $4 78¢ $5 +$0 06-09 00:19
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 06-11 01:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +6 $2 22¢ $1 $-1 06-08 22:54
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +14 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 06-04 03:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-11 16:13
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-11 19:31