(anonymous) 0x8444d8…9d7baa
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
20.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
555
lifetime
Volume
$673
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$25
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 07-24 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
58% 33% $-3
Other
36% — —
Sports
3% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -9 $-7 70¢ $-7 +$0 07-20 14:26
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 60¢ $3 +$1 07-18 09:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +12 $2 23¢ $3 +$0 07-16 22:05
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 14¢ $2 +$1 07-21 18:57
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +5 $3 32¢ $2 $-1 07-11 18:49
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +38 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 07-09 05:56
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 07-10 15:40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 07-03 09:31
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 06-28 21:01
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:41
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +6 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-14 10:54
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 46¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 19¢ $1 $-0 07-02 23:18
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? Yes +4 $1 11¢ $0 $-1 07-21 19:07