Realized P&L
+$3.06K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.19K
Hit rate
96.6%
Resolved
17
Trades
10,093
lifetime
Volume
$1.62M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$160
Open exposure
$17.4K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 06-13 06:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
70% 67% +$3,293
Other
21% 64% $-237
Crypto
8%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 451 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? Yes +3,500 $3,222 96¢ $3.4K +$137 06-12 04:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +6,172 $2,598 48¢ $3.0K +$365 06-05 20:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +5,026 $1,304 48¢ $2.4K +$1,134 06-12 18:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +4,330 $1,131 55¢ $2.4K +$1,229 06-13 05:57
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +2,623 $2,266 86¢ $2.3K $-7 06-05 17:49
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +5,520 $613 18¢ $966 +$353 06-02 14:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -1,395 $-901 60¢ $-844 +$57 06-11 20:13
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +1,627 $643 48¢ $773 +$130 06-11 02:06
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +625 $513 87¢ $544 +$31 05-28 11:27
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? Yes -2,321 $-216 $-209 +$7 06-09 02:12
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +169 $141 95¢ $160 +$19 06-10 22:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -1,353 $-863 11¢ $-149 +$714 06-03 23:26
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +175 $132 78¢ $136 +$4 06-10 05:18
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes -1,000 $-79 11¢ $-105 $-26 06-12 19:30
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +264 $65 26¢ $67 +$2 06-07 19:19
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? No -59 $-101 98¢ $-58 +$43 06-04 07:45
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31? Yes +7,600 $8 $8 +$0 06-11 14:13