Exotic-Prize 0x40cfb2…ccd21d
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$281.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$38.2K
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
833
Trades
19,812
lifetime
Volume
$3.48M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$176
Open exposure
$176.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 10-26 08:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 212 days
Categories
Politics
64% 59% +$120,514
Other
32% 62% +$134,277
Crypto
4% 57% +$19,749
Tech
0% 80% +$1,787
Sports
0% 75% +$4,747
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 510 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +30,055 $20,307 86¢ $26.0K +$5,691 10-01 04:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +25,000 $21,580 98¢ $24.5K +$2,882 06-30 07:27
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +20,000 $18,650 96¢ $19.1K +$450 09-23 03:45
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +18,072 $11,531 86¢ $15.6K +$4,101 10-01 05:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +14,475 $7,538 88¢ $12.8K +$5,273 08-25 23:54
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +610,910 $3,665 2¢ $12.2K +$8,553 10-07 04:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +9,521 $6,018 72¢ $6.8K +$789 10-26 08:36
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +8,000 $5,460 84¢ $6.7K +$1,220 10-05 17:39
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +6,304 $4,788 91¢ $5.7K +$949 09-03 02:55
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +6,000 $3,840 86¢ $5.1K +$1,290 09-08 21:31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +6,000 $2,590 66¢ $3.9K +$1,340 06-19 05:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3,322 $2,729 92¢ $3.1K +$344 05-18 11:49
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +3,516 $2,783 86¢ $3.0K +$223 10-09 05:34
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,885 $2,612 60¢ $2.9K +$318 08-19 08:37
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +3,009 $2,648 96¢ $2.9K +$230 10-01 04:30
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +2,922 $1,950 92¢ $2.7K +$724 10-02 13:48
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +2,650 $2,464 98¢ $2.6K +$139 10-11 18:57
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +4,608 $476 55¢ $2.5K +$2,059 10-03 21:25
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,175 97¢ $2.4K +$240 09-08 18:56
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +2,278 $1,725 95¢ $2.2K +$436 06-10 05:18
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +2,423 $1,553 80¢ $2.0K +$398 10-18 19:09
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,000 $1,545 92¢ $1.8K +$285 05-12 19:15
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +3,090 $1,437 59¢ $1.8K +$386 10-17 17:10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,908 -$928 80¢ $-1535 -$607 09-20 01:27
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +1,500 $1,256 88¢ $1.3K +$59 08-21 17:55
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +29,987 $1,034 4¢ $1.2K +$120 08-24 17:48
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1,056 $949 97¢ $1.0K +$74 09-19 06:15
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -1,138 -$640 86¢ $-979 -$339 05-22 04:52
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +1,000 $909 95¢ $948 +$39 10-11 23:57
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,642 $325 55¢ $904 +$579 06-02 04:08