Exotic-Prize 0x40cfb2…ccd21d
whale hot
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$6.95K
Unrealized P&L
+$39.4K
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved (7d)
17
Trades (7d)
409
19,955 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$152.3K
$3.57M lifetime
Avg / trade
$179
Open exposure
$186.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 10-29 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 213 days
Categories
Politics
64% 59% +$120,514
Other
32% 62% +$135,307
Crypto
4% 57% +$19,749
Tech
0% 80% +$1,787
Sports
0% 75% +$4,747
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 510 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +25,000 $21,580 98¢ $24.6K +$2,982 06-30 07:27
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +30,055 $20,307 82¢ $24.5K +$4,188 10-01 04:23
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +20,000 $18,650 96¢ $19.3K +$650 09-23 03:45
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +18,072 $11,531 80¢ $14.5K +$3,016 10-01 05:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +14,475 $7,538 88¢ $12.8K +$5,273 08-25 23:54
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +610,910 $3,665 2¢ $11.9K +$8,247 10-07 04:14
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10,540 $8,390 99¢ $10.5K +$2,060 10-28 02:28
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +9,521 $6,018 71¢ $6.8K +$742 10-26 08:36
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +8,000 $5,460 82¢ $6.6K +$1,100 10-05 17:39
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +6,304 $4,788 91¢ $5.7K +$949 09-03 02:55
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +6,000 $3,840 84¢ $5.1K +$1,230 09-08 21:31
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5,504 $2,380 83¢ $4.6K +$2,188 10-28 10:26
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +6,000 $2,590 66¢ $4.0K +$1,400 06-19 05:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3,322 $2,729 94¢ $3.1K +$378 05-18 11:49
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,885 $2,612 64¢ $3.1K +$489 08-19 08:37
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +3,516 $2,783 86¢ $3.0K +$237 10-09 05:34
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +3,009 $2,648 96¢ $2.9K +$248 10-01 04:30
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +2,922 $1,950 92¢ $2.7K +$724 10-02 13:48
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +2,650 $2,464 98¢ $2.6K +$142 10-11 18:57
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,175 95¢ $2.4K +$196 09-08 18:56
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +2,278 $1,725 95¢ $2.2K +$443 06-10 05:18
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +2,423 $1,553 82¢ $2.0K +$422 10-18 19:09
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +4,608 $476 42¢ $2.0K +$1,478 10-03 21:25
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,000 $1,545 92¢ $1.9K +$305 05-12 19:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,908 -$928 81¢ $-1548 -$620 09-20 01:27
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +1,500 $1,256 94¢ $1.4K +$149 08-21 17:55
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +29,987 $1,034 4¢ $1.3K +$240 08-24 17:48
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,912 $1,232 6¢ $1.3K +$33 10-28 21:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,524 $643 25¢ $1.1K +$470 10-28 04:22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1,056 $949 97¢ $1.0K +$77 09-19 06:15