Exotic-Prize 0x40cfb2…ccd21d
whale hot
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$14.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$39.4K
Hit rate
64.2%
Resolved (30d)
68
Trades (30d)
1,324
20,016 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$428.3K
$3.58M lifetime
Avg / trade
$179
Open exposure
$188.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 10-30 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 214 days
Categories
Politics
64% 59% +$120,514
Other
32% 61% +$134,183
Crypto
4% 57% +$19,749
Tech
0% 80% +$1,787
Sports
0% 75% +$4,747
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 510 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +25,000 $21,580 98¢ $24.5K +$2,932 06-30 07:27
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +30,055 $20,307 82¢ $24.5K +$4,188 10-01 04:23
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +20,000 $18,650 96¢ $19.2K +$550 09-23 03:45
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +18,072 $11,531 86¢ $15.5K +$3,920 10-01 05:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +14,475 $7,538 90¢ $13.0K +$5,418 08-25 23:54
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +610,910 $3,665 2¢ $11.6K +$7,942 10-07 04:14
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10,540 $8,390 99¢ $10.5K +$2,076 10-28 02:28
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +10,082 $6,405 72¢ $7.2K +$803 10-29 17:37
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +8,000 $5,460 81¢ $6.5K +$1,020 10-05 17:39
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +6,304 $4,788 92¢ $5.8K +$980 09-03 02:55
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +6,000 $3,840 83¢ $5.0K +$1,140 09-08 21:31
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5,504 $2,380 80¢ $4.4K +$1,996 10-28 10:26
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +6,000 $2,590 70¢ $4.2K +$1,640 06-19 05:48
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,885 $2,612 70¢ $3.4K +$807 08-19 08:37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3,322 $2,729 94¢ $3.1K +$411 05-18 11:49
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +3,516 $2,783 85¢ $3.0K +$221 10-09 05:34
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +3,009 $2,648 96¢ $2.9K +$248 10-01 04:30
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +2,922 $1,950 93¢ $2.7K +$768 10-02 13:48
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +2,650 $2,464 99¢ $2.6K +$158 10-11 18:57
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +47,912 $2,619 5¢ $2.5K -$152 10-30 17:43
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,175 95¢ $2.4K +$194 09-08 18:56
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +2,278 $1,725 95¢ $2.2K +$440 06-10 05:18
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +2,423 $1,553 80¢ $1.9K +$386 10-18 19:09
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +4,608 $476 41¢ $1.9K +$1,420 10-03 21:25
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,000 $1,545 94¢ $1.9K +$325 05-12 19:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,908 -$928 83¢ $-1581 -$653 09-20 01:27
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +1,500 $1,256 93¢ $1.4K +$140 08-21 17:55
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +29,987 $1,034 4¢ $1.2K +$165 08-24 17:48
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +2,239 $1,297 50¢ $1.1K -$178 10-29 07:58
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1,056 $949 97¢ $1.0K +$77 09-19 06:15