Exotic-Prize 0x40cfb2…ccd21d
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$282.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$39.2K
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved
843
Trades
20,065
lifetime
Volume
$3.63M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$181
Open exposure
$179.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 11-01 07:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 216 days
Categories
Politics
64% 58% +$122,113
Other
32% 61% +$134,328
Crypto
4% 57% +$19,749
Tech
0% 80% +$1,787
Sports
0% 75% +$4,747
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 510 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +30,055 $20,307 84¢ $25.4K +$5,089 10-01 04:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +25,000 $21,580 98¢ $24.6K +$2,982 06-30 07:27
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +20,000 $18,650 96¢ $19.2K +$550 09-23 03:45
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +18,072 $11,531 86¢ $15.6K +$4,101 10-01 05:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +14,475 $7,538 88¢ $12.8K +$5,273 08-25 23:54
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +610,910 $3,665 2¢ $11.9K +$8,247 10-07 04:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +10,082 $6,405 70¢ $7.1K +$703 10-29 17:37
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +8,000 $5,460 81¢ $6.5K +$1,020 10-05 17:39
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +6,304 $4,788 92¢ $5.8K +$1,043 09-03 02:55
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +6,000 $3,840 83¢ $5.0K +$1,140 09-08 21:31
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5,504 $2,380 82¢ $4.5K +$2,106 10-28 10:26
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +6,000 $2,590 72¢ $4.3K +$1,700 06-19 05:48
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,885 $2,612 68¢ $3.3K +$685 08-19 08:37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3,322 $2,729 96¢ $3.2K +$444 05-18 11:49
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +3,009 $2,648 96¢ $2.9K +$254 10-01 04:30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +47,912 $2,619 6¢ $2.8K +$208 10-30 17:43
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +2,922 $1,950 94¢ $2.7K +$797 10-02 13:48
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +2,650 $2,464 98¢ $2.6K +$139 10-11 18:57
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,175 96¢ $2.4K +$225 09-08 18:56
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +2,278 $1,725 95¢ $2.2K +$435 06-10 05:18
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +4,608 $476 43¢ $2.0K +$1,508 10-03 21:25
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +2,423 $1,553 80¢ $1.9K +$386 10-18 19:09
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,000 $1,545 94¢ $1.9K +$345 05-12 19:15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,199 $1,651 86¢ $1.9K +$233 11-01 07:41
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,908 -$928 84¢ $-1605 -$677 09-20 01:27
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +1,500 $1,256 91¢ $1.4K +$116 08-21 17:55
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +29,987 $1,034 4¢ $1.2K +$165 08-24 17:48
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +2,239 $1,297 52¢ $1.2K -$144 10-29 07:58
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1,056 $949 97¢ $1.0K +$78 09-19 06:15
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +1,000 $909 97¢ $966 +$57 10-11 23:57