Realized P&L
+$152
Unrealized P&L
-$10.0K
Hit rate
97.2%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,798
lifetime
Volume
$535.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$298
Open exposure
$37.3K
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 06-30 09:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
81% 67% +$152
Other
11%
Crypto
4%
Tech
3%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +21,796 $21,027 100¢ $21.8K +$737 06-27 08:04
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +3,855 $3,529 99¢ $3.8K +$289 06-25 21:43
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,971 $2,570 100¢ $3.0K +$398 06-20 23:54
Will Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool? No +2,776 $2,662 100¢ $2.8K +$106 06-15 19:37
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool? No +2,290 $2,166 100¢ $2.3K +$120 06-22 12:35
Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool? No +1,708 $1,640 100¢ $1.7K +$67 06-15 19:37
Will Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool? No +1,393 $1,365 100¢ $1.4K +$25 06-16 06:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +855 $325 36¢ $304 $-21 06-01 17:44
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool? No +108 $105 100¢ $108 +$3 06-22 00:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +47,808 $1,190 $72 $-1,119 06-12 17:10
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +19,149 $2,682 $48 $-2,634 06-14 21:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +15,555 $8,522 $39 $-8,483 06-19 20:46
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -5,355 $-511 $-5 +$506 06-15 00:21