Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
233
lifetime
Volume
$16.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$70
Open exposure
$747
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 07-23 18:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
81% 100% +$28
Other
18%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +220 $205 94¢ $208 +$3 06-16 09:49
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -213 $-201 95¢ $-204 $-2 07-23 18:26
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +112 $100 93¢ $104 +$4 05-28 09:48
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? No +107 $100 96¢ $103 +$3 06-23 18:21
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +54 $50 95¢ $51 +$1 06-23 18:21
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 94¢ $12 +$1 06-22 17:49
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 06-01 13:47
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 06-04 16:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 06-01 09:49
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +13 $10 78¢ $10 $-0 06-23 18:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -21 $-10 34¢ $-7 +$3 05-30 04:23
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes -23 $-11 30¢ $-7 +$4 06-14 16:02
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes +35 $6 11¢ $4 $-2 07-15 18:19
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +8 $5 44¢ $3 $-2 07-02 11:07
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +2 $1 74¢ $2 +$1 06-04 16:39
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 06-22 17:44
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-09 03:25