Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
+$47
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
170
lifetime
Volume
$14.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$83
Open exposure
$890
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 07-01 18:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
87% 100% +$28
Other
13%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +220 $205 94¢ $207 +$2 06-16 09:49
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -183 $-173 96¢ $-176 $-3 06-11 01:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +164 $100 84¢ $137 +$37 06-13 02:30
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +112 $100 92¢ $103 +$3 05-28 09:48
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? No +107 $100 95¢ $102 +$2 06-23 18:21
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +54 $50 95¢ $51 +$1 06-23 18:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +23 $20 86¢ $20 $-0 06-23 18:11
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 +$0 06-22 17:49
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 06-04 16:31
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 06-01 13:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 06-01 09:49
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +11 $11 90¢ $10 $-1 06-20 05:54
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +13 $10 78¢ $10 $-0 06-23 18:20
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes -23 $-11 38¢ $-9 +$2 06-14 16:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -21 $-10 38¢ $-8 +$2 05-30 04:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +7 $6 88¢ $6 +$0 06-07 02:10
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes +24 $5 14¢ $3 $-2 06-11 11:02
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +2 $1 72¢ $2 +$1 06-04 16:39
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +31 $1 $1 +$0 07-01 18:07
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-22 17:44
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-09 03:25