Luminous-Insectarium 0x34dc80…4dd280
14W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$867
Unrealized P&L
+$204
Hit rate
85.4%
Resolved
155
Trades
651
lifetime
Volume
$39.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$3.60K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 10-31 02:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
59% 61% +$116
Other
41% 71% +$733
Sports
0% 45% +$5
Crypto
0% 100% +$6
Tech
0% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1,127 $1,010 97¢ $1.1K +$83 10-20 04:57
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +1,119 $1,000 97¢ $1.1K +$89 10-20 04:58
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -558 -$547 98¢ $-547 +$0 09-14 13:26
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +241 $204 99¢ $239 +$35 10-22 02:23
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +162 $151 93¢ $151 +$0 10-25 06:47
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +89 $50 82¢ $74 +$24 09-02 05:15
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +106 $92 63¢ $67 -$25 10-24 06:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +62 $51 82¢ $51 $0 08-04 13:29
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +59 $47 85¢ $50 +$3 10-29 02:20
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +64 $46 76¢ $49 +$3 10-28 13:06
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes +321 $39 13¢ $42 +$3 08-07 14:30
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +29 $25 98¢ $28 +$3 10-14 12:00
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +109 $30 25¢ $27 -$3 10-23 09:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -14 -$12 95¢ $-13 -$1 05-18 09:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +16 $13 80¢ $12 -$1 10-02 13:19
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +67 $10 17¢ $11 +$1 09-14 13:23
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 07-15 18:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $0 10-31 02:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +21 $10 43¢ $9 -$1 10-28 13:12
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +7 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 07-26 18:08
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-01 09:51
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +17 $10 24¢ $4 -$6 09-17 18:47
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +29 $10 12¢ $4 -$6 08-09 15:41
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No -7 -$5 48¢ $-3 +$2 05-07 16:55
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 +$0 10-24 15:36
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +6 $1 29¢ $2 +$1 09-17 18:47
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +12 $3 12¢ $1 -$2 09-05 17:40
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-22 17:44
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 07-06 08:14
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -6 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$0 06-09 03:25