Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
107
lifetime
Volume
$9.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$1.34K
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 06-09 17:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
90% 100% +$28
Other
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +693 $500 80¢ $551 +$51 06-09 17:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +331 $300 90¢ $296 $-4 06-10 03:18
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +211 $200 98¢ $205 +$5 05-28 04:26
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +112 $100 90¢ $101 +$1 05-28 09:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +118 $95 84¢ $98 +$3 06-09 17:30
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +33 $10 34¢ $11 +$1 05-28 04:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +12 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 06-04 16:26
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +12 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 06-01 13:47
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 88¢ $10 $-0 06-01 09:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +11 $10 88¢ $10 $-0 06-01 09:49
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 75¢ $10 $-0 06-04 16:31
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -21 $-10 38¢ $-8 +$2 05-30 04:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +7 $6 82¢ $6 +$0 06-07 02:10
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 06-01 09:57
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes -12 $-6 40¢ $-5 +$1 06-01 09:45
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +2 $1 57¢ $1 +$0 06-04 16:39
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +2 $2 77¢ $1 $-1 05-30 04:16
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 11¢ $-1 $-0 06-09 03:25