Victorious-Restaurant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$858

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,162

lifetime

Volume

$97.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-14 10:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

58% 0% $-888

Other

39% 100% +$30

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	40	$4.3K	4,526	0	+4,526	open	—	03-15 19:06
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	22	$2.5K	1,991	1,990	+1	open	—	03-22 10:55
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$2.4K	2,549	0	+2,549	open	—	03-01 19:30
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	14	$2.0K	2,334	0	+2,334	open	—	03-16 06:28
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	3	$2.0K	1,023	1,023	+0	open	—	04-17 19:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	20	$2.0K	996	996	+0	open	—	01-30 15:55
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	9	$1.6K	2,101	0	+2,101	open	—	04-13 09:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$1.6K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	03-01 04:59
will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	16	$1.4K	1,590	0	+1,590	open	—	03-04 20:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	7	$1.4K	1,443	1,026	+417	open	—	06-15 07:53
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	12	$1.4K	1,917	0	+1,917	open	—	04-01 15:55
uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	14	$1.4K	1,396	0	+1,396	open	—	02-26 17:49
will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	17	$1.3K	1,718	0	+1,718	open	—	03-16 06:28
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$1.3K	1,044	350	+694	Yes	+$30	04-10 16:41
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	5	$1.3K	1,307	0	+1,307	open	—	06-26 13:00
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	10	$1.2K	1,336	0	+1,336	open	—	03-01 12:19
will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	8	$1.2K	1,314	0	+1,314	open	—	02-26 18:52
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	8	$1.2K	572	632	-60	open	—	04-08 18:04
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	8	$1.1K	1,380	0	+1,380	open	—	04-01 16:21
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$1.1K	1,190	0	+1,190	open	—	01-30 21:39
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	3	$1.0K	0	1,048	-1,048	open	—	06-03 16:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$1.0K	549	548	+1	open	—	02-24 23:14
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	11	$1.0K	516	516	+0	open	—	03-27 16:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	12	$992	0	1,050	-1,050	open	—	07-25 14:56
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	2	$970	500	500	+0	open	—	02-10 11:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	10	$969	1,218	0	+1,218	open	—	07-21 11:12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	10	$947	1,239	1,239	+0	open	—	04-12 05:32
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	5	$943	560	560	+0	open	—	03-10 11:06
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	10	$925	1,142	0	+1,142	open	—	02-26 18:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	6	$920	800	400	+400	Yes	$-240	02-26 09:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 10:14:37	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	150	65¢	$97	0x85fad3…
08-13 18:21:40	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x61df5d…
08-13 17:55:58	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	35	67¢	$24	0x045514…
08-13 17:31:58	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x8cbe88…
08-13 16:57:22	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0xafb7ca…
08-13 08:57:52	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x64051d…
08-13 08:52:09	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	60	62¢	$37	0x6138a6…
08-11 17:16:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0x7b05ae…
08-11 16:31:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	160	59¢	$94	0x7ceb59…
08-11 16:31:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x9c56bb…
08-08 21:49:15	Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	No	BUY	73	65¢	$47	0x8f011d…
08-08 21:47:40	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xdfeaeb…
08-08 21:45:01	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	No	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xf5335b…
08-08 21:44:34	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xc54c2b…
08-08 21:40:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0xb52f28…
08-06 17:35:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	250	94¢	$235	0x00a77b…
08-06 02:38:02	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xd9da34…
08-05 03:18:23	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x663ba4…
08-05 03:18:14	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xbd9a6a…
08-05 03:14:29	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	BUY	78	71¢	$55	0x960d48…
08-05 03:11:23	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x052c8e…
08-05 03:10:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	250	73¢	$182	0x108ded…
08-05 03:09:21	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	No	BUY	200	60¢	$119	0xf890c4…
08-03 23:25:08	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x89a077…
08-03 21:34:03	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	79	76¢	$60	0x48ba7a…
08-03 13:08:09	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x8ca83f…
08-03 12:56:06	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xb46744…
08-03 12:55:53	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x4702a9…
08-03 12:55:41	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	277	76¢	$211	0xf6784f…
08-03 12:53:18	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x56d535…
08-03 12:53:09	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	No	BUY	9	87¢	$7	0x75fa67…
08-03 12:52:48	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x0cdaee…
08-03 12:52:11	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x238ef3…
08-03 12:52:02	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0x65a222…
08-03 12:51:14	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	83¢	$35	0x514f0c…
08-03 12:49:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	220	98¢	$215	0x3f1297…
08-03 12:48:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	150	87¢	$130	0x46a64b…
08-01 21:58:42	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xa595c9…
07-31 06:57:30	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1f82cd…
07-31 06:35:20	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4c3074…
07-30 16:47:06	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8676d3…
07-30 16:47:05	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x4e5518…
07-30 09:59:08	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xec26fb…
07-30 09:56:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	228	77¢	$176	0x76db81…
07-30 09:56:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0xa52984…
07-30 09:56:02	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xa73db0…
07-30 00:25:35	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x62ba78…
07-29 15:06:17	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	83	87¢	$72	0x80d76c…
07-29 12:59:12	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x25c29e…
07-28 16:39:53	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xf72fc1…
07-28 16:39:32	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x13f3bb…
07-27 16:16:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	59	90¢	$53	0x5b6000…
07-27 11:05:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0xbcd626…
07-27 10:52:40	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x3caca3…
07-27 07:37:03	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x2ca7bb…
07-27 07:36:46	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	150	79¢	$118	0xbf4253…
07-27 07:35:18	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x1e2a57…
07-27 07:35:10	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	BUY	80	72¢	$57	0xa206a4…
07-27 07:35:01	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x11e1cd…
07-27 07:33:33	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x5a559a…
07-27 07:32:03	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0x84f3e9…
07-26 17:47:58	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	112	63¢	$71	0x7e5187…
07-26 17:33:46	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	23	63¢	$14	0xaadaed…
07-26 17:27:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xce4d39…
07-26 17:26:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xe62724…
07-26 16:12:28	Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe1ed4d…
07-26 16:11:22	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x9ffe78…
07-26 16:04:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	29	58¢	$17	0x06659d…
07-26 15:54:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0xca1d4a…
07-26 10:48:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	30	62¢	$18	0x4a4bc5…
07-25 15:23:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x78f428…
07-25 15:23:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	132	85¢	$112	0x113d09…
07-25 14:59:18	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	65	81¢	$53	0xc70e8c…
07-25 14:58:54	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe65789…
07-25 14:58:37	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	65	80¢	$52	0xcdd1d7…
07-25 14:56:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	150	94¢	$141	0x8fa283…
07-25 06:16:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	208	94¢	$196	0x72138a…
07-25 06:14:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x572365…
07-25 05:56:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x7cce96…
07-25 05:49:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	33	86¢	$28	0x1eeeef…
07-24 15:22:40	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0x3ca30c…
07-24 15:21:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0xc3f4ee…
07-24 15:19:55	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	110	9¢	$10	0xb3c855…
07-24 13:05:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$139	0x35384f…
07-24 09:05:52	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x9bb8d8…
07-24 08:32:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x09cc23…
07-24 08:27:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0x2d26e2…
07-24 08:06:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x021e4b…
07-24 08:06:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2516f1…
07-24 07:59:57	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	70	77¢	$54	0xd41507…
07-24 07:58:46	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	26	52¢	$13	0xeb82da…
07-24 07:58:07	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x384066…
07-24 07:57:51	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x4b76c5…
07-24 06:49:45	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	96	53¢	$51	0x3344b3…
07-24 06:41:43	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x666d1a…
07-24 06:10:55	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	33	23¢	$8	0xd7c15c…
07-24 06:10:55	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x364bcf…
07-22 22:48:12	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xbfb3cd…
07-22 15:18:43	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x8b935b…
07-22 14:56:24	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	191	91¢	$174	0x4ee806…