Realized P&L
-$858
Unrealized P&L
-$131
Hit rate
42.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
882
lifetime
Volume
$82.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$1.35K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 07-03 16:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
61% 0% $-888
Other
37% 100% +$30
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -430 $-400 90¢ $-387 +$13 06-21 14:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $316 88¢ $350 +$34 05-28 09:14
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -300 $-270 86¢ $-256 +$14 06-08 21:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +165 $139 100¢ $165 +$26 06-04 18:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +77 $57 78¢ $60 +$3 06-16 16:39
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -61 $-56 96¢ $-58 $-2 06-03 14:43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -786 $7 $-53 $-60 06-17 08:45
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +11 $11 94¢ $10 $-0 06-22 12:30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$0 06-30 16:50
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No -1 $-1 72¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 03:51
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +0 $158 $0 $-158 07-01 07:19