Realized P&L
-$858
Unrealized P&L
+$59
Hit rate
42.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
820
lifetime
Volume
$77.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$2.74K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 06-09 16:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
62% 0% $-888
Other
36% 100% +$30
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No -1,048 $-1,018 91¢ $-952 +$66 06-03 16:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $316 82¢ $330 +$14 05-28 09:14
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -358 $-333 90¢ $-320 +$13 06-09 16:11
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -300 $-270 90¢ $-272 $-2 06-08 21:38
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +348 $267 75¢ $261 $-7 06-08 21:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +165 $139 90¢ $149 +$11 06-04 18:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +166 $133 76¢ $126 $-7 05-28 09:09
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-98 98¢ $-98 $-0 06-03 16:17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +409 $102 18¢ $72 $-31 05-28 09:10
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -61 $-56 95¢ $-58 $-2 06-03 14:43
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No +54 $49 96¢ $52 +$3 05-28 09:06
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -53 $-52 97¢ $-51 +$1 06-02 05:59
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 05-28 09:15