Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$1.02K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
1,783 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$132.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$9.70K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 11-04 11:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 139 days
Categories
Politics
53% 78% -$1,255
Other
45% 79% -$2,797
Sports
1% 67% +$608
Crypto
1% 50% +$42
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,455 86¢ $1.7K +$255 10-06 06:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,218 $969 88¢ $1.1K +$97 07-21 11:12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -1,000 -$978 98¢ $-984 -$5 09-22 13:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -650 -$686 98¢ $-635 +$51 08-30 16:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -550 -$520 97¢ $-535 -$15 10-05 23:52
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +423 $281 96¢ $407 +$125 07-30 09:59
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -430 -$400 92¢ $-398 +$2 06-21 14:55
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +350 $254 97¢ $341 +$87 08-29 20:39
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +350 $188 94¢ $331 +$143 09-01 17:46
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +350 $230 94¢ $327 +$97 08-28 14:39
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +303 $238 96¢ $292 +$54 10-05 17:40
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -300 -$270 97¢ $-291 -$21 06-08 21:38
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +250 $182 88¢ $221 +$39 08-05 03:10
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +358 $279 60¢ $216 -$62 08-03 21:34
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +200 $177 97¢ $193 +$16 08-05 03:11
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? No +200 $152 96¢ $191 +$39 05-14 14:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +213 $173 88¢ $189 +$16 05-04 12:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +277 $213 56¢ $156 -$57 09-01 19:06
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No -154 -$178 96¢ $-147 +$31 10-22 15:35
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +218 $110 63¢ $138 +$28 09-02 10:14
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -140 -$135 96¢ $-135 -$1 09-26 22:25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +151 $106 90¢ $135 +$29 09-10 05:32
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +100 $87 97¢ $97 +$10 09-01 18:48
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +100 $90 96¢ $96 +$6 09-01 18:44
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +100 $74 92¢ $92 +$18 09-01 18:46
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $83 91¢ $91 +$8 09-01 18:42
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? No +83 $66 94¢ $78 +$12 09-01 18:51
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +85 $74 88¢ $75 +$1 08-15 08:25
will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043 No +78 $55 92¢ $72 +$17 08-05 03:14
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -61 -$56 99¢ $-61 -$5 06-03 14:43