Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$518

Hit rate

85.5%

Resolved

1,071

Trades

9,123

lifetime

Volume

$452.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$390

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-26 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Other

84% 59% +$19,028

Politics

12% 70% -$1,920

Crypto

2% 71% +$2,869

Sports

1% 79% -$183

Tech

0% 67% +$118

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 1368 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$190	22¢	$225	+$35	07-13 22:03
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	+501	$129	23¢	$115	-$14	10-22 04:36
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+868	$165	3¢	$27	-$138	07-25 15:23
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,145	$384	2¢	$23	-$361	10-23 20:00
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	$40	98¢	$0	-$40	10-23 15:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	258	$19.0K	27,213	9,815	+17,398	Yes	+$474	10-02 14:59
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers	17	$17.4K	9,321	9,321	+0	Kia Tigers	+$1,126	10-09 18:12
atp wild ferrar 2026 09 08	49	$15.6K	14,807	14,592	+215	cancelled	+$1,148	09-08 20:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	32	$14.1K	22,906	5,073	+17,833	Yes	+$112	10-07 22:32
Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?	11	$11.2K	6,131	5,198	+933	No	+$95	09-02 19:49
Counter-Strike: EXODIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs	40	$9.9K	12,097	6,985	+5,112	cancelled	+$458	09-27 07:31
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	8	$6.1K	6,172	0	+6,172	No	+$53	10-24 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	20	$5.5K	5,609	164	+5,445	No	+$63	10-07 22:21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$5.5K	5,505	0	+5,505	Yes	+$7	10-26 00:49
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	2	$5.0K	5,063	0	+5,063	Yes	+$15	10-02 13:06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 14?	13	$5.0K	2,912	2,357	+555	Yes	-$52	07-15 01:27
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 11?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	10-11 17:01
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	09-21 13:21
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	10-05 12:26
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	10-07 09:57
Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?	13	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$22	10-01 02:30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on July 10?	22	$4.9K	2,464	2,464	+0	No	+$27	07-10 13:28
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	19	$4.3K	5,000	1,000	+4,000	No	-$114	10-26 23:42
BNB Up or Down on October 5?	3	$4.2K	4,259	0	+4,259	Up	+$25	10-05 18:30
Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	21	$4.2K	4,247	0	+4,247	Yes	+$13	10-01 02:27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?	55	$4.2K	3,592	3,580	+12	Yes	+$2,984	07-06 03:30
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$4.1K	4,500	500	+4,000	Yes	-$141	10-26 23:02
Will downtown LA's 100°F streak last exactly five days?	5	$4.1K	4,105	0	+4,105	Yes	+$27	10-10 14:02
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	15	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	-0	Yes	+$2	10-23 19:57
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	17	$3.9K	3,070	3,070	+0	cancelled	+$75	09-10 18:18
dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	18	$3.5K	8,013	6,001	+2,012	GamerLegion	+$1,535	07-07 14:46
Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	32	$3.5K	1,851	19,027	-17,176	No	+$91	10-02 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?	4	$3.5K	3,528	0	+3,528	Yes	+$74	09-20 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	14	$3.2K	5,068	5,068	+0	Up	+$2,910	10-05 18:12
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 15?	12	$2.7K	2,181	940	+1,241	Yes	+$30	07-16 04:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:42:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2,352	100¢	$2,350	0x634e76…
10-26 23:40:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x4a506f…
10-26 23:39:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0xfae132…
10-26 23:35:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x90a21a…
10-26 23:31:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x58dfe1…
10-26 23:29:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x1f9179…
10-26 23:27:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6c5af2…
10-26 23:21:15	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xe6988e…
10-26 23:21:15	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,275	100¢	$1,274	0xe6988e…
10-26 23:05:02	Will Rodri finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	629	100¢	$628	0x9bf7d6…
10-26 23:04:57	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	412	100¢	$412	0x2170e4…
10-26 23:04:54	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xbe4e17…
10-26 23:02:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xac539d…
10-26 23:02:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0xac539d…
10-26 22:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x93397c…
10-26 22:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0x6aa3fa…
10-26 22:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	61	88¢	$54	0x1afdb1…
10-26 22:24:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xfdc2b5…
10-26 22:24:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	400	29¢	$117	0xef5ded…
10-26 22:24:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	29	29¢	$8	0xe9d1cc…
10-26 22:24:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	58	29¢	$17	0x69196c…
10-26 22:10:38	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	SELL	56	63¢	$35	0x0877c8…
10-26 21:12:41	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	SELL	519	62¢	$322	0xc5dc0c…
10-26 21:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x13646d…
10-26 20:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x180118…
10-26 19:29:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xcbfd12…
10-26 19:28:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	58	16¢	$9	0x0c535a…
10-26 19:28:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	136	16¢	$21	0xba39c8…
10-26 19:28:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	201	16¢	$32	0x885d7a…
10-26 19:28:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0xdd0429…
10-26 19:28:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	63	16¢	$10	0xb249cb…
10-26 19:28:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0x721b77…
10-26 19:07:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	429	20¢	$85	0xb82ad3…
10-26 19:07:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	447	20¢	$89	0x238a42…
10-26 19:05:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	124	19¢	$24	0x270da9…
10-26 18:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	168	6¢	$10	0x486f68…
10-26 18:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xaec13e…
10-26 15:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	77	19¢	$15	0x5debde…
10-26 14:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	142	18¢	$26	0xca263d…
10-26 13:49:23	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	SELL	58	67¢	$39	0x4538f5…
10-26 13:48:39	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x258059…
10-26 13:48:39	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	SELL	175	67¢	$118	0x04155d…
10-26 13:25:39	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xbb4916…
10-26 13:18:44	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x04785a…
10-26 13:16:21	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe2f56a…
10-26 13:07:12	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0x1ded19…
10-26 13:07:11	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	BUY	68	61¢	$42	0xc919d9…
10-26 13:06:29	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	BUY	395	65¢	$259	0x3ec7ce…
10-26 13:06:09	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xfda826…
10-26 13:02:00	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	BUY	398	94¢	$374	0x6df0d5…
10-26 12:59:59	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x6c8b59…
10-26 12:55:12	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7fcd10…
10-26 11:22:20	Will FH Hafnarfjörður be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	428	100¢	$427	0xd06902…
10-26 11:22:14	Will Stjarnan be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x5ceb62…
10-26 11:22:09	Will ÍA Akranes be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x92b422…
10-26 11:22:08	Will Keflavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x5ee1df…
10-26 11:22:03	Will Breiðablik be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x6b853d…
10-26 11:21:59	Will Fram Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x7cf25c…
10-26 11:21:57	Will KR Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0x1c2d71…
10-26 11:21:09	Will ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Yes	BUY	152	99¢	$151	0xbcc540…
10-26 11:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x33e985…
10-26 10:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xbb9c18…
10-26 10:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	1,001	0¢	$1	0x5d5484…
10-26 09:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x85a093…
10-26 09:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2d6c09…
10-26 09:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x28e204…
10-26 09:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	826	0¢	$2	0x92286d…
10-26 09:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x0783ce…
10-26 09:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0x4141dd…
10-26 09:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	190	3¢	$5	0x09a4f4…
10-26 08:14:38	Shi vs. Ibragimova: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	848	1¢	$8	0x421ab4…
10-26 00:57:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xec08c4…
10-26 00:49:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	505	100¢	$502	0xce6a7c…
10-26 00:11:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x3f6b4b…
10-25 17:54:20	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	57	43¢	$25	0x10a57c…
10-25 17:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 18?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x0eb1b2…
10-25 16:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3ead02…
10-25 16:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 18?	No	BUY	562	100¢	$561	0xa845f0…
10-25 16:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x754174…
10-25 16:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x333538…
10-25 16:33:09	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 26.5	Over	BUY	510	3¢	$15	0x47d922…
10-25 16:33:09	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 26.5	Over	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x15f3e8…
10-25 16:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x90453a…
10-25 16:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd7141…
10-25 16:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x39e7aa…
10-25 16:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	663	100¢	$662	0x240102…
10-25 16:00:32	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x5b0ff4…
10-25 07:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	276	2¢	$5	0xdfe6d5…
10-25 07:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x8229b8…
10-25 01:02:54	1H Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)	Nets	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x2d5ea2…
10-25 01:00:17	1H Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)	Nets	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe35711…
10-25 00:58:59	1H Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)	Nets	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xf32ce7…
10-24 19:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	224	2¢	$4	0x3ba847…
10-24 15:14:44	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 21?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x247a75…
10-24 15:14:41	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9d89ac…
10-24 15:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x00b817…
10-24 14:13:35	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 22?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6217ce…
10-24 14:13:32	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xacf091…
10-24 13:22:21	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	189	16¢	$30	0x32a4de…
10-24 09:47:48	Will Shanghai Port finish 3rd in the 2026 Chinese Super League?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x6915d2…