(anonymous) 0x010d04…add0e6
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$95
Unrealized P&L
+$84
Hit rate
58.9%
Resolved
251
Trades
1,870
lifetime
Volume
$51.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$210
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-24
last 10-26 22:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
69% 52% -$250
Politics
13% 44% -$249
Sports
10% 52% +$639
Tech
5% 50% -$89
Crypto
2% 33% +$43
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +364 $186 44¢ $158 -$28 09-20 23:06
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +21 $18 94¢ $20 +$2 08-25 05:27
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +26 $16 57¢ $15 $0 08-03 00:55
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +146 $19 3¢ $5 -$14 07-29 18:41
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +59 $24 6¢ $4 -$21 09-07 21:09
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 -$2 70¢ $1 +$2 07-14 19:35
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +1 -$1 90¢ $1 +$1 07-17 17:28
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +1 -$36 88¢ $1 +$37 08-29 21:08
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +1 $6 82¢ $1 -$5 09-08 19:46
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2 $0 40¢ $1 +$0 07-08 18:27
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +1 -$1 94¢ $0 +$1 07-21 16:45
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +3 $6 18¢ $0 -$5 08-14 02:17
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +0 -$55 94¢ $0 +$55 08-19 21:30
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $0 $0 07-19 00:20
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +1 $0 72¢ $0 +$1 09-25 23:08
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $5 5¢ $0 -$4 07-27 05:40
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +0 -$8 90¢ $0 +$9 07-22 16:20
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 -$23 30¢ $0 +$23 08-16 20:59
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +1 -$31 29¢ $0 +$31 07-11 23:51
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? No +1 $2 18¢ $0 -$1 09-26 16:59
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +4 $16 3¢ $0 -$16 08-10 22:45
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +1 $57 14¢ $0 -$57 08-28 21:45
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637 Yes +1 $3 14¢ $0 -$3 08-11 18:45
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1 -$36 18¢ $0 +$36 08-21 08:13
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +0 -$46 30¢ $0 +$46 10-18 20:57
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1 $0 12¢ $0 +$0 07-23 13:51
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 07-09 13:19
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +0 $2 25¢ $0 -$2 09-11 16:16
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +0 $6 16¢ $0 -$6 10-03 20:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +0 $1 32¢ $0 -$1 09-09 19:47