Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$332
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
547
lifetime
Volume
$13.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$526
21 positions
First seen
2026-06-25
last 07-21 03:35
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
76%
Politics
9%
Tech
7%
Crypto
5%
Sports
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SHEIN IPO before 2027? No +697 $339 13¢ $91 $-248 07-18 12:43
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +134 $45 60¢ $80 +$34 07-20 21:53
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +220 $64 29¢ $64 $-0 07-19 00:01
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? Yes +76 $64 74¢ $57 $-8 07-11 00:52
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? No +51 $45 92¢ $47 +$2 07-10 15:17
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? Yes +75 $59 57¢ $43 $-16 07-10 15:32
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? No +82 $70 48¢ $39 $-31 07-11 02:17
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes +96 $39 40¢ $38 $-1 07-11 12:08
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +107 $35 30¢ $32 $-3 07-18 09:06
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +35 $17 66¢ $23 +$6 07-21 03:35
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +32 $83 22¢ $7 $-75 07-10 06:06
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? No +10 $48 20¢ $2 $-46 07-20 19:38
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? No +1 $-1 89¢ $1 +$2 07-21 01:29
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? Yes +1 $-2 80¢ $1 +$2 07-18 20:03
Halle Berry as Storm? No +1 $-14 78¢ $1 +$14 07-17 13:23
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1 $-37 36¢ $0 +$37 07-15 05:30
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? No +1 $-2 41¢ $0 +$3 07-14 21:52
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes +4 $1 $0 $-0 07-19 00:20
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1 $1 26¢ $0 $-0 07-09 13:19
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? Yes -1 $3 $-0 $-3 07-16 19:03
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 07-20 23:43