(anonymous) 0x0c935d…d7aafa
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.14K
Unrealized P&L
+$39
Hit rate
55.8%
Resolved
251
Trades
2,377
lifetime
Volume
$34.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$129
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-11
last 10-17 16:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Politics
62% 49% +$252
Other
29% 36% -$989
Tech
4% 50% -$88
Crypto
3% 38% -$296
Sports
1% 67% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +45 $40 86¢ $39 -$1 09-01 06:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +18 $17 90¢ $17 +$0 08-20 23:33
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +15 -$121 94¢ $14 +$135 08-17 11:10
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $21 14¢ $6 -$15 10-17 16:32
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +48 $2 11¢ $5 +$3 10-06 15:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5 $2 99¢ $5 +$3 10-10 11:43
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 09-10 22:57
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 No +7 $2 50¢ $4 +$2 10-17 16:32
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$0 10-12 16:54
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $6 40¢ $4 -$2 10-02 18:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +7 $5 50¢ $4 -$1 10-13 16:11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +34 $3 10¢ $3 +$0 10-03 16:54
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +19 $3 17¢ $3 +$0 10-03 10:18
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +6 $2 56¢ $3 +$1 10-01 15:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 09-01 14:13
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 40¢ $2 $0 10-06 12:39
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3 $2 70¢ $2 $0 09-13 20:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +18 $4 10¢ $2 -$2 10-13 03:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 09-19 06:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $6 15¢ $1 -$5 10-17 14:10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +7 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 10-02 19:32
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +15 $65 6¢ $1 -$64 10-17 16:32
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +5 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 10-17 16:32
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes +6 $4 9¢ $1 -$3 10-09 17:08
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +6 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 10-17 04:07
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +8 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 10-17 06:51
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +1 $0 6¢ $0 $0 08-02 09:45
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? Yes +32 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 10-17 09:09
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes +0 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 09-05 19:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +3 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-13 19:56