Thirsty-Spoon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$158

Unrealized P&L

+$23

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

790

lifetime

Volume

$232.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$295

Open exposure

$18.3K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-23 22:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$1

Politics

33% 100% +$157

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+13,000	$12,745	98¢	$12.7K	+$2	07-23 21:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+4,215	$4,170	99¢	$4.2K	+$14	07-23 22:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+1,000	$900	90¢	$895	$-5	07-14 14:34
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	+500	$460	94¢	$472	+$12	06-15 21:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	12	$20.8K	10,457	10,457	+0	open	—	04-12 21:14
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	193	$16.7K	15,000	2,000	+13,000	open	—	07-23 21:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	18	$16.4K	8,443	8,443	+0	open	—	05-26 19:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	48	$15.5K	9,056	9,056	+0	open	—	03-12 21:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	11	$13.7K	7,079	7,079	+0	open	—	05-26 07:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	16	$7.7K	8,121	540	+7,581	open	—	05-24 06:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$6.7K	3,900	3,000	+900	open	—	05-29 19:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	23	$6.7K	5,313	1,500	+3,813	open	—	05-19 16:32
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	2	$5.5K	2,736	2,736	+0	open	—	03-16 16:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	18	$5.0K	2,793	3,000	-207	open	—	06-30 11:38
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	4	$4.2K	4,205	0	+4,205	open	—	06-16 19:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	28	$4.2K	4,215	0	+4,215	open	—	07-23 22:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-09 21:15
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	4	$3.4K	3,491	0	+3,491	open	—	07-20 19:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	5	$3.4K	3,500	0	+3,500	No	+$124	05-08 19:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$3.4K	1,695	1,695	+0	open	—	05-21 20:31
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	4	$3.1K	3,067	0	+3,067	open	—	04-29 14:54
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-30 20:51
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	9	$2.9K	1,991	932	+1,059	open	—	07-21 21:37
USR depeg by December 31?	5	$2.9K	2,876	0	+2,876	open	—	03-23 06:57
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	5	$2.6K	2,309	309	+2,000	open	—	07-13 20:39
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	56	$2.6K	7,376	7,376	+0	open	—	03-11 08:23
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	24	$2.6K	3,190	4,424	-1,234	open	—	04-22 12:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	9	$2.6K	2,494	432	+2,062	open	—	05-29 17:22
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	12	$2.5K	1,409	1,409	+0	open	—	05-06 07:10
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?	6	$2.5K	2,252	252	+2,000	open	—	05-24 15:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	3	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	04-25 22:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	3	$2.0K	2,042	0	+2,042	open	—	04-26 18:51
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	5	$2.0K	1,033	1,033	+0	open	—	04-29 14:53
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	5	$2.0K	1,022	1,022	+0	open	—	05-11 20:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 22:32:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	901	99¢	$891	0xe0c515…
07-23 22:26:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfb762b…
07-23 22:10:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcd0159…
07-23 22:10:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xbcbc6c…
07-23 22:10:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x8ebfca…
07-23 22:10:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1cf1f2…
07-23 22:10:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x121fa1…
07-23 22:10:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0fbe14…
07-23 22:10:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xda35c5…
07-23 22:10:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xd5ebce…
07-23 22:10:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa3b50c…
07-23 22:10:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x8c499d…
07-23 22:10:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x821673…
07-23 22:10:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5c9fa6…
07-23 22:10:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x4d940c…
07-23 22:10:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x12c673…
07-23 22:10:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x129ee8…
07-23 22:10:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x091cc5…
07-23 22:10:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x06ae20…
07-23 22:10:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	688	99¢	$680	0x5329f4…
07-23 21:46:24	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	98¢	$1,960	0x8430ab…
07-23 06:42:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5f3fd9…
07-23 06:40:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x6be2ab…
07-23 06:38:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc622d6…
07-23 06:35:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9d6b0…
07-23 06:35:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdae806…
07-23 06:33:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa6f7bb…
07-23 02:45:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x5a25bc…
07-23 01:15:22	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	158	96¢	$152	0x9127ee…
07-22 23:42:42	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	186	96¢	$179	0x63eed2…
07-22 23:29:34	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0x5f2b97…
07-22 22:09:58	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x86eab2…
07-22 20:47:54	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5802a0…
07-21 21:57:06	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	650	0¢	$1	0x97c2d0…
07-21 21:56:06	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	650	100¢	$648	0xbcdc39…
07-21 21:37:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x2fd393…
07-21 21:01:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$989	0x8844bc…
07-21 18:19:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$985	0xb3c37b…
07-21 17:59:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	SELL	932	99¢	$923	0xe89da5…
07-21 17:27:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	500	99¢	$493	0x488240…
07-21 15:53:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	132	96¢	$127	0xedc51c…
07-21 04:55:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xac1a72…
07-20 23:41:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0x148b4b…
07-20 23:30:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1e9d02…
07-20 23:23:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	145	96¢	$139	0xf9858a…
07-20 19:39:15	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0xbbed21…
07-20 19:32:42	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	242	97¢	$234	0x6df5e5…
07-20 19:14:39	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x573570…
07-20 19:13:46	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	3,000	97¢	$2,912	0x8cfc82…
07-20 19:07:42	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0xbb57fa…
07-14 14:34:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	253	90¢	$228	0x86916a…
07-14 14:13:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	747	90¢	$672	0xc53c92…
07-14 13:33:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0xb94739…
07-14 13:33:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x6cb0ea…
07-14 13:33:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	758	98¢	$742	0x6a7cfd…
07-14 13:33:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	136	98¢	$133	0x568af7…
07-14 13:33:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	226	98¢	$221	0x3c6a8f…
07-14 13:32:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	290	98¢	$284	0x82f21b…
07-14 13:13:59	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x61927f…
07-14 13:13:17	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	752	98¢	$736	0xef43a9…
07-14 13:06:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa4844e…
07-14 13:06:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5167c6…
07-14 13:06:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb7b17b…
07-14 13:06:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1b8577…
07-14 13:06:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x192421…
07-14 13:06:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x438f9d…
07-14 13:06:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0f0358…
07-14 13:06:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x84b446…
07-14 13:06:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2c51f4…
07-14 13:06:32	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x24a6b8…
07-14 12:59:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xc79172…
07-14 12:01:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfcd5cb…
07-14 11:22:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	74	98¢	$72	0xf53916…
07-14 11:00:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x7c08d7…
07-14 09:40:29	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x3b69d8…
07-14 08:00:56	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$0	0x4800e9…
07-14 08:00:56	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$0	0x23022b…
07-14 08:00:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6e360d…
07-14 07:59:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6ef713…
07-14 05:09:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc458cb…
07-14 04:40:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x43a468…
07-14 03:35:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x3a6d63…
07-14 03:31:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0x9a9430…
07-14 02:45:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0x8a8d15…
07-14 01:51:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0xacccd5…
07-14 01:31:07	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd0bd0f…
07-14 01:31:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe55a9d…
07-14 01:31:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc1392e…
07-14 01:31:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x69cd24…
07-14 01:31:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x863fbf…
07-14 01:22:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x019184…
07-14 00:38:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xefedf7…
07-14 00:38:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8e1109…
07-14 00:38:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x82ee7d…
07-14 00:30:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xce9de7…
07-14 00:08:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x80eec2…
07-13 23:02:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd5eac5…
07-13 21:53:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x21be34…
07-13 20:39:46	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xf2842b…
07-13 19:44:38	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0xa0a60b…