Thirsty-Spoon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$158

Unrealized P&L

+$780

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

537

lifetime

Volume

$198.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$369

Open exposure

$679

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-02 02:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$1

Politics

35% 100% +$157

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No		+500	$460	94¢	$472	+$12	06-15 21:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		-207	$-973	100¢	$-206	+$767	06-30 11:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	12	$20.8K	10,457	10,457	+0	open	—	04-12 21:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	18	$16.4K	8,443	8,443	+0	open	—	05-26 19:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	48	$15.5K	9,056	9,056	+0	open	—	03-12 21:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	11	$13.7K	7,079	7,079	+0	open	—	05-26 07:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	16	$7.7K	8,121	540	+7,581	open	—	05-24 06:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$6.7K	3,900	3,000	+900	open	—	05-29 19:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	23	$6.7K	5,313	1,500	+3,813	open	—	05-19 16:32
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	2	$5.5K	2,736	2,736	+0	open	—	03-16 16:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	18	$5.0K	2,793	3,000	-207	open	—	06-30 11:38
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	4	$4.2K	4,205	0	+4,205	open	—	06-16 19:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-09 21:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	5	$3.4K	3,500	0	+3,500	No	+$124	05-08 19:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$3.4K	1,695	1,695	+0	open	—	05-21 20:31
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	4	$3.1K	3,067	0	+3,067	open	—	04-29 14:54
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-30 20:51
USR depeg by December 31?	5	$2.9K	2,876	0	+2,876	open	—	03-23 06:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	56	$2.6K	7,376	7,376	+0	open	—	03-11 08:23
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	24	$2.6K	3,190	4,424	-1,234	open	—	04-22 12:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	9	$2.6K	2,494	432	+2,062	open	—	05-29 17:22
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	12	$2.5K	1,409	1,409	+0	open	—	05-06 07:10
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?	6	$2.5K	2,252	252	+2,000	open	—	05-24 15:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	3	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	04-25 22:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	3	$2.0K	2,042	0	+2,042	open	—	04-26 18:51
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	5	$2.0K	1,033	1,033	+0	open	—	04-29 14:53
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	5	$2.0K	1,022	1,022	+0	open	—	05-11 20:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-01 06:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-21 21:28
Iran leadership change by March 13?	3	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-13 18:06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	12	$1.9K	1,927	0	+1,927	open	—	05-22 22:47
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	2	$1.9K	1,877	0	+1,877	open	—	05-17 20:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 02:02:11	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	SELL	69	72¢	$50	0x6c98a1…
07-02 01:49:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x644b14…
07-02 01:03:23	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	SELL	237	72¢	$171	0x9e67ac…
07-02 01:01:56	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	SELL	406	72¢	$292	0xda6952…
06-30 11:38:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0xed26c6…
06-29 11:02:17	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082	Yes	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x62fcaa…
06-20 20:07:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	503	99¢	$500	0xcf0143…
06-19 21:52:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	400	95¢	$380	0x65d8a7…
06-16 23:21:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	400	53¢	$212	0xe6ba76…
06-16 19:23:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	2,004	100¢	$2,000	0xcbe68d…
06-16 19:22:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x10f29a…
06-15 21:51:40	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x6c7275…
06-14 21:42:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	109	65¢	$71	0x50ff28…
06-14 21:42:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0x5749c9…
06-14 21:42:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	571	65¢	$371	0x7b7eac…
06-14 21:42:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	47	65¢	$30	0xb6e5eb…
06-14 21:41:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x504919…
06-14 21:41:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	211	65¢	$137	0xbdb0b9…
06-14 21:27:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$992	0x78acbd…
06-14 21:26:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0xce7137…
06-14 21:17:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	74¢	$740	0xb2bcf9…
06-14 21:08:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	441	78¢	$344	0xc875b1…
06-14 21:07:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	116	78¢	$91	0xcd6338…
06-14 21:06:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	90	78¢	$70	0x8f85d2…
06-14 21:06:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x32ed95…
06-14 21:06:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x225082…
06-14 21:06:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xaecfd9…
06-14 21:06:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x23cbab…
06-14 21:06:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xc770e2…
06-14 21:06:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xc012ba…
06-14 21:04:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xa65dc8…
06-11 07:15:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0xc28e34…
06-10 23:35:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	500	98¢	$489	0x3e8ab5…
06-06 12:00:55	Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	125	99¢	$123	0xc8c03b…
06-03 20:20:27	will fermn lpez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	390	97¢	$378	0xb5f967…
06-01 13:16:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	600	30¢	$178	0x4075c9…
06-01 07:07:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	134	28¢	$37	0x5a2eef…
06-01 07:01:00	Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x792702…
06-01 02:07:46	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc7e879…
06-01 00:52:48	Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0xddc04c…
06-01 00:36:19	Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x43e6f9…
05-31 21:47:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x597913…
05-31 21:39:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$448	0x30dca9…
05-31 09:42:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x8603ef…
05-30 11:32:39	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	991	98¢	$971	0x533d39…
05-29 19:56:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0x45ddaa…
05-29 17:22:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	977	87¢	$846	0xfbbe42…
05-29 16:59:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xbe54cb…
05-29 16:58:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x4d8864…
05-29 16:41:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	62	87¢	$54	0xe02ee4…
05-29 16:41:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$867	0x5a4e2b…
05-27 03:15:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	321	99¢	$317	0x794299…
05-26 20:57:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	432	92¢	$399	0x11b9ea…
05-26 20:36:33	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x78c7df…
05-26 20:00:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3,000	98¢	$2,940	0x6c5ca7…
05-26 19:41:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	6,143	99¢	$6,088	0xac1d43…
05-26 07:12:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	7,079	95¢	$6,737	0x94d2aa…
05-25 22:15:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x9e54b3…
05-25 22:14:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x89e154…
05-25 22:12:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,700	97¢	$2,619	0xb7eeea…
05-25 21:37:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x3a9c4c…
05-25 21:02:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x867288…
05-25 20:52:53	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	87¢	$80	0x4c0346…
05-25 20:23:59	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xc99357…
05-25 19:43:54	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xe5609a…
05-25 19:26:45	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	160	88¢	$141	0x9a45bf…
05-25 06:44:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	995	100¢	$991	0x653e2a…
05-25 06:34:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x656e87…
05-25 06:30:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0xd7c529…
05-25 06:29:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,992	0xf77fde…
05-24 21:36:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xcfefb3…
05-24 18:08:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$978	0x510a1c…
05-24 17:43:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	679	98¢	$665	0x797b58…
05-24 15:57:24	US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?	No	BUY	345	99¢	$343	0x73f465…
05-24 11:20:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	227	98¢	$221	0x2bd200…
05-24 11:01:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	711	98¢	$694	0x8c83a4…
05-24 10:01:57	US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0xbad8be…
05-24 08:59:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$61	0x801898…
05-24 07:29:05	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$975	0x93b715…
05-24 06:31:06	US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?	No	BUY	1,255	99¢	$1,249	0x1f6074…
05-24 06:17:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0xee9fcd…
05-23 23:05:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	299	98¢	$292	0xa6d2e4…
05-23 23:00:15	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xdff6f8…
05-23 22:59:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$977	0x65c2ed…
05-23 22:35:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x8a52d8…
05-23 22:34:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	121	98¢	$118	0xc9f917…
05-23 22:15:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	26	92¢	$23	0x63c1d8…
05-23 22:13:33	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	90¢	$224	0xa39c14…
05-23 22:10:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	222	92¢	$204	0x026f06…
05-23 22:02:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x22ae9b…
05-23 21:54:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	679	98¢	$663	0x26f8f6…
05-23 21:52:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xcf1980…
05-23 21:34:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x36f291…
05-23 21:32:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$983	0xb86ffa…
05-23 21:25:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x097cd9…
05-23 21:22:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	32	82¢	$26	0x4351df…
05-23 21:19:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xb5b5c4…
05-23 21:19:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	910	98¢	$894	0xb0ac62…
05-23 21:19:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x3ac97a…
05-23 21:19:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3bbbe1…