Quarterly-Comeback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.40K

Unrealized P&L

-$209

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,291

lifetime

Volume

$141.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

$7.39K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-21 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

62% 40% $-181

Other

36% 27% $-3,218

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	+6,542	$6,000	92¢	$6.0K	+$19	07-20 14:54
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+1,075	$1,000	94¢	$1.0K	+$5	06-19 02:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	+241	$200	86¢	$209	+$9	06-09 21:38
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	+333	$150	48¢	$158	+$8	06-04 12:39
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	+364	$250	0¢	$0	$-250	06-19 03:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	41	$12.3K	7,566	7,566	+0	open	—	04-30 15:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	8	$6.6K	3,940	3,940	+0	open	—	05-01 22:07
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	2	$6.0K	6,542	0	+6,542	open	—	07-20 14:54
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	10	$5.0K	5,503	1,215	+4,288	open	—	07-10 10:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	26	$4.9K	2,914	2,914	+0	open	—	04-26 18:46
Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	55	$4.6K	5,534	900	+4,634	open	—	04-29 20:49
will jess phillips be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533225	1	$3.0K	3,048	0	+3,048	open	—	07-21 10:43
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	14	$2.8K	3,462	3,462	+0	open	—	04-23 10:41
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	10	$2.8K	3,120	0	+3,120	open	—	05-02 02:18
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	12	$2.5K	2,877	0	+2,877	open	—	04-29 17:24
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	7	$2.2K	1,421	1,421	+0	open	—	02-05 11:40
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	7	$2.2K	1,698	651	+1,047	open	—	04-29 11:56
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$2.1K	2,384	0	+2,384	open	—	05-05 08:09
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	7	$2.1K	2,844	0	+2,844	open	—	05-19 13:47
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,186	0	+2,186	open	—	05-17 16:27
starmer out by june 22 2026	4	$1.7K	1,862	0	+1,862	open	—	06-22 08:28
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	5	$1.7K	1,861	0	+1,861	open	—	06-24 06:34
Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?	8	$1.5K	1,709	0	+1,709	open	—	04-30 15:03
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	2	$1.4K	746	746	+0	open	—	02-04 17:57
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	13	$1.4K	1,552	0	+1,552	open	—	04-30 15:06
will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	15	$1.4K	1,429	48	+1,382	open	—	07-21 16:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	10	$1.4K	767	767	+0	No	+$100	04-26 18:46
Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	5	$1.3K	1,484	0	+1,484	Yes	+$175	05-08 08:09
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.3K	1,499	0	+1,499	open	—	06-19 02:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.2K	1,100	746	+354	open	—	05-23 18:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	15	$1.2K	1,026	984	+42	open	—	04-07 22:12
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	10	$1.2K	1,789	1,264	+525	open	—	05-14 14:24
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 30 2026	2	$1.1K	1,154	0	+1,154	open	—	01-30 11:14
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	9	$1.0K	1,294	1,146	+148	open	—	04-08 18:01
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	5	$1.0K	1,458	558	+900	Yes	+$10	05-01 09:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 16:39:52	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xa45d79…
07-21 15:43:15	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd4891b…
07-21 15:41:00	will catherine west be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533200	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xbacb81…
07-21 10:43:25	will jess phillips be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533225	No	BUY	3,048	98¢	$3,000	0x8d5c09…
07-21 10:42:07	will steve reed be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533210	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x509c60…
07-20 15:37:49	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x338380…
07-20 15:03:27	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb01936…
07-20 15:03:18	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x522109…
07-20 15:02:49	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xdbddbf…
07-20 15:02:43	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb91813…
07-20 15:02:39	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x53b61d…
07-20 15:02:34	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc0c481…
07-20 15:02:31	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x85ef89…
07-20 15:01:51	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x79f7b0…
07-20 15:01:43	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x4d21ea…
07-20 15:01:34	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	508	98¢	$500	0x1ffb06…
07-20 15:00:15	will yvette cooper be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533204	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4cc4f5…
07-20 15:00:09	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb643b5…
07-20 15:00:01	will louise haigh be in the burnham cabinet 20260624183158959	Yes	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xfab9bc…
07-20 14:54:18	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	5,365	93¢	$5,000	0x06bd46…
07-13 16:43:35	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x4939be…
07-13 16:43:20	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	265	94¢	$250	0x51e87f…
07-13 09:32:44	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	Yes	SELL	48	51¢	$24	0x80eb69…
07-11 12:57:58	will louise haigh be in the burnham cabinet 20260624183158959	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xca512a…
07-10 21:03:14	will louise haigh be in the burnham cabinet 20260624183158959	Yes	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x34e4c5…
07-10 10:24:19	will david lammy be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533203	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x75042d…
07-10 10:19:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xde760d…
07-10 10:18:20	will starmer say world cup during the next pmq 20260702155400728	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xcaae20…
07-10 10:16:49	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x5ccbb6…
07-10 10:13:56	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	BUY	1,410	92¢	$1,300	0xb39d14…
07-10 10:13:10	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	SELL	345	76¢	$262	0x35a6d1…
07-07 12:37:44	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x97546c…
07-07 12:37:40	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	540	56¢	$300	0x28a9c3…
07-04 21:47:11	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0x8e5a40…
07-04 21:47:05	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	BUY	606	83¢	$500	0x869aca…
07-04 21:46:53	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0xa48a66…
06-26 17:38:17	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	BUY	545	90¢	$490	0xb61f9d…
06-26 17:31:08	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	834	10¢	$79	0xf0b014…
06-26 17:30:58	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	Yes	SELL	1,215	13¢	$157	0xadfeb5…
06-26 16:46:34	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	435	75¢	$326	0xf3adbc…
06-25 15:44:41	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe17c29…
06-25 15:44:41	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x090d58…
06-25 15:34:59	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x1bf988…
06-25 15:34:59	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x0cf1c0…
06-25 11:44:37	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd53775…
06-25 11:04:41	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xa2e6c5…
06-25 10:34:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x66b1a2…
06-25 09:44:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xce9635…
06-25 09:41:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x3af26c…
06-25 09:14:40	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc1db61…
06-25 08:44:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd4150c…
06-25 08:04:38	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x431eb5…
06-25 07:24:41	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xdbc022…
06-25 06:54:40	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x23306d…
06-25 06:43:22	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x97e599…
06-25 06:42:55	will louise haigh be in the burnham cabinet 20260624183158959	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x38a96d…
06-25 06:25:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xabae49…
06-25 06:16:32	will steve reed be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533210	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xae44bf…
06-25 06:15:59	will bridget phillipson be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533208	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x217e7c…
06-25 06:15:31	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x388dbf…
06-25 06:14:46	will louise haigh be in the burnham cabinet 20260624183158959	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x20cce5…
06-25 06:04:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x457f42…
06-25 06:04:17	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xbb4f65…
06-25 06:03:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xfb2af5…
06-25 06:03:29	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0x87ba74…
06-25 06:02:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	Yes	BUY	166	30¢	$50	0x1b989e…
06-25 06:01:55	will trump speak to maria corina machado in june	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x4b70d6…
06-24 19:57:46	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	BUY	775	90¢	$700	0x429fcd…
06-24 19:57:14	Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	710	99¢	$705	0x394acf…
06-24 19:56:22	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	BUY	223	90¢	$200	0x73fbe5…
06-24 14:43:38	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	134	71¢	$95	0x2146b6…
06-24 14:34:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xfdab97…
06-24 14:34:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa4d34d…
06-24 14:34:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x568f9a…
06-24 14:34:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xfde27f…
06-24 14:34:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe8a42a…
06-24 14:34:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xbc277f…
06-24 14:34:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa6a025…
06-24 14:34:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x18f6ac…
06-24 14:34:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xfe74a9…
06-24 14:34:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf6f96d…
06-24 14:34:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf48986…
06-24 14:34:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf02cbb…
06-24 14:34:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xb7f7d6…
06-24 14:34:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe0526e…
06-24 14:34:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc4577d…
06-24 14:34:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x90a013…
06-24 14:34:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5c8ea2…
06-24 14:34:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x43e0c2…
06-24 14:34:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x104201…
06-24 13:02:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x5cd157…
06-24 07:51:17	will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x48d6ba…
06-24 06:34:31	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x2ce16b…
06-24 05:42:35	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xc6cdca…
06-24 00:23:44	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	192	85¢	$164	0x4564f5…
06-23 17:45:50	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	253	59¢	$150	0xb239da…
06-23 17:43:52	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	537	93¢	$500	0xd5d65f…
06-23 17:43:19	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1,116	90¢	$1,000	0x371598…
06-22 08:33:49	will starmer say thank 5 times during resignation 20260622052443837	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7d6d3a…
06-22 08:28:44	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	600	98¢	$588	0x08fe3a…