Realized P&L
+$10.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.56K
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
423
Trades
1,592
lifetime
Volume
$187.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$117
Open exposure
$24.6K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 10-25 20:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Politics
56% 67% +$4,308
Other
40% 66% +$5,384
Pop-Culture
2% 50% +$135
Sports
1% 62% +$216
Crypto
0% 50% -$10
Tech
0% 0% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +8,931 $8,060 97¢ $8.7K +$612 07-20 14:54
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +4,592 $3,510 100¢ $4.6K +$1,077 09-18 08:41
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +2,346 $1,838 92¢ $2.2K +$320 09-02 21:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,875 $1,717 97¢ $1.8K +$96 07-22 14:48
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +2,103 $1,600 85¢ $1.8K +$188 10-18 06:26
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,393 $1,100 86¢ $1.2K +$102 08-20 11:47
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +977 $800 92¢ $904 +$104 10-09 10:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +471 $400 96¢ $454 +$54 07-23 08:14
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? Yes +775 $250 40¢ $314 +$64 09-30 15:43
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +385 $250 78¢ $298 +$48 09-02 21:20
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +340 $300 87¢ $295 -$5 08-17 10:31
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +333 $250 86¢ $288 +$38 09-25 16:01
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +259 $200 97¢ $251 +$51 07-25 10:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +208 $200 98¢ $203 +$3 09-07 14:33
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +183 $100 99¢ $181 +$81 09-07 06:56
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +147 $100 97¢ $142 +$42 07-23 08:18
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +554 $250 24¢ $130 -$120 10-07 10:24
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +130 $100 86¢ $111 +$11 07-26 20:10
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +708 $250 15¢ $106 -$144 09-16 12:54
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +118 $100 89¢ $105 +$5 09-16 12:51
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? No +108 $100 96¢ $103 +$3 07-23 08:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +116 $100 88¢ $103 +$3 09-16 12:53
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +104 $100 98¢ $102 +$2 07-23 08:19
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +106 $100 96¢ $102 +$2 09-07 14:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +100 $83 97¢ $97 +$14 05-02 08:38
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +81 $50 64¢ $52 +$2 10-13 19:12
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +139 $100 3¢ $4 -$96 10-24 09:08