Realized P&L
+$10.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$651
Hit rate
81.8%
Resolved
232
Trades
4,696
lifetime
Volume
$216.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$20.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-18
last 10-27 06:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Politics
54% 53% +$7,690
Other
45% 41% +$2,999
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 253 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,150 $3,442 72¢ $3.7K +$292 10-26 21:55
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,795 $2,613 70¢ $2.7K +$63 10-27 07:51
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2,850 $1,857 66¢ $1.9K +$9 10-26 20:54
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +2,500 $1,747 70¢ $1.8K +$15 10-27 07:42
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,509 $1,135 83¢ $1.3K +$118 10-26 21:56
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,514 $961 66¢ $1.0K +$46 10-25 01:59
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +957 $841 93¢ $889 +$48 10-26 00:14
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,050 $775 74¢ $782 +$7 10-18 19:36
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +850 $601 72¢ $608 +$6 10-26 08:47
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +940 $598 62¢ $578 -$20 10-26 20:53
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +710 $590 78¢ $554 -$36 10-26 14:30
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +600 $442 74¢ $441 -$1 10-25 23:18
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +750 $420 58¢ $435 +$14 10-22 07:53
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $428 86¢ $429 +$1 10-26 16:59
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $448 60¢ $424 -$25 10-26 17:13
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +563 $397 72¢ $406 +$8 10-22 19:05
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +550 $434 70¢ $388 -$47 10-25 17:58
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +450 $376 79¢ $356 -$20 10-20 01:22
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +450 $268 72¢ $324 +$56 10-26 01:11
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +450 $286 66¢ $299 +$13 10-24 06:44
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +553 $120 38¢ $207 +$88 10-26 16:55
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +240 $206 86¢ $205 -$1 10-24 17:00
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +230 $197 86¢ $197 -$1 10-25 05:58
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +250 $187 76¢ $191 +$4 10-27 02:04
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +250 $165 72¢ $179 +$14 10-26 05:22
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +287 $159 56¢ $162 +$3 10-15 16:14
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +258 $148 58¢ $151 +$3 10-12 21:57
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +200 $149 75¢ $151 +$1 10-07 22:44
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +300 $143 46¢ $136 -$7 10-27 01:28
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +168 $134 80¢ $134 $0 10-26 16:49