Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

296

Trades

2,882

lifetime

Volume

$3.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-20

last 10-08 11:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

72% 23% -$43

Sports

22% 20% +$9

Crypto

2% 27% -$14

Politics

2% 0% -$3

Tech

1% 25% +$2

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	+0	$4	90¢	$0	-$3	06-27 23:55
Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	+1	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	08-11 11:52
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	+0	$1	6¢	$0	$0	09-04 20:21
gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	+0	$0	0¢	$0	$0	08-22 01:44
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	+0	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-21 20:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	298	$347	1,327	1,220	+107	No	+$12	07-13 01:07
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	87	$181	396	392	+4	No	+$25	07-12 13:08
will harry kane score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611170337382	39	$110	148	132	+16	Yes	-$2	07-06 02:21
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%?	29	$78	129	126	+3	No	-$2	07-11 10:25
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	21	$68	61	59	+2	Yes	-$1	08-06 09:52
will vinicius jrpt score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257762	20	$68	75	70	+4	No	+$6	07-03 19:05
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	97	$66	6,472	6,472	+0	No	+$0	06-27 06:56
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	27	$61	82	82	+0	Yes	+$0	08-11 09:10
will faker win an international title in 2026 20260620014711222	17	$58	77	77	+0	open	—	07-21 23:39
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	15	$58	58	56	+2	No	+$10	07-28 21:35
will cristiano ronaldo score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406403	15	$50	54	50	+3	Yes	+$5	06-23 12:18
will base launch a token by june 30 2027	18	$49	54	54	+0	open	—	07-30 15:29
aapl above 295 on june 26 2026	12	$42	46	45	+1	No	-$1	06-24 03:14
will bilibili gaming golden road in 2026 20260619191254883	26	$40	214	88	+126	No	-$6	07-12 11:38
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	10	$38	41	41	+0	Yes	$0	08-29 03:57
will wells fargo wfc q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt15b 20260618001830829	15	$37	64	60	+4	No	+$11	07-11 18:12
us x cuba economic deal by december 31 2026	13	$34	33	33	+0	open	—	08-05 19:18
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	49	$31	278	278	+0	open	—	10-08 11:34
amzn above 230 on june 26 2026	8	$31	39	39	+0	Yes	$0	06-23 15:05
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	82	$30	1,633	589	+1,043	Yes	-$3	06-24 03:38
us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	10	$29	31	26	+5	No	+$5	07-16 17:48
googl above 350 on june 26 2026	6	$27	23	21	+1	No	+$0	06-23 17:18
will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt60 20260618172009451	14	$26	90	51	+40	Yes	+$2	07-16 12:00
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 30%-32%?	33	$26	133	127	+5	No	+$1	07-12 00:09
will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt55 20260618172009450	6	$25	22	21	+0	Yes	+$2	07-16 12:00
tsla above 405 on june 26 2026	6	$25	23	20	+4	No	-$1	06-23 13:30
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	64	$24	496	496	+0	No	+$3	09-12 22:24
Will Team Liquid Qualify to the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage	49	$24	1,463	530	+932	No	-$3	07-01 10:23
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 gross profit margin 67%-68%?	10	$22	34	23	+10	Yes	+$2	07-16 05:33
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 gross profit margin 68%-69%?	10	$22	36	24	+12	No	$0	07-16 05:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 11:34:38	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x6e167b…
10-04 08:02:41	Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0xaaeaec…
10-02 03:01:29	Will Kevin Vallejos be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x09aa0b…
09-30 10:28:14	Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xeecfd4…
09-23 14:59:04	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xc975c6…
09-20 10:27:10	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x9326a3…
09-20 10:17:49	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd34a7d…
09-19 14:13:45	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xbc45ae…
09-15 09:30:07	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	142	1¢	$1	0xa8efb9…
09-13 12:50:24	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x6c49ff…
09-12 22:24:06	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xf81ab5…
09-12 22:24:06	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x4f889d…
09-12 21:39:36	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xf23ed9…
09-12 09:21:31	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xa71c14…
09-11 20:38:39	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xba2015…
09-10 17:45:34	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xd26994…
09-10 17:45:22	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x912e32…
09-10 17:45:09	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xc70a31…
09-10 17:45:00	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x95eccb…
09-10 17:36:12	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$0	0x7e7d5c…
09-10 06:06:21	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x535551…
09-07 17:13:09	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x417658…
09-07 00:50:57	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x441770…
09-04 20:21:18	Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x228061…
09-04 20:20:27	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x29df61…
09-04 19:14:51	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x8e2069…
09-03 23:23:48	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x14fe9b…
09-03 23:09:55	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xc67981…
09-03 20:41:07	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xe66dcc…
09-03 14:39:49	Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x94019b…
09-01 01:11:52	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xedbd7b…
08-31 15:50:54	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xaa8747…
08-30 23:05:31	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x5934b9…
08-30 11:48:01	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xeb050d…
08-30 10:21:57	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?	No	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xc3927d…
08-30 09:53:03	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x019314…
08-30 09:53:01	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x199370…
08-30 09:52:46	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x942d0c…
08-30 08:38:18	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x7bcce3…
08-29 13:34:30	Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xaa3bca…
08-29 07:42:30	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x709707…
08-29 06:50:25	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x9829df…
08-29 03:57:31	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x0b8ba1…
08-28 19:35:24	Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xc5fc3c…
08-28 14:11:34	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x1cb579…
08-27 09:03:45	Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x2e032a…
08-25 00:52:33	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x3ad1ed…
08-24 18:00:57	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x8983ee…
08-24 07:41:48	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xbdae73…
08-24 07:22:49	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x0ad134…
08-24 06:52:43	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x372f4c…
08-24 02:47:00	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x11e6cf…
08-23 22:48:21	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0x3e6a4f…
08-23 15:19:37	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xda22a5…
08-23 02:13:12	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x6419bf…
08-23 02:06:42	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x3b57c2…
08-22 21:46:24	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc4a74f…
08-22 01:44:01	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xd10d35…
08-21 21:34:30	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0xdc2bd8…
08-21 20:58:55	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x5439b8…
08-21 16:42:48	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x8e6f51…
08-21 16:32:25	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x427374…
08-21 16:31:58	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xc50b5e…
08-21 16:31:49	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x826c24…
08-19 15:36:45	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xdb9480…
08-19 10:54:51	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x6514b3…
08-19 08:56:04	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xff546f…
08-19 08:45:55	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9b6fca…
08-19 06:08:30	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x076b85…
08-19 05:53:28	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x0bc45a…
08-19 05:52:13	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc61a9b…
08-19 05:51:06	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5d94f0…
08-19 05:47:18	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x18f6e3…
08-19 02:11:09	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x411ffc…
08-19 00:07:30	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xb7c51a…
08-18 23:18:07	Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xe58350…
08-17 08:41:18	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xc7b318…
08-16 19:40:07	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf082a0…
08-16 13:11:03	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xcaa75d…
08-15 17:14:54	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xca18ab…
08-15 14:56:25	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1db4e4…
08-15 14:55:15	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x81b447…
08-15 14:13:42	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x9db0b0…
08-14 02:01:15	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x0522cd…
08-14 01:57:28	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xd63d8d…
08-13 15:50:07	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xf993b8…
08-13 12:42:25	Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x7824ee…
08-13 10:52:18	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x5af6a3…
08-13 09:25:30	Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0xc89ebd…
08-13 03:16:48	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$4	0x6e7916…
08-12 17:10:31	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x45340b…
08-12 11:31:12	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x08b34e…
08-12 11:07:03	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc85b39…
08-12 00:00:27	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xaee141…
08-11 11:52:00	Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x03142d…
08-11 09:10:00	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xa108d2…
08-11 06:55:54	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xc9950b…
08-11 04:38:33	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x1bf790…
08-11 04:08:24	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x149f01…
08-11 03:30:01	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x8a1982…