(anonymous) 0xb15dde…36558a
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Realized P&L
-$90
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
60.2%
Resolved
67
Trades
399
lifetime
Volume
$3.87K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$561
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-27 19:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
54% 91% +$21
Politics
42% 59% -$87
Sports
3% 57% -$6
Tech
1% 0% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -195 -$178 97¢ $-188 -$10 06-30 23:58
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -65 -$59 94¢ $-61 -$2 09-19 04:28
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No +66 $50 71¢ $47 -$3 10-22 04:11
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +43 $37 81¢ $35 -$2 10-22 04:09
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? No +40 $24 82¢ $33 +$9 10-22 04:11
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +47 $32 70¢ $33 +$1 10-21 06:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +40 $33 82¢ $32 -$1 10-05 05:45
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? No +32 $22 76¢ $25 +$3 10-27 08:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +28 $21 78¢ $22 +$0 10-27 19:15
will the iranian regime fall by the end of 2027 No — +26 $20 67¢ $17 -$3 10-04 12:30
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +19 $14 92¢ $17 +$3 10-11 08:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -14 -$21 92¢ $-13 +$8 09-30 03:25
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -12 -$13 93¢ $-12 +$2 09-27 05:53
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -12 -$10 97¢ $-12 -$1 05-21 02:50
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -8 -$7 98¢ $-8 -$1 06-21 16:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +10 $7 66¢ $7 $0 10-27 08:45