Realized P&L
-$66
Unrealized P&L
+$523
Hit rate
34.9%
Resolved
83
Trades
728
lifetime
Volume
$114.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$157
Open exposure
$18.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-11
last 08-18 22:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
74% 35% -$7
Politics
26% 38% -$54
Crypto
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +2,772 $2,554 97¢ $2.7K +$133 08-18 16:28
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +1,659 $1,550 98¢ $1.6K +$70 08-18 16:23
will catl be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230556 No +1,997 $1,023 78¢ $1.6K +$545 08-16 10:10
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1,661 $1,424 84¢ $1.4K -$37 08-18 16:05
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31 No +1,326 $1,198 95¢ $1.3K +$61 08-18 16:25
will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264 No +1,485 $832 68¢ $1.0K +$178 08-16 09:31
Maduro guilty of all counts? No +1,022 $726 64¢ $654 -$72 08-16 09:09
will russia enter khatnie by december 31 2026 No +828 $571 76¢ $629 +$58 08-16 08:50
will baidu be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230558 No +741 $405 84¢ $626 +$222 08-16 10:44
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 No +1,028 $329 54¢ $550 +$221 08-16 10:38
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263 No — +530 $408 91¢ $482 +$74 08-15 22:01
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 No +682 $228 70¢ $481 +$252 08-16 08:36
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 Yes +1,028 $699 46¢ $478 -$221 08-16 10:38
will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264 Yes +1,485 $653 32¢ $475 -$178 08-16 09:31
will catl be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230556 Yes +1,997 $974 22¢ $429 -$545 08-16 10:10
total internet blackout in iran by december 31 2026 No +548 $351 74¢ $403 +$52 08-16 10:04
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +485 $306 83¢ $403 +$97 08-16 10:48
will ishaq dar attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221278 No +470 $348 80¢ $373 +$26 08-16 10:31
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +1,022 $296 36¢ $368 +$72 08-16 09:09
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31 No +449 $126 71¢ $319 +$192 08-16 09:33
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221272 No +459 $220 68¢ $310 +$90 08-16 09:47
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,661 $237 16¢ $274 +$37 08-18 16:05
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 Yes +682 $453 30¢ $201 -$252 08-16 08:36
will russia enter khatnie by december 31 2026 Yes +828 $257 24¢ $199 -$58 08-16 08:50
will cxmt be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230554 No +183 $97 82¢ $151 +$54 08-15 18:27
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221272 Yes +459 $239 32¢ $149 -$90 08-16 09:47
total internet blackout in iran by december 31 2026 Yes +548 $197 26¢ $145 -$52 08-16 10:04
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 No +147 $134 96¢ $141 +$7 08-17 22:54
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31 Yes +449 $323 29¢ $130 -$193 08-16 09:33
will baidu be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230558 Yes +741 $337 16¢ $115 -$222 08-16 10:44