Realized P&L
-$99
Unrealized P&L
-$70
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
715
Trades
2,049
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$115
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 10-27 20:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Other
66% 41% -$201
Politics
21% 54% +$74
Sports
6% 61% +$40
Crypto
3% 80% +$9
Tech
3% 43% -$20
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? Yes +110 $51 26¢ $29 -$22 10-03 13:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +40 $24 60¢ $24 $0 10-25 16:50
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by june 30 2027 Yes +26 $11 58¢ $15 +$4 10-04 12:09
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $25 12¢ $9 -$16 10-02 13:05
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $18 20¢ $8 -$10 09-26 12:30
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +45 $12 18¢ $8 -$4 10-25 19:50
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +154 $18 5¢ $7 -$10 10-27 19:19
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +50 $8 8¢ $4 -$5 09-19 12:45
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $4 6¢ $3 -$1 10-26 18:01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +50 $3 6¢ $3 $0 10-25 07:16
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? Yes +50 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 10-10 15:10
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? Yes +50 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-18 18:47
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +30 $4 2¢ $0 -$4 10-18 18:14
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $11 0¢ $0 -$10 09-26 11:01
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +0 -$10 86¢ $0 +$10 10-21 09:58