Realized P&L
+$240
Unrealized P&L
+$66
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
559
Trades
2,368
lifetime
Volume
$101.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$705
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 13:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Politics
50% 58% -$1,044
Other
44% 67% +$1,186
Crypto
6% 53% -$86
Sports
0% 60% +$141
Tech
0% 67% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +250 $181 84¢ $211 +$31 06-14 20:50
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? No +120 $70 89¢ $107 +$37 10-07 02:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +90 $65 86¢ $78 +$13 06-07 19:32
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +80 $61 92¢ $73 +$12 10-08 00:31
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No +80 $62 78¢ $62 +$0 10-21 21:47
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +50 $32 86¢ $43 +$11 10-06 18:24
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +80 $30 53¢ $42 +$13 09-23 22:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +40 $30 97¢ $39 +$8 06-08 11:53
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -87 $13 22¢ $-19 -$32 10-07 15:19
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +80 $37 23¢ $18 -$18 09-23 21:05
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $18 11¢ $11 -$7 06-06 14:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -80 $0 2¢ $-2 -$2 09-27 08:30