Light-Bulb 0x153b22…3a65d8 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$544
Unrealized P&L
+$1.14K
Hit rate
69.5%
Resolved
287
Trades
497
lifetime
Volume
$72.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$146
Open exposure
$8.98K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 11:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Other
49% 79% +$2,872
Politics
44% 54% -$2,439
Sports
5% 80% +$92
Crypto
2% 83% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +924 $650 89¢ $822 +$172 10-07 10:31
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? No +544 $500 98¢ $534 +$34 08-26 20:19
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +556 $370 94¢ $520 +$150 05-13 18:15
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -509 -$474 97¢ $-496 -$22 09-29 22:17
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No -435 -$424 97¢ $-422 +$2 09-20 11:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +441 $312 92¢ $408 +$96 10-16 18:35
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +350 $301 97¢ $340 +$38 08-26 20:25
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +332 $300 96¢ $318 +$18 08-26 20:08
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? No +318 $300 98¢ $312 +$12 08-26 20:18
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +323 $241 96¢ $309 +$69 09-27 13:34
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +313 $251 94¢ $296 +$45 10-01 10:58
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +325 $200 86¢ $281 +$81 10-01 10:59
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +308 $200 88¢ $272 +$72 05-10 10:12
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +290 $200 94¢ $272 +$72 08-26 20:17
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? Yes +303 $188 88¢ $266 +$79 09-25 22:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +264 $230 98¢ $260 +$30 11-01 18:10
will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31 No +261 $210 97¢ $253 +$43 07-08 15:52
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +263 $178 95¢ $249 +$71 10-16 19:09
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +272 $205 90¢ $243 +$38 10-16 18:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +263 $221 92¢ $241 +$20 09-20 11:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +232 $223 98¢ $228 +$5 08-29 17:06
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? No +225 $193 97¢ $217 +$24 10-16 21:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +220 $210 97¢ $214 +$4 11-04 16:56
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? No +221 $170 92¢ $203 +$33 11-01 18:09
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? No +241 $201 82¢ $198 -$3 11-08 14:30
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +225 $161 78¢ $175 +$14 11-01 18:43
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? No +176 $158 97¢ $170 +$13 10-01 11:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +172 $151 94¢ $163 +$11 11-01 18:46
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +181 $156 82¢ $148 -$8 10-13 15:07
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? Yes +917 $220 16¢ $147 -$73 10-16 19:11