Realized P&L
-$744
Unrealized P&L
+$1.65K
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
40
Trades
634
lifetime
Volume
$117.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$185
Open exposure
$24.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-14
last 08-18 17:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
72% 41% -$788
Politics
28% 36% +$44
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 284 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +3,604 $3,361 98¢ $3.5K +$158 08-18 16:29
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3,353 $2,880 88¢ $3.0K +$71 08-18 16:20
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31 No +2,184 $1,990 95¢ $2.1K +$77 08-18 16:27
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by october 31 2026 20260811165319370 No +1,668 $1,384 100¢ $1.7K +$278 08-18 11:28
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +1,509 $1,391 97¢ $1.5K +$71 08-18 16:16
will masoud pezeshkian attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221271 No +1,342 $863 92¢ $1.2K +$366 08-17 09:19
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263 No — +1,294 $701 91¢ $1.2K +$477 08-17 09:22
will baidu be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230558 No +1,270 $628 85¢ $1.1K +$451 08-17 09:25
will trump visit north korea by december 31 No +901 $812 93¢ $838 +$26 08-18 11:09
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +822 $785 99¢ $814 +$28 08-17 08:49
will badr bin hamad al busaidi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221276 No +1,022 $856 80¢ $812 -$44 08-17 08:51
will ishaq dar attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221278 No +814 $537 87¢ $708 +$171 08-17 08:42
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No +842 $537 79¢ $665 +$128 08-17 08:37
will rafael grossi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221279 No +784 $510 82¢ $639 +$129 08-17 09:08
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391 No +656 $621 96¢ $630 +$9 08-18 11:28
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 Yes +1,023 $686 52¢ $527 -$159 08-16 22:32
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 No +1,023 $337 48¢ $496 +$159 08-16 22:32
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 No +576 $284 76¢ $435 +$151 08-16 21:43
will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264 No +527 $269 82¢ $432 +$163 08-16 22:06
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 No +486 $301 84¢ $411 +$109 08-16 22:23
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +3,353 $473 12¢ $402 -$71 08-18 16:20
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221272 No +402 $185 74¢ $299 +$114 08-17 09:41
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +366 $266 67¢ $247 -$19 08-17 09:06
will badr bin hamad al busaidi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221276 Yes +1,022 $165 20¢ $209 +$44 08-17 08:51
will baidu be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230558 Yes +1,270 $641 15¢ $190 -$451 08-17 09:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +842 $305 21¢ $177 -$128 08-17 08:37
will rafael grossi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221279 Yes +784 $274 18¢ $145 -$129 08-17 09:09
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No +366 $100 33¢ $119 +$19 08-17 09:06
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31 Yes +2,184 $194 5¢ $117 -$77 08-18 16:27
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263 Yes — +1,294 $593 9¢ $116 -$477 08-17 09:22