Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

327

Trades

337

lifetime

Volume

$1.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$26

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-12 04:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 154 days

Categories

Other

54% 98% -$10

Crypto

31% 98% +$1

Politics

13% 98% -$3

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+4	$4	100¢	$4	+$0	10-25 23:56
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+4	$4	98¢	$4	$0	10-25 23:56
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No		+4	$4	99¢	$4	+$0	11-08 04:56
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes		+4	$4	99¢	$4	+$0	11-08 04:56
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	No		+4	$4	98¢	$4	$0	11-11 04:57
Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes		+4	$4	98¢	$4	$0	11-11 15:56
Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	—	+4	$4	98¢	$4	$0	11-11 23:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BNB Up or Down - September 14, 3AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	09-14 07:57
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	09-11 03:57
Solana Up or Down - September 14, 12AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	09-14 04:56
Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	09-14 19:57
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	09-10 11:59
Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	09-14 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	09-10 22:56
XRP Up or Down - September 14, 12AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	09-14 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	09-11 13:57
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	09-10 11:59
Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$2.60 in August?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	09-11 04:01
XRP Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	-$5	09-14 20:59
will elon and doge cut less than 50k employees in 2025	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-06 11:55
cs2 sfe hypew 2026 01 04	1	$5	5	+5	hypewrld	+$0	01-04 23:55
will jaxon smith njigba break nfl receiving yards record	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-03 23:55
lol zpr pcs 2026 01 29	1	$5	5	+5	Project Conquerors	+$0	01-29 22:55
gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-14 23:55
cs2 crash paina 2026 04 15 game1 odd even total rounds	1	$5	5	+5	Even	+$0	04-16 00:55
col1 gdr cjf 2026 04 12 spread home 1pt5	1	$5	5	+5	CDP Junior FC	+$0	04-12 18:55
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-14 23:55
negative gdp growth in 2025	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-30 11:55
cs2 crash paina 2026 04 15 game2 odd even total rounds	1	$5	5	+5	Odd	+$0	04-16 00:55
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	04-27 23:55
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 27?	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	04-27 19:55
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	04-23 23:55
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-26 23:55
will progressive bulgaria pb finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-18 23:57
spx up or down on january 26 2026	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	01-26 20:55
lol ban2 znt 2026 02 12 game3	1	$5	5	+5	The Bandits	+$0	02-12 21:55
gc up or down on january 26 2026	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	01-26 20:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 04:56:25	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6da48c…
11-12 02:56:52	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x84c16b…
11-12 02:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x525e77…
11-12 00:58:36	HYPE Up or Down - November 11, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xda458f…
11-11 23:56:48	Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe5f795…
11-11 23:56:09	Will Justen Glad win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x235dbb…
11-11 15:56:57	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd127cb…
11-11 15:56:27	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcec56b…
11-11 10:56:57	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfed2f5…
11-11 10:56:37	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe49aa5…
11-11 04:57:06	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7fc5f5…
11-11 02:57:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9fa72f…
11-10 16:57:00	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x86751e…
11-10 12:56:52	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x92a775…
11-09 15:56:46	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x133f41…
11-09 10:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x989d8f…
11-08 23:59:09	Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x018182…
11-08 04:56:51	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x1ab00c…
11-08 04:56:34	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x14ac35…
11-07 23:57:12	Will Corey Day win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x76dbc5…
11-07 23:56:52	Will Sheldon Creed win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd72060…
11-07 04:56:48	Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc925b1…
11-06 12:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8ccac3…
11-06 04:56:54	Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x583f1b…
11-06 04:56:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x11c2b7…
11-06 03:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x990eec…
11-05 15:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x07a018…
11-05 07:56:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x99e1fc…
11-04 13:57:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe95f9f…
11-02 08:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc08b79…
11-01 08:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xde1f58…
10-31 22:56:06	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x446b64…
10-31 16:02:21	Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe856c1…
10-31 15:56:33	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa1e2e4…
10-31 08:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x352274…
10-30 23:57:06	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x05a0e1…
10-30 10:59:28	Bitcoin above 77,400 on October 30, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x95c875…
10-30 06:00:48	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.9%?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7fab53…
10-30 04:56:48	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x95cc2b…
10-30 04:56:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x09ed42…
10-29 20:59:25	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x792161…
10-29 14:56:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x92f7ca…
10-29 07:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe7cf91…
10-28 04:56:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb138b6…
10-28 00:56:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa361aa…
10-27 23:59:32	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x43fcb7…
10-27 10:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb7c3d5…
10-27 09:59:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xabea8a…
10-27 00:58:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x05d2f4…
10-26 01:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x47291f…
10-25 23:56:48	Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x073e6b…
10-25 23:56:12	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbba16c…
10-23 21:57:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3b15f2…
10-23 12:56:59	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x073b73…
10-23 12:56:44	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x63a090…
10-23 03:56:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x3856b0…
10-22 23:57:39	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd024ac…
10-21 23:57:05	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x208ded…
10-20 09:56:30	BNB Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x86baa1…
10-19 20:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1b69af…
10-19 08:56:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4bbec2…
10-18 08:57:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x32c8db…
10-18 03:58:30	Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa5fc89…
10-17 23:58:03	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x83e74d…
10-16 06:57:42	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x918b6e…
10-16 05:56:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3eefae…
10-14 19:57:48	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd08ece…
10-14 07:56:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc44307…
10-14 00:59:00	dota2 cha skyrea 2026 10 13 game2	Chandogs	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8b9509…
10-13 19:57:21	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6505a6…
10-13 12:56:01	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7e726e…
10-13 07:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2eb12f…
10-13 05:56:52	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbe07b6…
10-12 05:56:47	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdd85f9…
10-12 02:56:56	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x49947e…
10-11 02:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4c76f1…
10-10 07:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa71d4e…
10-10 03:58:40	Will Adam Zemek be the next Mayor of Brno?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0b924a…
10-09 08:56:36	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xeb9a36…
10-09 08:56:03	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x34e72d…
10-09 02:58:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 8, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3cd90c…
10-08 07:56:39	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x132715…
10-08 05:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x25733d…
10-08 02:58:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc0fa61…
10-07 23:56:44	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x859096…
10-07 14:56:20	Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x31aeab…
10-07 00:57:05	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xac62d5…
10-05 05:59:16	Will ISM Services PMI be below 51.0 in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc8ca0a…
10-04 23:58:46	Will SDA win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3492c7…
10-03 05:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x929734…
10-03 02:56:39	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x111579…
10-02 09:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6ffda9…
10-01 14:56:45	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3b9bce…
10-01 14:56:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaa8a84…
10-01 10:59:06	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1fe7f6…
10-01 04:58:38	xrp up or down october 1 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7af49f…
09-30 13:58:50	M15 Columbia, SC, Main Draw: Completed Match: Teodor Davidov vs Michael Bassem Sobhy	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc6ffc7…
09-30 04:56:53	solana up or down september 30 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x46a6ab…
09-29 08:56:47	solana up or down september 29 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xba8024…
09-29 02:56:48	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xf0a66a…