Realized P&L
+$12.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.95K
Hit rate
76.6%
Resolved
1,547
Trades
19,392
lifetime
Volume
$477.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$25.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-29 20:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Other
65% 64% +$3,343
Politics
23% 79% +$2,542
Sports
11% 63% +$6,881
Crypto
1% 88% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$0
Tech
0% 78% -$193
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 364 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,681 $2,346 69¢ $3.2K +$882 10-27 20:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2,999 $1,379 88¢ $2.7K +$1,275 08-17 20:26
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,372 $2,097 96¢ $2.3K +$168 10-27 06:51
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +2,211 $977 89¢ $2.0K +$981 10-28 00:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,528 $1,864 56¢ $1.4K -$436 10-27 15:33
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,312 $1,001 83¢ $1.1K +$92 08-12 23:23
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +1,257 $955 72¢ $905 -$50 10-29 22:37
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,227 $887 69¢ $847 -$40 10-23 12:51
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,673 $992 32¢ $842 -$151 10-28 00:12
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +1,451 $578 51¢ $743 +$165 10-29 16:57
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,992 $960 24¢ $703 -$257 10-26 23:31
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +837 $569 82¢ $686 +$117 10-14 18:18
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,645 $672 40¢ $666 -$6 10-10 02:40
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,663 $461 39¢ $653 +$192 10-23 19:48
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,699 $483 34¢ $586 +$103 10-27 02:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +1,732 $784 32¢ $563 -$221 10-27 22:39
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +3,067 $721 18¢ $537 -$185 10-27 17:03
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +976 $507 54¢ $522 +$15 10-29 13:37
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,507 $435 33¢ $497 +$62 10-18 01:01
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +547 $447 88¢ $479 +$32 10-07 23:40
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,513 $557 32¢ $477 -$80 10-27 22:00
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,392 $522 32¢ $449 -$73 10-29 17:52
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +917 $382 46¢ $426 +$44 10-26 13:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +962 $279 44¢ $418 +$139 10-23 19:35
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,191 $294 34¢ $411 +$117 10-26 20:53
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +612 $326 66¢ $401 +$74 10-26 21:00
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +595 $321 66¢ $390 +$68 10-26 20:53
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +1,441 $262 26¢ $375 +$112 10-22 18:13
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +1,796 $556 20¢ $368 -$188 10-27 18:11
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +331 $290 88¢ $291 +$0 10-24 03:50