Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$62

Hit rate

90.8%

Resolved

Trades

4,114

lifetime

Volume

$114.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$1.16K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-19 16:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

73% — —

Politics

19% — —

Sports

4% 80% +$4

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		+2,500	$1,100	46¢	$1.2K	+$62	07-17 13:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	63	$7.2K	7,547	1,115	+6,432	open	—	01-13 15:04
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	62	$5.4K	5,396	3,332	+2,064	open	—	01-13 15:08
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	56	$4.6K	4,487	4,544	-57	open	—	01-13 15:04
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	16	$2.2K	2,503	0	+2,503	open	—	07-19 13:28
will mrbeasts next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1 387	34	$1.7K	1,739	105	+1,634	open	—	01-13 15:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	22	$1.6K	2,185	0	+2,185	open	—	07-19 15:13
will mrbeasts next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1 719	28	$1.4K	1,447	105	+1,342	open	—	01-12 18:12
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 697	34	$1.4K	1,859	15	+1,844	open	—	01-13 15:07
will mrbeasts next video get 110 million or more views on week 1 519	28	$1.3K	1,342	210	+1,132	open	—	01-12 18:55
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	28	$1.2K	1,235	105	+1,130	open	—	01-14 16:52
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	29	$1.2K	1,169	171	+998	open	—	01-14 16:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	22	$1.1K	2,523	23	+2,500	open	—	07-17 13:10
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 974	25	$930	935	605	+330	open	—	01-13 15:08
Will the US strike Iran next?	31	$899	972	210	+762	open	—	01-10 19:28
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	28	$836	836	504	+332	open	—	01-14 16:55
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	15	$823	990	122	+868	open	—	01-13 13:05
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	16	$799	1,112	0	+1,112	open	—	01-13 13:05
Will the US strike Somalia next?	31	$772	993	189	+805	open	—	01-10 19:28
Will the US strike another country first?	26	$766	768	414	+354	open	—	01-10 19:28
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	29	$765	768	414	+354	open	—	01-10 19:28
Will the US strike Mexico next?	31	$764	768	414	+354	open	—	01-10 19:28
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	17	$763	805	347	+458	open	—	01-13 13:05
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	15	$755	785	327	+458	open	—	01-13 13:05
Will the US strike Cuba next?	28	$694	695	487	+208	open	—	01-10 19:28
Will the US strike Colombia next?	26	$692	693	489	+203	open	—	01-10 19:28
will the us next strike iran on january 30 2026 et 866	24	$691	699	137	+562	open	—	01-15 16:39
will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	24	$674	699	137	+562	open	—	01-15 16:39
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	7	$672	688	26	+662	open	—	01-13 14:58
Will the US strike Yemen next?	26	$663	663	519	+144	open	—	01-10 19:28
Will the US strike Nigeria next?	27	$663	663	519	+144	open	—	01-10 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 16:50:45	Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x89bd59…
07-19 15:13:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	195	81¢	$158	0x358f6e…
07-19 14:37:12	Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	81	8¢	$7	0xd9963a…
07-19 13:28:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	109	91¢	$99	0x256f8f…
07-19 13:25:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x198888…
07-19 13:25:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xf8cae1…
07-19 13:25:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x2a93d1…
07-19 13:24:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x8b76e8…
07-19 13:24:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x25e735…
07-19 13:24:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x5a7a87…
07-19 13:24:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xf1b3fe…
07-19 13:23:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xcc2b55…
07-19 13:23:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x9fdbce…
07-19 13:21:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	202	81¢	$164	0x6f9168…
07-19 13:21:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x26053e…
07-19 13:06:36	Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x651aa8…
07-19 12:35:33	Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xc60076…
07-19 12:01:34	Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xac5575…
07-19 11:59:03	Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	108	10¢	$11	0xca0634…
07-19 11:49:57	Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xc7aa3a…
07-19 11:45:09	Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x27ed50…
07-19 10:54:58	Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x9c7c1f…
07-18 19:32:31	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0x7b2a8a…
07-18 18:57:15	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	39	17¢	$7	0x562a1a…
07-18 17:58:16	Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xc4f0e6…
07-18 17:40:43	Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xa9d203…
07-18 16:29:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	24	89¢	$22	0xd1a7ee…
07-17 21:13:33	Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3fe0c9…
07-17 17:49:52	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	39	20¢	$8	0x68ac31…
07-17 16:21:37	Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xe6bb5f…
07-17 15:25:34	Will Ozuna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x852415…
07-17 15:23:13	Will Bruno Mars perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x48720d…
07-17 14:20:42	Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x10063d…
07-17 14:20:31	Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x649a68…
07-17 13:10:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	45	48¢	$21	0x78ceb6…
07-17 13:10:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x1a03e6…
07-17 10:08:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	90	48¢	$43	0x99ac83…
07-17 09:16:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x1df937…
07-17 08:46:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	70	48¢	$34	0xa2376b…
07-17 08:35:42	Will Calvin Harris perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x56fd0b…
07-16 20:29:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	250	45¢	$112	0xbd7e1e…
07-16 20:18:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	65	44¢	$29	0x5b9211…
07-16 13:52:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x937609…
07-16 13:52:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	256	44¢	$112	0x6f860a…
07-16 10:02:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	49	74¢	$36	0x60c8af…
07-15 15:28:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	201	74¢	$149	0x0e9e9c…
07-15 15:27:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	113	74¢	$84	0xd450a5…
07-15 15:25:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	174	74¢	$129	0x684f14…
07-15 11:11:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	250	43¢	$108	0xb54758…
07-15 11:07:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	26	76¢	$19	0x67475f…
07-15 09:43:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0xd62631…
07-14 17:55:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0xb825d1…
07-14 17:55:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	261	44¢	$115	0x307c22…
07-14 16:52:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	256	45¢	$115	0x7dcb14…
07-14 16:52:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0xa81506…
07-14 15:58:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x95c74a…
07-14 14:21:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xf4342c…
07-14 14:07:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2d2929…
07-14 14:05:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4cece6…
07-13 21:19:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	205	43¢	$88	0x675229…
07-13 20:36:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x1265fc…
07-13 20:21:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x0ef724…
07-13 20:21:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0xb14d0b…
07-13 20:16:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x3e2b48…
07-13 19:08:50	will jpmorgan say credit card during earnings call 20260710145006623	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x82f77e…
07-13 19:07:08	will jpmorgan say credit card during earnings call 20260710145006623	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7805e9…
07-13 18:11:25	will jpmorgan say credit card during earnings call 20260710145006623	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc1bc8c…
07-13 18:04:34	will jpmorgan say credit card during earnings call 20260710145006623	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6994ab…
07-13 15:56:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	198	42¢	$83	0x842ed0…
07-13 15:29:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xeee04d…
07-13 14:36:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xf5d66a…
07-13 07:39:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	198	71¢	$141	0x877147…
07-13 07:38:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	199	70¢	$140	0x193c6e…
07-13 07:35:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	203	70¢	$142	0xb522cc…
07-12 17:19:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	120	70¢	$84	0xadc8ae…
07-12 17:18:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x6e7d6f…
07-12 17:17:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	51	70¢	$36	0x31bc22…
07-12 11:57:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	69	83¢	$57	0x85817d…
07-12 11:26:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	68	68¢	$46	0xa24e45…
07-12 11:16:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	101	68¢	$69	0x762cce…
07-12 09:26:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	101	82¢	$83	0xf9e2d5…
07-12 09:13:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xe3cc3e…
07-11 14:12:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x677d44…
07-11 14:12:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x14f243…
07-10 18:03:31	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	24	40¢	$9	0xbf2ff7…
07-10 16:57:17	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xf7e752…
07-10 16:56:01	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x70c645…
07-10 10:41:20	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$19	0x4bc061…
04-07 12:45:37	will nick taylor win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x30ec1e…
04-07 12:45:29	will matt mccarty win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0xd4cc2d…
04-07 12:45:25	will andrew novak win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0xffa674…
04-07 12:45:19	will ryan fox win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x52dc2d…
04-07 12:45:15	will tom mckibbin win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0xca2ddb…
04-07 12:45:11	will johnny keefer win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x40f4c7…
04-07 12:45:03	will kristoffer reitan win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x36c31c…
04-07 12:44:59	will hao tong li win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x82510f…
04-07 12:44:57	will michael brennan win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0xc74ab8…
04-07 12:44:53	will max greyserman win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0xa771e9…
04-07 12:44:49	will casey jarvis win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x3f34c6…
04-07 12:44:45	will michael kim win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x8038c3…