Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

361

Trades

369

lifetime

Volume

$2.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-02 05:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Other

50% 99% -$2

Crypto

32% 98% +$10

Politics

15% 98% -$3

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+6	$6	100¢	$6	$0	10-25 23:56
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+6	$6	98¢	$5	$0	10-25 23:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 05:58:45	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3ad9a0…
11-02 02:56:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x062f26…
10-31 22:57:24	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf05333…
10-31 20:59:27	Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8aca81…
10-30 23:58:27	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x422b8d…
10-30 09:56:43	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdc0053…
10-30 09:56:15	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4a15bc…
10-30 07:58:45	bitcoin above 78200 on october 30 2026 4am et	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xeb695b…
10-30 05:56:51	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2eaf8f…
10-30 05:56:36	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9cd650…
10-30 05:56:04	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5c2eee…
10-30 01:58:07	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x07a821…
10-29 21:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d6846…
10-28 23:56:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xa9d7ab…
10-28 02:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x07a515…
10-27 20:57:12	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x26f0ee…
10-27 20:56:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x127402…
10-27 10:58:12	bitcoin above 80400 on october 27 2026 7am et	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x07e092…
10-27 10:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb0719a…
10-27 09:57:00	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa3aa54…
10-27 09:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x506653…
10-27 04:59:45	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1ff8f7…
10-27 04:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9cac04…
10-27 00:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb2d3e3…
10-26 23:58:42	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3174fa…
10-26 07:56:47	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x531a8c…
10-26 07:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x8def77…
10-26 00:01:02	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x59d62e…
10-25 23:56:57	Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8dfbf3…
10-25 23:56:36	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3c57e1…
10-25 02:56:39	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9dea02…
10-23 23:56:59	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3bdf3…
10-23 12:56:47	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0xf6c541…
10-23 07:56:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x20299e…
10-23 06:58:21	bitcoin above 82600 on october 23 2026 3am et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb530b2…
10-23 06:57:59	Bitcoin above 83,000 on October 23, 3AM ET?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x66f116…
10-23 06:57:17	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x135d22…
10-23 06:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd92df8…
10-22 23:57:42	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05f355…
10-22 21:59:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2837ad…
10-22 07:57:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35a384…
10-22 07:56:48	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x336dd7…
10-21 04:56:05	BNB Up or Down - October 21, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x397732…
10-21 03:56:33	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb633b…
10-20 23:56:27	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x2f7578…
10-20 09:58:05	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x0333e8…
10-20 06:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x97e78b…
10-18 08:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0xe58b88…
10-18 05:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f9d72…
10-17 23:57:59	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x291633…
10-16 23:56:44	Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0xc5ea8f…
10-16 06:57:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x390dab…
10-16 04:57:07	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x005eff…
10-16 02:56:33	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x8c08cd…
10-15 23:56:21	NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x60d984…
10-15 10:57:00	BNB Up or Down - October 15, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa672e8…
10-14 23:56:52	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1cf5bb…
10-14 10:56:07	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x918a38…
10-14 09:56:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe71ec5…
10-14 09:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x086b38…
10-14 04:57:07	Solana Up or Down - October 14, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x59f4ed…
10-14 03:56:47	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2cb1ab…
10-14 00:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8859be…
10-13 21:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x66c1eb…
10-13 19:56:27	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd25495…
10-13 07:57:02	XRP Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xa2b7e3…
10-13 07:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x942030…
10-13 03:56:41	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1606e…
10-12 20:58:51	BNB Up or Down - October 12, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x807ffa…
10-12 03:57:32	Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x790aae…
10-11 02:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb7b55…
10-10 07:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xad4695…
10-09 23:56:35	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc266e2…
10-09 12:56:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 9, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd7dd6…
10-09 03:56:47	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x9df0c9…
10-09 03:55:59	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9fcf87…
10-09 01:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a89a0…
10-08 23:58:51	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb20ad8…
10-08 13:00:42	Will 45% to 54% of Soybeans acreage be in D1-D4 drought this week?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x519038…
10-08 05:56:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x99ffdb…
10-08 05:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x9aba07…
10-08 03:56:52	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1f760c…
10-08 02:56:17	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x548623…
10-07 23:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa3dcea…
10-07 20:56:46	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd2c25a…
10-07 18:56:27	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfab9bf…
10-07 14:56:26	Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x374fb8…
10-07 03:56:59	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6a20a1…
10-07 00:56:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe88a40…
10-06 07:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x65c6e9…
10-06 06:58:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x72e4ef…
10-05 13:58:31	BNB Up or Down - October 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe43861…
10-05 08:56:37	ethereum up or down october 5 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf1823c…
10-05 07:56:34	xrp up or down october 5 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc4e111…
10-05 05:58:40	Will ISM Services PMI be at least 59.0 in September?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfd747f…
10-05 05:58:08	Will ISM Services PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in September?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd69362…
10-04 06:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x243bff…
10-04 00:00:56	Will Arvils Ašeradens be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x998855…
10-04 00:00:37	Will Andris Šuvajevs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb3db87…
10-04 00:00:23	Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x949418…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	1	$6	6	+6	Yes	+$0	09-24 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	-$6	09-24 05:56
Will Jessica Shepard have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	09-23 23:56
Will Rhyne Howard have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	1	$6	6	+6	Yes	+$0	09-23 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	09-24 00:56
Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 10AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	09-23 14:56
Solana Up or Down - September 24, 12AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	09-24 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	10-08 05:56
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	-$6	10-08 05:56
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	10-08 03:56
XRP Up or Down - October 7, 10PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	10-08 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	10-07 23:56
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	10-07 14:56
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 6, 2026?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	10-07 03:56
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 8PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	10-07 00:56
XRP Up or Down - October 7, 2PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	10-07 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	10-06 07:56
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	10-06 06:58
Will ISM Services PMI be at least 59.0 in September?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	10-05 05:58
Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	10-04 00:00
Will ISM Services PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in September?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	10-05 05:58
Will Andris Šuvajevs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	10-04 00:00
Will Arvils Ašeradens be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	10-04 00:00
BNB Up or Down - October 5, 9AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	10-05 13:58
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina	1	$6	6	+6	Notre Dame	+$0	10-03 16:56
xrp up or down october 5 2026 3am et	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	10-05 07:56
ethereum up or down october 5 2026 4am et	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	10-05 08:56
Government shutdown by October 1?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	10-02 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	10-03 00:57
M15 Columbia, SC, Main Draw: Completed Match: Teodor Davidov vs Michael Bassem Sobhy	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	09-30 13:57