Realized P&L
-$315
Unrealized P&L
+$223
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved
722
Trades
3,117
lifetime
Volume
$68.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$4.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-22
last 11-15 10:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
55% 45% +$1,559
Politics
31% 54% -$1,643
Sports
7% 35% -$139
Crypto
5% 33% -$110
Tech
1% 40% -$17
Pop-Culture
1% 89% +$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +759 $744 99¢ $751 +$7 11-12 15:03
Warriors vs. Pelicans Warriors +1,041 $458 60¢ $619 +$161 11-12 16:59
Will 180+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16? Yes +654 $560 92¢ $601 +$42 11-14 22:27
Will 175+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16? Yes +276 $233 87¢ $240 +$7 11-14 20:09
Lakers vs. Suns Suns +518 $104 42¢ $215 +$111 11-11 12:46
Will 185+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16? Yes +224 $182 81¢ $182 +$0 11-15 10:09
Will Florida have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? No +221 $148 50¢ $112 -$37 11-15 02:09
Will 180+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16? Yes +150 $108 72¢ $108 +$0 11-14 15:56
Will Kathy Bates be nominated for Best Actress – Television Drama at the 84th Golden Globes? No +123 $111 85¢ $105 -$6 11-15 01:25
Will it be confirmed that a software or configuration error caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on November 13? Yes +121 $72 80¢ $96 +$24 11-14 03:03
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by November 30? Yes +531 $197 18¢ $93 -$104 11-13 18:28
Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +88 $46 99¢ $86 +$40 10-24 05:25
Will 280+ ships transit the Suez Canal week of November 16? Yes +92 $81 94¢ $86 +$5 11-14 17:28
Will 190+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16? Yes +100 $55 74¢ $74 +$19 11-14 12:52
Will 290+ ships transit the Suez Canal week of November 16? Yes +86 $66 82¢ $70 +$4 11-15 03:31
Will Bangladesh win? No +74 $71 93¢ $69 -$1 11-15 10:15
Will 300+ ships transit the Suez Canal week of November 16? Yes +134 $79 52¢ $69 -$10 11-14 21:21
Will 185+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16? Yes +100 $58 60¢ $60 +$2 11-14 15:30
Will The Bear be nominated for Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globes? Yes +180 $102 31¢ $56 -$46 11-14 02:53
Will 200+ ships transit the Panama Canal week of November 16? Yes +101 $28 49¢ $49 +$22 11-14 22:30
Will 170+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16? Yes +50 $43 90¢ $45 +$2 11-14 23:21
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 15.5M in November? Yes +183 $37 23¢ $42 +$5 11-14 20:01
Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 28? No +50 $49 80¢ $40 -$9 11-14 01:51
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? Yes +52 $36 74¢ $38 +$2 11-15 12:41
Will Seth Rogen be nominated for Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globes? No +50 $48 71¢ $36 -$12 11-14 02:23
Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana? No +81 $46 42¢ $34 -$12 11-01 20:09
Will Michigan State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? Yes +52 $36 64¢ $33 -$3 11-15 01:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +38 $17 86¢ $33 +$15 11-11 18:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +69 $31 37¢ $25 -$5 10-26 09:39
Will 310+ ships transit the Suez Canal week of November 16? Yes +50 $24 49¢ $25 +$1 11-14 23:03