Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$2,621
Trades
338
Unique wallets
70
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-12
First seen
2026-10-11
last 10-12 01:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.2¢
(top1%: 77% YES on $806
vs crowd: 84% YES on $2.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $778 | $197 | +$581 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $1.1K | $89 | +$994 |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $107 | $96 | +$11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $108 | $16 | +$92 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $618 | $187 | +$431 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $637 | $3 | +$634 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $89 | $1 | +$88 |
| Median | 6 | $18 | $4 | +$14 |
| Below median | 18 | $243 | $39 | +$204 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $58 | $59 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $179 | $9 | +$170 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $235 | $95 | +$139 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +814 | $89 | $89 | 57 | 10-12 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc8…1975 | Up | +501 | $500 | $500 | 2 | 10-12 00:48 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +361 | $315 | $315 | 9 | 10-12 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4961…de13 | Up | +275 | $188 | $188 | 23 | 10-12 00:25 |
| Pitiful-Laugh 0xaaa7…746a | Down | +261 | $0 | $1 | 5 | 10-12 00:54 |
| Fortunate-Cupola 0xd663…6abc | Up | +203 | $132 | $132 | 5 | 10-12 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x8acf…9b65 | Down | +198 | $28 | $33 | 10 | 10-12 00:43 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +178 | $143 | $143 | 38 | 10-12 00:42 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +177 | $58 | $58 | 38 | 10-12 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xd245…356a | Down | +135 | $54 | $54 | 9 | 10-12 00:14 |
| Supportive-Creativity 0x64cb…dd50 | Up | +127 | $107 | $107 | 3 | 10-12 00:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | +112 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 10-12 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x15d6…ca5b | Down | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-12 00:55 |
| Gigantic-Subroutine 0xc4cf…3245 | Down | +95 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 10-12 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Down | +94 | $32 | $32 | 5 | 10-12 00:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x96df…baed | Up | +71 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 10-12 00:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb616…df88 | Up | +52 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 10-12 01:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +50 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 10-12 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x15d6…ca5b | Up | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 10-12 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x853d…c7e7 | Down | +45 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-12 00:54 |
| Hideous-Sleepiness 0x6f19…57f4 | Up | +40 | $39 | $39 | 4 | 10-12 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcf1…8959 | Up | +40 | $34 | $34 | 3 | 10-12 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ac6…c6d3 | Down | +40 | $21 | $21 | 6 | 10-12 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc96…adac | Down | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-12 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Up | +35 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 10-12 00:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Down | +35 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-12 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | +35 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 10-12 00:38 |
| Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Down | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-12 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +32 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 10-12 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x14b5…18e0 | Down | +31 | $3 | $19 | 12 | 10-12 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xdac5…d2c0 | Up | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-12 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x8acf…9b65 | Up | +22 | $19 | $29 | 4 | 10-12 00:33 |
| Well-Worn-Headquarters 0x44f5…ea4b | Down | +20 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 10-12 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c2…b5fd | Up | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-12 00:39 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Down | +15 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-12 00:48 |
| Palatable-Cut 0x35e7…c415 | Up | +11 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 10-12 00:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d17…c777 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-12 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-12 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4110…4739 | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-12 00:01 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | +10 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 10-12 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…75bd | Up | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-12 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9209…a393 | Up | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-12 00:36 |
| Spectacular-Hypothesis 0x52cc…4a71 | Down | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-11 23:18 |
| Winged-Participant 0x2e55…c549 | Up | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-12 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x81ce…d622 | Down | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-11 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a3d…464e | Up | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-12 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xca92…a9df | Up | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-12 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e95…cd05 | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-12 00:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x5092…a679 | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-12 00:33 |
| Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-12 00:12 |
| Sneaky-Ad 0x4680…4a83 | Up | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-12 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xf70c…4e63 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-11 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x191f…4a8d | Down | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-12 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xd269…52be | Down | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-12 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c7b…6863 | Down | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-12 00:27 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-12 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a3d…464e | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-12 00:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 01:11:11 | (anonymous) 0xb616…df88 | Up | BUY | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0x38fab8… |
| 10-12 01:11:11 | Negligible-Detector 0x2214…cf41 | Up | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0x38fab8… |
| 10-12 00:56:35 | (anonymous) 0x9635…a71f | Up | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe5c4a7… |
| 10-12 00:56:35 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe5c4a7… |
| 10-12 00:56:35 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd49e0f… |
| 10-12 00:56:35 | (anonymous) 0xbd34…6ad8 | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd49e0f… |
| 10-12 00:56:33 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a9cb1… |
| 10-12 00:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x2b2c…05bd | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x44aa76… |
| 10-12 00:56:33 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x44aa76… |
| 10-12 00:56:33 | (anonymous) 0xa5ff…1d2f | Up | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x0a9cb1… |
| 10-12 00:56:33 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x44aa76… |
| 10-12 00:55:56 | (anonymous) 0x15d6…ca5b | Down | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2eefa8… |
| 10-12 00:55:56 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2eefa8… |
| 10-12 00:55:56 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x2eefa8… |
| 10-12 00:54:39 | (anonymous) 0x853d…c7e7 | Down | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x946a33… |
| 10-12 00:54:39 | Pitiful-Laugh 0xaaa7…746a | Down | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x946a33… |
| 10-12 00:54:17 | (anonymous) 0x853d…c7e7 | Down | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e2996… |
| 10-12 00:54:17 | Pitiful-Laugh 0xaaa7…746a | Down | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e2996… |
| 10-12 00:54:00 | Pitiful-Laugh 0xaaa7…746a | Down | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x78477e… |
| 10-12 00:54:00 | (anonymous) 0x853d…c7e7 | Down | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x78477e… |
| 10-12 00:53:00 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdbed7f… |
| 10-12 00:53:00 | Pitiful-Laugh 0xaaa7…746a | Down | SELL | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdbed7f… |
| 10-12 00:48:59 | Pitiful-Laugh 0xaaa7…746a | Down | BUY | 456 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde0060… |
| 10-12 00:48:59 | (anonymous) 0x8dc8…1975 | Up | BUY | 456 | 100¢ | $455 | 0xde0060… |
| 10-12 00:48:42 | (anonymous) 0xd269…52be | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x48e411… |
| 10-12 00:48:42 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x48e411… |
| 10-12 00:48:42 | (anonymous) 0x8dc8…1975 | Up | BUY | 45 | 99¢ | $45 | 0x48e411… |
| 10-12 00:48:42 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Down | BUY | 35 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x48e411… |
| 10-12 00:48:29 | Hideous-Sleepiness 0x6f19…57f4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x49bfa1… |
| 10-12 00:48:29 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x49bfa1… |
| 10-12 00:47:33 | Hideous-Sleepiness 0x6f19…57f4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xdca7bd… |
| 10-12 00:47:33 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xdf1e14… |
| 10-12 00:47:33 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdf1e14… |
| 10-12 00:47:33 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdca7bd… |
| 10-12 00:47:32 | (anonymous) 0x15d6…ca5b | Up | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x91ebea… |
| 10-12 00:47:32 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x91ebea… |
| 10-12 00:47:26 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x778d7f… |
| 10-12 00:47:26 | (anonymous) 0x82c0…f936 | Up | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x778d7f… |
| 10-12 00:47:14 | Sneaky-Ad 0x4680…4a83 | Up | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x561e1e… |
| 10-12 00:47:14 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0x561e1e… |
| 10-12 00:47:14 | (anonymous) 0x1b34…9371 | Up | SELL | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x561e1e… |
| 10-12 00:47:09 | Hideous-Sleepiness 0x6f19…57f4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xb8d865… |
| 10-12 00:47:09 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb8d865… |
| 10-12 00:47:03 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8f6ae7… |
| 10-12 00:47:03 | (anonymous) 0x103c…87d0 | Up | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x8f6ae7… |
| 10-12 00:46:59 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x098b99… |
| 10-12 00:46:59 | (anonymous) 0x103c…87d0 | Up | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x098b99… |
| 10-12 00:46:57 | (anonymous) 0x103c…87d0 | Up | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb2c869… |
| 10-12 00:46:57 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb2c869… |
| 10-12 00:46:05 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x591708… |
| 10-12 00:46:05 | Hideous-Sleepiness 0x6f19…57f4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x591708… |
| 10-12 00:45:15 | Evergreen-Willow 0xe036…447e | Up | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x4b3db0… |
| 10-12 00:45:15 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4b3db0… |
| 10-12 00:45:14 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xae29c9… |
| 10-12 00:45:14 | Sandy-Precipitation 0x2ea0…d448 | Up | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xae29c9… |
| 10-12 00:45:14 | Adventurous-Marksman 0x0084…4c4f | Up | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x4dd953… |
| 10-12 00:45:14 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4dd953… |
| 10-12 00:45:03 | Palatable-Cut 0x35e7…c415 | Up | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xeabc0b… |
| 10-12 00:45:03 | (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Down | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xeabc0b… |
| 10-12 00:43:32 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0xf6e2ff… |
| 10-12 00:43:32 | (anonymous) 0xfc96…adac | Down | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xf6e2ff… |
| 10-12 00:43:15 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9f64e5… |
| 10-12 00:43:15 | (anonymous) 0x8acf…9b65 | Down | BUY | 26 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9f64e5… |
| 10-12 00:43:15 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 36 | 95¢ | $34 | 0x9f64e5… |
| 10-12 00:43:06 | (anonymous) 0x8acf…9b65 | Down | BUY | 26 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xbce760… |
| 10-12 00:43:06 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0xbce760… |
| 10-12 00:42:24 | (anonymous) 0xdac5…d2c0 | Up | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0xb055ae… |
| 10-12 00:42:24 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb055ae… |
| 10-12 00:42:06 | (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | BUY | 28 | 97¢ | $27 | 0x42043d… |
| 10-12 00:42:06 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Down | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x42043d… |
| 10-12 00:42:06 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x42043d… |
| 10-12 00:41:51 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf335a0… |
| 10-12 00:41:51 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf335a0… |
| 10-12 00:41:45 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2efbee… |
| 10-12 00:41:45 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x35154e… |
| 10-12 00:41:45 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x35154e… |
| 10-12 00:41:45 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x2efbee… |
| 10-12 00:41:42 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 35 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1da521… |
| 10-12 00:41:42 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Up | BUY | 35 | 98¢ | $34 | 0x1da521… |
| 10-12 00:40:48 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0d6621… |
| 10-12 00:40:48 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe551ba… |
| 10-12 00:40:48 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2d79ed… |
| 10-12 00:40:48 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf7e220… |
| 10-12 00:40:48 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd2de5e… |
| 10-12 00:40:48 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf7e220… |
| 10-12 00:40:48 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd2de5e… |
| 10-12 00:40:48 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2d79ed… |
| 10-12 00:40:48 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0d6621… |
| 10-12 00:40:48 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe551ba… |
| 10-12 00:40:47 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xccd441… |
| 10-12 00:40:47 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xccd441… |
| 10-12 00:40:47 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9f692c… |
| 10-12 00:40:47 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0d67a3… |
| 10-12 00:40:47 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xec520a… |
| 10-12 00:40:47 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xdafcbd… |
| 10-12 00:40:47 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8d63d4… |
| 10-12 00:40:47 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x339e0e… |
| 10-12 00:40:47 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xcb60d0… |
| 10-12 00:40:47 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8d63d4… |
| 10-12 00:40:47 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb88ede… |