Winged-Participant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.39K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

21,857

Trades

44,241

lifetime

Volume

$161.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-27 08:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 55% -$1,273

Other

1% 42% -$113

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 309 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	72¢	$4	+$1	10-27 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up		+5	$2	20¢	$1	-$1	10-27 09:28
BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	—	+7	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-27 10:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	—	+8	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	10-27 10:10
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	—	+7	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-27 10:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	28	$758	1,527	0	+1,527	Up	-$8	05-26 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	41	$525	723	48	+675	Down	+$237	05-25 21:39
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 23:15 UTC	54	$438	597	498	+99	Down	-$64	01-28 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	12	$433	469	0	+469	Down	+$36	05-25 21:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 23:00 UTC	41	$348	393	384	+9	Down	+$83	01-28 23:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 23:15 UTC	31	$261	273	289	-16	Down	+$21	01-28 23:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 12:15 UTC	98	$259	294	292	+2	Down	-$10	01-28 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	30	$250	453	126	+327	Down	+$120	05-25 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	16	$242	517	0	+517	Down	+$16	05-26 06:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET	18	$240	442	0	+442	Up	-$3	05-26 03:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 03:15 UTC	83	$235	225	209	+16	Up	-$4	02-06 03:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	5	$229	153	153	+0	Up	+$73	10-15 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 09:00 UTC	87	$227	250	230	+20	Up	-$5	02-06 09:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 19:00 UTC	6	$227	148	148	+0	Up	+$67	06-27 19:04
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 12:15 UTC	86	$226	319	310	+9	Up	-$21	01-28 12:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:10 UTC	4	$222	200	200	+0	Down	+$174	06-30 12:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 23:15 UTC	26	$218	336	328	+8	Down	+$6	01-28 23:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:45 UTC	2	$206	137	137	+0	Up	+$66	10-14 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	10	$197	361	0	+361	Down	-$14	05-26 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 22:50 UTC	12	$195	230	130	+100	Up	+$63	06-29 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:40 UTC	2	$194	130	130	+0	Down	+$64	10-15 00:42
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 16:30 UTC	8	$190	218	208	+9	Down	-$55	04-15 16:40
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	12	$186	122	122	+0	Up	+$56	10-14 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	39	$181	565	0	+565	Up	-$37	05-26 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 03:00 UTC	72	$174	191	182	+9	Down	-$3	02-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	73	$171	346	0	+346	Up	-$14	05-26 13:42
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 12:15 UTC	42	$170	216	214	+2	Down	+$0	01-28 12:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 12:45 UTC	60	$166	183	159	+24	Up	+$5	02-06 12:55
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 00:30 UTC	26	$163	209	143	+67	Down	-$2	01-29 00:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:45 UTC	63	$163	179	147	+32	Up	-$7	02-06 00:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1d6d0b…
10-27 10:10:21	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x0d8289…
10-27 10:10:17	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x2676d4…
10-27 10:10:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xe54358…
10-27 09:50:11	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xb9744c…
10-27 09:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9e0dbe…
10-27 09:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x255334…
10-27 08:35:35	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf3169c…
10-27 07:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0xd25550…
10-27 07:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x2ce5ef…
10-27 06:55:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x35d363…
10-27 06:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd51c60…
10-27 06:50:24	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x4f5b98…
10-27 06:50:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x42ceed…
10-27 06:45:12	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xddc5dd…
10-27 06:26:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcc26f4…
10-27 06:26:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x692054…
10-27 06:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2356c7…
10-27 04:45:39	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x8217b7…
10-27 04:45:38	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xff170f…
10-27 02:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd26a03…
10-27 01:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x923244…
10-27 01:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x972873…
10-27 01:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6c84da…
10-27 01:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x83006c…
10-27 01:15:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf098b4…
10-27 01:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9a49b8…
10-27 01:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2fe720…
10-27 01:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xaed059…
10-27 00:56:44	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x35c235…
10-27 00:50:35	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xc45ded…
10-27 00:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xedd55a…
10-27 00:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x4e1b2d…
10-27 00:45:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xeffb32…
10-27 00:45:11	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4189b3…
10-27 00:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x71f047…
10-27 00:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x175d18…
10-27 00:35:36	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3eb3c0…
10-27 00:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x19d8f9…
10-27 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x7c3f82…
10-27 00:25:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9446b1…
10-27 00:25:32	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1cebe6…
10-27 00:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbdf67e…
10-27 00:15:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x219464…
10-27 00:11:27	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x685bce…
10-27 00:10:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x93414a…
10-27 00:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc35be2…
10-27 00:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x308322…
10-27 00:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xcc1374…
10-26 23:56:38	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xeaed08…
10-26 23:56:26	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc18e2e…
10-26 23:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd91dc9…
10-26 23:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x5d2412…
10-26 23:41:39	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1854e4…
10-26 23:41:29	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xff9ad5…
10-26 23:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xbc861b…
10-26 23:30:11	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x32156c…
10-26 23:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xdcc33e…
10-26 22:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x899416…
10-26 20:45:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9ddcd7…
10-26 20:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x0e6d31…
10-26 20:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbd97aa…
10-26 20:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa56732…
10-26 19:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xec85eb…
10-26 19:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa94c16…
10-26 19:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xadb8f2…
10-26 19:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x7b6ae5…
10-26 18:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	8¢	$3	0xd2121e…
10-26 18:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7e4b67…
10-26 17:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf2cfa9…
10-26 16:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x7cba41…
10-26 16:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1be804…
10-26 16:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x98b6f8…
10-26 16:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xd5c14a…
10-26 16:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc780b9…
10-26 15:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2bdbbd…
10-26 15:26:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x42fe72…
10-26 15:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x86ba63…
10-26 15:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x16cf2e…
10-26 15:14:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x70f9f5…
10-26 15:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x313722…
10-26 15:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xefedb3…
10-26 15:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xf11a71…
10-26 15:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7ad364…
10-26 14:56:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf5f024…
10-26 13:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa74ba1…
10-26 13:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x9fd1a8…
10-26 13:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x3d243a…
10-26 13:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x894507…
10-26 13:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x76553c…
10-26 13:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x294526…
10-26 13:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa1bc1e…
10-26 13:11:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc18627…
10-26 13:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xfeab02…
10-26 12:56:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf82302…
10-26 12:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xa69d81…
10-26 12:42:02	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x75de2b…
10-26 12:26:33	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf6e36c…
10-26 12:13:08	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1291c0…
10-26 12:13:06	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x229db8…