Well-Worn-Headquarters — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$996

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved

620

Trades

1,401

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$111

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-30 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 48% -$914

Other

18% 74% -$135

Politics

3% 100% +$26

Sports

1% 86% +$18

Tech

1% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	-60	-$51	88¢	$-53	-$2	08-28 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	+96	$46	55¢	$52	+$6	10-30 11:53
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	Yes	+100	$11	5¢	$5	-$6	05-21 00:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$387	200	200	+0	No	+$2	05-05 16:26
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$324	200	200	+0	No	+$16	04-20 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	10	$200	160	120	+40	Up	+$59	10-29 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET	3	$175	119	119	+0	Down	+$47	06-13 02:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$140	87	87	+0	open	—	06-15 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	5	$124	245	0	+245	Up	-$124	10-10 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	6	$121	240	0	+240	Down	+$119	10-11 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$121	240	0	+240	Down	+$119	10-29 16:00
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	4	$121	240	0	+240	Up	+$119	10-14 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	5	$121	240	0	+240	Down	+$119	10-09 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	25	$121	240	0	+240	Down	-$121	10-07 00:22
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	6	$106	80	80	+0	Down	+$24	10-28 04:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$102	52	52	+0	Yes	+$2	04-20 10:04
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$2	04-06 04:51
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?	1	$91	96	0	+96	No	-$91	06-04 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3AM ET	6	$82	160	0	+160	Down	-$82	09-22 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2AM ET	2	$81	160	0	+160	Down	-$81	09-22 06:04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$74	42	42	+0	Yes	+$8	05-23 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10AM ET	5	$67	130	0	+130	Up	+$62	10-08 14:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$65	70	0	+70	No	+$5	05-18 09:20
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$65	70	0	+70	Detroit Tigers	+$5	06-02 00:53
bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 10am et	6	$63	120	0	+120	Down	-$63	10-14 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7AM ET	5	$62	120	0	+120	Up	-$62	10-10 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11PM ET	3	$62	120	0	+120	Up	-$62	10-09 03:01
Solana Up or Down - September 21, 10PM ET	2	$62	120	0	+120	Down	-$62	09-22 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	2	$62	120	0	+120	Down	-$62	10-29 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8PM ET	2	$62	120	0	+120	Down	-$62	10-13 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4AM ET	3	$62	120	0	+120	Up	-$62	10-09 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	2	$62	120	0	+120	Up	+$58	10-29 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	4	$62	120	0	+120	Up	+$58	10-12 13:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	96	48¢	$46	0x6db5cb…
10-30 11:34:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x7eae95…
10-30 11:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x0c1c0f…
10-30 09:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xfc7769…
10-30 08:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbecd0c…
10-30 08:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xc4910f…
10-30 08:10:42	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcd1cf0…
10-30 06:03:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xaebe41…
10-30 06:03:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x9305f6…
10-30 06:03:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x541ec5…
10-30 06:03:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x05d5bb…
10-30 06:01:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x295a10…
10-30 06:01:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x25b4a3…
10-30 06:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xc93149…
10-30 06:00:13	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe23a52…
10-30 06:00:12	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x339c9a…
10-30 06:00:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcc8013…
10-30 06:00:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9a1110…
10-30 05:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x3d869d…
10-30 05:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbd1e05…
10-30 05:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x4030ee…
10-30 05:01:33	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2f70a8…
10-30 05:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4a815c…
10-30 05:00:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb7c670…
10-30 05:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6c3916…
10-30 05:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xead589…
10-30 05:00:13	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x40a7bd…
10-30 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x622055…
10-30 04:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x88351d…
10-30 04:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x12f024…
10-30 02:01:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x6316ff…
10-30 02:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x4e118e…
10-30 02:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa28e92…
10-30 02:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6d9482…
10-30 02:01:01	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xddae4f…
10-30 02:01:00	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x280277…
10-30 02:00:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x23ba15…
10-30 02:00:39	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x2c4ecf…
10-30 02:00:07	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x2f7103…
10-30 01:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf8a0a8…
10-30 01:00:12	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xb459ac…
10-30 01:00:12	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x61c1f7…
10-30 01:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2399c2…
10-30 01:00:09	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x1398dd…
10-30 00:04:51	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5e2a65…
10-30 00:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7739c5…
10-30 00:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xbd22a1…
10-30 00:01:01	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd9b0dd…
10-30 00:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x978da9…
10-30 00:00:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5decff…
10-30 00:00:54	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6f5836…
10-29 22:58:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xee044d…
10-29 22:58:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3f3ed0…
10-29 22:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x4382ce…
10-29 16:05:38	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x82afd9…
10-29 16:05:37	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xf2f857…
10-29 16:05:37	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x60b61c…
10-29 16:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd62771…
10-29 16:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0xcfdd54…
10-29 16:00:16	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbc1246…
10-29 16:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x37a7a8…
10-29 16:00:14	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb7e775…
10-29 16:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x69b7e1…
10-29 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x353033…
10-29 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xeedb13…
10-29 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xed8403…
10-29 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0xe06e7f…
10-29 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x31f240…
10-29 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x27a168…
10-29 15:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd1f14b…
10-29 15:00:46	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x09df6b…
10-29 15:00:19	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xaa1207…
10-29 15:00:13	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x74a7ad…
10-29 15:00:07	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6e1264…
10-29 15:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdb7178…
10-29 15:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x88647f…
10-29 15:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf4307d…
10-29 14:58:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x98d66d…
10-29 14:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbf9aa9…
10-29 14:00:13	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x09fb05…
10-29 13:54:26	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb5b3c0…
10-29 13:39:02	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe7903a…
10-29 13:39:02	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x315f68…
10-29 13:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xfc5417…
10-29 13:32:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x8540e7…
10-29 13:31:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x052b6d…
10-29 12:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xbcf9ed…
10-29 12:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x901267…
10-29 12:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x75593c…
10-29 12:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x03ee9f…
10-29 12:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc8ce7a…
10-29 12:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x6b62e8…
10-29 11:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xf7aeb1…
10-29 11:51:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xd91d70…
10-29 11:44:10	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x800ff5…
10-29 11:11:11	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x4c0a81…
10-29 11:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x3989d7…
10-29 11:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x589b2a…
10-29 11:00:05	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7daa7f…
10-29 10:45:35	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe4e2cc…